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AUSTRIA › BUNDESLIGA
19.04.2026 12:30
Stadion Hartberg
Referee: J. Weinberger
TSV Hartberg
Match Timeline
Rapid Vienna
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
45'
L. Spendlhofer
TSV Hartberg
🟨
46'
Ercan Kara
Rapid Vienna
⚽
47'
B. Bolla · Assist: M. Seidl
Rapid Vienna
⚽
52'
L. Pazourek
TSV Hartberg
🔄
53'
J. M. Scholler ↔ P. Dahl
Rapid Vienna
🔄
64'
L. Fridrikas ↔ Y. Diarra
TSV Hartberg
⚽
67'
P. Dahl
Rapid Vienna
🟨
70'
Benjamin Markuš
TSV Hartberg
🟨
74'
Andreas Weimann
Rapid Vienna
🔄
77'
M. Hoffmann ↔ M. Aziz
TSV Hartberg
🔄
77'
L. Pazourek ↔ M. Hennig
TSV Hartberg
🔄
77'
N. Wurmbrand ↔ Y. Demir
Rapid Vienna
🟨
82'
Maximilian Hennig
TSV Hartberg
🔄
85'
E. Kara ↔ J. Antiste
Rapid Vienna
🔄
85'
R. Amane ↔ L. Grgic
Rapid Vienna
🔄
90+1'
E. Havel ↔ D. Korherr
TSV Hartberg

TSV Hartberg vs Rapid Vienna Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 34.9%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 58.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 67%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
34.9%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS Yes
58.6%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
67%
- ▥
Probability Distribution
TSV Hartberg Win 34.9%
Draw 32.2%
Rapid Vienna Win 32.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
TSV Hartberg1.34
Rapid Vienna1.16
Recent Form (Last 5)
TSV Hartberg TSV Hartberg
WWDLW
39 GF / 30 GA
Rapid Vienna Rapid Vienna
WLDWL
52 GF / 56 GA
Key Stats
1.34
Average Goals Scored
1.24
1.03
Average Goals Conceded
1.33
15
BTTS Yes
23
13
Over 2.5
19
3.38
Shots on Goal
3.87

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

TSV Hartberg TSV Hartberg 29 matches
Rapid Vienna Rapid Vienna 42 matches
TSV Hartberg Statistic Rapid Vienna
10 Wins 17
12 Draws 10
7 Losses 15
39 Goals For 52
30 Goals Against 56
1.34 Avg Goals Scored 1.24
1.03 Avg Goals Conceded 1.33
15 BTTS Yes 23
18 Over 1.5 33
13 Over 2.5 19
7 Over 3.5 8
10 Clean Sheets 11
9 Failed To Score 9
3.38 Shots On Goal 3.87
9.42 Total Shots 12.08
3.12 Corners 5.34
37.7% Ball Possession 51.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Rapid Vienna. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with TSV Hartberg expected to line up in 5-3-2 and Rapid Vienna in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Rapid Vienna having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

TSV Hartberg Analysis

TSV Hartberg sit 6 with 33 points after 22 league matches. The record of 8 wins, 9 draws, and 5 defeats, together with a 29:24 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through E. Havel (11 goals), L. Fridrikas (3 goals), M. Hoffmann (3 goals), with creative support from Maximilian Hennig (4 assists), E. Havel (3 assists), Tobias Kainz (3 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, the record of 4 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Rapid Vienna Analysis

Operating from 5 place with 33 points from 22 games, Rapid Vienna bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. The return of 9 wins, 6 draws, and 7 defeats, together with goals at 26:25, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through E. Kara (5 goals), Matthias Seidl (4 goals), N. Wurmbrand (4 goals), with creative support from Matthias Seidl (5 assists), P. Dahl (4 assists), C. M'Buyi (3 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. Away from home, their record of 4 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, TSV Hartberg won 7 times, Rapid Vienna won 5 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:19 from TSV Hartberg's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.6 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (67.8%)
Predicted formations: TSV Hartberg 5-3-2 / Rapid Vienna 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: TSV Hartberg wins 7, draws 3, Rapid Vienna wins 5

Standings

Bundesliga: Regular season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 22 12 2 8 33:26 7 38
?
2 22 10 7 5 42:26 16 37
?
3 22 11 4 7 32:30 2 37
?
4 22 11 3 8 34:30 4 36
?
5 22 9 6 7 26:25 1 33
?
6 22 8 9 5 29:24 5 33
?
7 22 8 7 7 31:30 1 31
?
8 22 7 8 7 22:23 -1 29
?
9 22 8 4 10 26:30 -4 28
?
10 22 7 5 10 31:32 -1 26
?
11 22 4 8 10 22:36 -14 20
?
12 22 4 3 15 20:36 -16 15
?
Promotion - Bundesliga (Championship Group)
Bundesliga (Relegation Group)