LATVIA VIRSLIGA
--.--.---- --:--
Referee: A. Anufrijevs
Tukums
Match Timeline
Auda
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
14'
E. Bongemba
Auda
30'
B. Samoilovs
Tukums
35'
O. Rubenis
Auda
🟨
39'
A. Enyou
Tukums
🟨
50'
Leoni
Tukums
🟨
51'
R. Reingolcs
Tukums
62'
E. Oloko · Assist: B. Samoilovs
Tukums
🔄
65'
R. Reingolcs ↔ R. Melkis
Tukums
🔄
65'
Leoni ↔ R. Deruzinskis
Tukums
🔄
69'
W. Fofana ↔ H. Ibrahim
Auda
🔄
69'
B. Diedhiou ↔ M. Fofana
Auda
🔄
76'
B. Samoilovs ↔ J. Toba
Tukums
🔄
76'
J. Gerold ↔ H. Lusweki
Auda
🔄
76'
K. Kone ↔ J. Vergara
Auda
🟨
86'
D. Zanetti
Auda
🔄
88'
M. Derkach ↔ K. Klavins
Tukums
🟨
90'
T. Hrvoj
Auda
🟨
90+3'
J. Vergara
Auda

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 88%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
88%
-
BTTS Yes
78.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Tukums Win 39.1%
Draw 12%
Auda Win 48.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Tukums1.53
Auda1.74
Recent Form (Last 5)
Tukums Tukums
WWDLW
35 GF / 37 GA
Auda Auda
WLDWL
35 GF / 25 GA
Key Stats
1.75
Average Goals Scored
1.67
1.85
Average Goals Conceded
1.19
18
BTTS Yes
12
15
Over 2.5
12
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Tukums Tukums 20 matches
Auda Auda 21 matches
Tukums Statistic Auda
2 Wins 12
10 Draws 4
8 Losses 5
35 Goals For 35
37 Goals Against 25
1.75 Avg Goals Scored 1.67
1.85 Avg Goals Conceded 1.19
18 BTTS Yes 12
20 Over 1.5 17
15 Over 2.5 12
9 Over 3.5 5
1 Clean Sheets 7
1 Failed To Score 3
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Auda's more proactive style and Tukums's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Auda having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Auda carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 3 with 34 points while Tukums sit 8 on 13, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Auda.

Tukums Analysis

Tukums sit 8 with 13 points after 16 league matches. Their overall return of 2 wins, 7 draws, and 7 losses with goals at 29:30 reflects poor form . Their attacking weight is carried by E. Oloko (15 goals), R. Deruzinskis (6 goals), Leoni (4 goals), with creative support from B. Samoilovs (6 assists), R. Deruzinskis (2 assists), Anmanis Kaspars (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. At home, the record of 2 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Auda Analysis

Placed 3 with 34 points from 16 outings, Auda continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Their overall return of 11 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses with goals at 32:20 reflects poor form . Their attacking weight is carried by J. Vergara (13 goals), H. Ibrahim (4 goals), E. Daskevics (3 goals), with creative support from E. Daskevics (6 assists), T. Hrvoj (4 assists), J. Vergara (3 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, the record of 6 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses points toward a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Tukums won 5 times, Auda won 7 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:24 from Tukums's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.73 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (88%)
H2H summary: Tukums wins 5, draws 3, Auda wins 7

