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AUSTRIA › BUNDESLIGA
26.04.2026 12:30
Stadion Hartberg
Referee: M. Hameter
TSV Hartberg
Match Timeline
Lask Linz
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
5'
X. Mbuyamba
Lask Linz
⚽
30'
S. Kalajdzic · Assist: M. Usor
Lask Linz
🔄
46'
H. Coulibaly ↔ M. Aziz
TSV Hartberg
🔄
46'
L. Fridrikas ↔ E. Havel
TSV Hartberg
🔄
46'
L. Pazourek ↔ M. Hennig
TSV Hartberg
⚽
46'
M. Usor · Assist: M. Entrup
Lask Linz
⚽
48'
E. Havel · Assist: T. Kainz
TSV Hartberg
🟨
52'
Modou Kéba Cissé
Lask Linz
🟨
57'
Saša Kalajdžić
Lask Linz
🟨
59'
Musibau Aziz
TSV Hartberg
🔄
64'
M. Bogarde ↔ I. Coulibaly
Lask Linz
🔄
64'
M. Usor ↔ C. Lang
Lask Linz
🔄
75'
T. Kainz ↔ D. Korherr
TSV Hartberg
🔄
75'
M. Entrup ↔ K. Danek
Lask Linz
🔄
84'
B. Markus ↔ J. Halwachs
TSV Hartberg
🔄
87'
G. Bello ↔ F. Flecker
Lask Linz
🔄
87'
M. Cisse ↔ K. Cheikne
Lask Linz
🟨
89'
Marco Hoffmann
TSV Hartberg
⚽
90'
C. Lang · Assist: S. Kalajdzic
Lask Linz
⚽
90'
S. Kalajdzic
Lask Linz

TSV Hartberg vs Lask Linz Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 52.3%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 84.7%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 70%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
52.3%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS Yes
84.7%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
70%
- ▥
Probability Distribution
TSV Hartberg Win 27.2%
Draw 20.6%
Lask Linz Win 52.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
TSV Hartberg1.34
Lask Linz1.43
Recent Form (Last 5)
TSV Hartberg TSV Hartberg
WWDLW
43 GF / 32 GA
Lask Linz Lask Linz
WLDWL
56 GF / 42 GA
Key Stats
1.39
Average Goals Scored
1.7
1.03
Average Goals Conceded
1.27
16
BTTS Yes
18
14
Over 2.5
18
3.36
Shots on Goal
4.86

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

TSV Hartberg TSV Hartberg 31 matches
Lask Linz Lask Linz 33 matches
TSV Hartberg Statistic Lask Linz
11 Wins 18
13 Draws 7
7 Losses 8
43 Goals For 56
32 Goals Against 42
1.39 Avg Goals Scored 1.7
1.03 Avg Goals Conceded 1.27
16 BTTS Yes 18
20 Over 1.5 26
14 Over 2.5 18
8 Over 3.5 13
11 Clean Sheets 11
9 Failed To Score 5
3.36 Shots On Goal 4.86
9.25 Total Shots 15.82
3.07 Corners 5.61
37.5% Ball Possession 50.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with TSV Hartberg expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and Lask Linz in 3-4-1-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Lask Linz having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Lask Linz. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

TSV Hartberg Analysis

TSV Hartberg are currently 6 in the standings with 33 points from 22 matches. The record of 8 wins, 9 draws, and 5 defeats, together with a 29:24 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through E. Havel (12 goals), L. Fridrikas (3 goals), M. Hoffmann (3 goals), with creative support from Maximilian Hennig (4 assists), E. Havel (3 assists), Tobias Kainz (3 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, their split return of 4 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Lask Linz Analysis

Lask Linz come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 3 with 37 points from 22 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 11 wins, 4 draws, and 7 losses, while the 32:30 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on M. Usor (11 goals), Samuel Adeniran (7 goals), Kasper Jørgensen (6 goals), with creative support from Samuel Adeniran (5 assists), M. Usor (4 assists), George Bello (4 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. Away from home, their split return of 4 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, TSV Hartberg won 2 times, Lask Linz won 5 times, while 8 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:21 from TSV Hartberg's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.53 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (79.5%)
Predicted formations: TSV Hartberg 4-1-4-1 / Lask Linz 3-4-1-2
H2H summary: TSV Hartberg wins 2, draws 8, Lask Linz wins 5

Standings

Bundesliga: Regular season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 22 12 2 8 33:26 7 38
?
2 22 10 7 5 42:26 16 37
?
3 22 11 4 7 32:30 2 37
?
4 22 11 3 8 34:30 4 36
?
5 22 9 6 7 26:25 1 33
?
6 22 8 9 5 29:24 5 33
?
7 22 8 7 7 31:30 1 31
?
8 22 7 8 7 22:23 -1 29
?
9 22 8 4 10 26:30 -4 28
?
10 22 7 5 10 31:32 -1 26
?
11 22 4 8 10 22:36 -14 20
?
12 22 4 3 15 20:36 -16 15
?
Promotion - Bundesliga (Championship Group)
Bundesliga (Relegation Group)