Lineups

Tukums
Formation
Auda
I. Baturins
I. Baturins
R. Reingolcs
R. Reingolcs
M. Susts
M. Susts
M. Stals
M. Stals
A. Enyou
A. Enyou
M. Derkach
M. Derkach
B. Samoilovs
🎯
B. Samoilovs
Anmanis Kaspars
Anmanis Kaspars
S. Shibata
S. Shibata
Leoni
Leoni
E. Oloko
E. Oloko
N. Purins
N. Purins
T. Hrvoj
T. Hrvoj
M. Ouedraogo
M. Ouedraogo
A. Arroyo
A. Arroyo
O. Rubenis
O. Rubenis
E. Bongemba
E. Bongemba
E. Daskevics
E. Daskevics
B. Diedhiou
B. Diedhiou
W. Fofana
W. Fofana
J. Gerold
J. Gerold
K. Kone
K. Kone
Tukums 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
97
I. Baturins
8
R. Reingolcs
↓ 65' 🟨 51'
30
M. Susts
88
M. Stals
46
A. Enyou
🟨 39'
17
M. Derkach
↓ 88'
10
B. Samoilovs
⚽ 30' 🎯 62' ↓ 76'
4
Anmanis Kaspars
7
S. Shibata
11
Leoni
↓ 65' 🟨 50'
19
E. Oloko
⚽ 62'
Substitutes
35
K. Minajevs
21
D. Valmiers
16
K. Klavins
↑ 88'
28
R. Melkis
↑ 65'
25
H. Joksts
22
R. Baumanis
5
J. Toba
↑ 76'
27
R. Deruzinskis
↑ 65'
18
D. Calbergs
Auda 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
98
N. Purins
2
T. Hrvoj
🟨 90'
4
M. Ouedraogo
18
A. Arroyo
71
O. Rubenis
⚽ 35'
8
E. Bongemba
🟨 14'
17
E. Daskevics
25
B. Diedhiou
↓ 69'
10
W. Fofana
↓ 69'
46
J. Gerold
↓ 76'
47
K. Kone
↓ 76'
Substitutes
1
R. Sturins
22
A. Ogunji
77
J. Minins
80
S. Aranda
6
R. Kragliks
26
H. Lusweki
↑ 76'
7
J. Vergara
↑ 76' 🟨 90+3'
14
H. Ibrahim
↑ 69'
23
M. Fofana
↑ 69'
Last matches: Tukums
21.06.26
Vir
Tukums
FS Jelgava
1
4
L
12.06.26
Vir
Tukums
BFC Daugavpils
1
1
D
30.05.26
Vir
Tukums
FK Liepaja
0
3
L
25.05.26
Vir
Tukums
Rīgas FS
1
3
L
20.05.26
Vir
Tukums
Riga
1
3
L
15.05.26
Vir
Tukums
Grobiņa
3
3
D
11.05.26
Vir
Tukums
Super Nova
1
1
D
07.05.26
Vir
Tukums
Ogre United
6
1
W
01.05.26
Vir
Tukums
FS Jelgava
5
0
W
26.04.26
Vir
Tukums
Auda
1
2
L
21.04.26
Vir
Tukums
BFC Daugavpils
1
1
D
17.04.26
Vir
Tukums
FK Liepaja
2
2
D
13.04.26
Vir
Tukums
Rīgas FS
1
2
L
09.04.26
Vir
Tukums
Riga
3
3
D
05.04.26
Vir
Tukums
Grobiņa
1
1
D
22.03.26
Vir
Tukums
Super Nova
1
2
L
15.03.26
Vir
Tukums
Ogre United
1
1
D
08.03.26
Vir
Tukums
FS Jelgava
1
2
L
11.02.26
Fri
Tukums
Kalju Nomme
2
2
D
07.02.26
Fri
Tukums
Džiugas Telšiai
2
2
D
Last matches: Auda
25.06.26
Vir
Auda
Grobiņa
0
1
L
21.06.26
Vir
Auda
Super Nova
2
0
W
13.06.26
Vir
Auda
FS Jelgava
1
1
D
30.05.26
Vir
Auda
Ogre United
2
0
W
26.05.26
Vir
Auda
BFC Daugavpils
1
0
W
22.05.26
Vir
Auda
FK Liepaja
3
1
W
17.05.26
Vir
Auda
Rīgas FS
0
3
L
12.05.26
Vir
Auda
Riga
1
4
L
07.05.26
Vir
Auda
Grobiņa
7
0
W
01.05.26
Vir
Auda
Super Nova
2
1
W
26.04.26
Vir
Auda
Tukums
2
1
W
21.04.26
Vir
Auda
FS Jelgava
3
2
W
17.04.26
Vir
Auda
Ogre United
1
1
D
12.04.26
Vir
Auda
BFC Daugavpils
2
3
L
08.04.26
Vir
Auda
FK Liepaja
2
1
W
04.04.26
Vir
Auda
Rīgas FS
1
0
W
20.03.26
Vir
Auda
Riga
1
2
L
14.03.26
Vir
Auda
Grobiņa
2
0
W
08.03.26
Vir
Auda
Super Nova
2
1
W
13.02.26
Fri
Auda
Zorya Luhansk
0
3
L
H2H: Tukums vs Auda
17.06.26
H2H
Tukums
Auda
2
1
W
26.04.26
H2H
Auda
Tukums
2
1
L
02.11.25
H2H
Auda
Tukums
0
1
W
10.08.25
H2H
Tukums
Auda
1
0
W
13.06.25
H2H
Tukums
Auda
2
4
L
18.04.25
H2H
Auda
Tukums
2
0
L
03.11.24
H2H
Tukums
Auda
0
3
L
02.10.24
H2H
Auda
Tukums
1
1
D
02.06.24
H2H
Tukums
Auda
1
4
L
21.04.24
H2H
Auda
Tukums
2
0
L
05.11.23
H2H
Auda
Tukums
1
0
L
12.08.23
H2H
Tukums
Auda
2
2
D
06.06.23
H2H
Tukums
Auda
2
2
D
24.04.23
H2H
Auda
Tukums
0
3
W
01.10.22
H2H
Tukums
Auda
1
0
W
Last matches: Tukums
12.06.26
Vir
Tukums
BFC Daugavpils
1
1
D
20.05.26
Vir
Tukums
Riga
1
3
L
07.05.26
Vir
Tukums
Ogre United
6
1
W
01.05.26
Vir
Tukums
FS Jelgava
5
0
W
21.04.26
Vir
Tukums
BFC Daugavpils
1
1
D
17.04.26
Vir
Tukums
FK Liepaja
2
2
D
13.04.26
Vir
Tukums
Rīgas FS
1
2
L
05.04.26
Vir
Tukums
Grobiņa
1
1
D
22.03.26
Vir
Tukums
Super Nova
1
2
L
07.02.26
Fri
Tukums
Džiugas Telšiai
2
2
D
H2H at home: Tukums
17.06.26
H2H
Tukums
Auda
2
1
W
10.08.25
H2H
Tukums
Auda
1
0
W
13.06.25
H2H
Tukums
Auda
2
4
L
03.11.24
H2H
Tukums
Auda
0
3
L
02.06.24
H2H
Tukums
Auda
1
4
L
12.08.23
H2H
Tukums
Auda
2
2
D
06.06.23
H2H
Tukums
Auda
2
2
D
01.10.22
H2H
Tukums
Auda
1
0
W
Last matches: Auda
25.06.26
Vir
Auda
Grobiņa
0
1
L
21.06.26
Vir
Auda
Super Nova
2
0
W
26.05.26
Vir
Auda
BFC Daugavpils
1
0
W
12.05.26
Vir
Auda
Riga
1
4
L
01.05.26
Vir
Auda
Super Nova
2
1
W
21.04.26
Vir
Auda
FS Jelgava
3
2
W
17.04.26
Vir
Auda
Ogre United
1
1
D
08.04.26
Vir
Auda
FK Liepaja
2
1
W
04.04.26
Vir
Auda
Rīgas FS
1
0
W
14.03.26
Vir
Auda
Grobiņa
2
0
W
13.02.26
Fri
Auda
Zorya Luhansk
0
3
L
06.02.26
Fri
Auda
FK Vozdovac
1
1
D
17.01.26
Fri
Auda
Shanghai Shenhua
0
0
D
10.07.25
UEF
Auda
Larne
0
0
D
H2H away: Auda
17.06.26
H2H
Tukums
Auda
2
1
L
10.08.25
H2H
Tukums
Auda
1
0
L
13.06.25
H2H
Tukums
Auda
2
4
W
03.11.24
H2H
Tukums
Auda
0
3
W
02.06.24
H2H
Tukums
Auda
1
4
W
12.08.23
H2H
Tukums
Auda
2
2
D
06.06.23
H2H
Tukums
Auda
2
2
D
01.10.22
H2H
Tukums
Auda
1
0
L

Standings

Virsliga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 20 15 4 1 60:19 41 49
D W W W W
2 19 16 1 2 48:14 34 49
W L W W W
3
Auda Away
20 12 3 5 36:23 13 39
D W L D W
4 19 7 4 8 23:29 -6 25
L L W W D
5 20 6 6 8 21:25 -4 24
D W D D D
6 20 5 7 8 22:35 -13 22
W W L D D
7 20 6 3 11 20:32 -12 21
L L D L L
8 19 3 8 8 33:36 -3 17
L W D L L
9 20 3 8 9 12:30 -18 17
D L W L L
10 19 1 4 14 16:48 -32 7
L W L L D
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Virsliga (Relegation)
Relegation - Nakotnes liga