BRAZIL SERIE D
--.--.---- --:--
Penalties 0-3
1 - 0
Treze
Match Timeline
Sao Jose
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
10'
Marquinhos
Treze
120+1'
Marquinhos
Treze
120+1'
Fabio Rampi
Sao Jose
120+2'
Gustavo Petrocelli
Treze
120+2'
Lucas Grafite
Sao Jose
120+3'
Natan Masiero
Treze
120+3'
Andrey Nunes
Sao Jose

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 48.3%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 55.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
48.3%
-
BTTS Yes
71.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
55.6%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Treze Win 48.3%
Draw 16.5%
Sao Jose Win 35.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Treze1.25
Sao Jose0.95
Recent Form (Last 5)
Treze Treze
WWDLW
24 GF / 19 GA
Sao Jose Sao Jose
WLDWL
11 GF / 11 GA
Key Stats
1.6
Average Goals Scored
0.73
1.27
Average Goals Conceded
0.73
9
BTTS Yes
6
9
Over 2.5
3
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Treze Treze 15 matches
Sao Jose Sao Jose 15 matches
Treze Statistic Sao Jose
7 Wins 5
3 Draws 7
5 Losses 3
24 Goals For 11
19 Goals Against 11
1.6 Avg Goals Scored 0.73
1.27 Avg Goals Conceded 0.73
9 BTTS Yes 6
12 Over 1.5 7
9 Over 2.5 3
3 Over 3.5 0
5 Clean Sheets 7
2 Failed To Score 5
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This knockout meeting sets up as a clash between Treze's more proactive style and Sao Jose's more cautious structure, where game management could be just as important as attacking output. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Sao Jose have the edge after taking the first leg 2-1, leaving Treze needing to respond to a 1-goal deficit. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Sao Jose. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Sao Jose having the stronger overall control. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.

Treze Analysis

Ahead of this knockout test, Treze arrive from a league campaign that has them 1 with 17 points after 10 matches. Their record of 5 wins, 2 draws, and 3 defeats with goals at 18:14 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking weight falls on their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, their split of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically they continue to show balanced attacking football.

Sao Jose Analysis

Ahead of this knockout test, Sao Jose arrive from a league campaign that has them 4 with 13 points after 10 matches. With 3 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses plus a goal ratio of 6:8, they bring good form over their recent run into this tie. Going forward they rely on their main attacking players, while defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, they have managed 1 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, which supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In tactical terms they still look like a side built around a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Treze won 1 times, Sao Jose won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:2 from Treze's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (83.5%)
H2H summary: Treze wins 1, draws 0, Sao Jose wins 1
Last matches: Treze
18.07.26
Ser
Treze
Sao Jose
1
2
L
12.07.26
Ser
Treze
CRAC
1
0
W
04.07.26
Ser
Treze
CRAC
1
2
L
28.06.26
Ser
Treze
Jacuipense
0
0
D
21.06.26
Ser
Treze
Jacuipense
3
1
W
14.06.26
Ser
Treze
Retrô
0
3
L
06.06.26
Ser
Treze
Decisão
1
1
D
30.05.26
Ser
Treze
Lagarto
1
2
L
23.05.26
Ser
Treze
Sergipe
1
0
W
16.05.26
Ser
Treze
Serra Branca
2
1
W
10.05.26
Ser
Treze
Decisão
2
0
W
25.04.26
Ser
Treze
Serra Branca
1
1
D
19.04.26
Ser
Treze
Sergipe
3
1
W
11.04.26
Ser
Treze
Lagarto
4
5
L
04.04.26
Ser
Treze
Retrô
3
0
W
27.07.25
Ser
Treze
Santa Cruz
0
3
L
20.07.25
Ser
Treze
America-RN
1
2
L
12.07.25
Ser
Treze
Sousa
1
0
W
07.07.25
Ser
Treze
Horizonte
0
2
L
28.06.25
Ser
Treze
Ferroviario
1
1
D
Last matches: Sao Jose
16.08.26
Ser
Sao Jose
Gama
0
4
L
08.08.26
Ser
Sao Jose
Gama
1
1
D
18.07.26
Ser
Sao Jose
Treze
2
1
W
12.07.26
Ser
Sao Jose
Portuguesa RJ
0
0
D
04.07.26
Ser
Sao Jose
Portuguesa RJ
1
0
W
27.06.26
Ser
Sao Jose
Santa Catarina
1
1
D
21.06.26
Ser
Sao Jose
Santa Catarina
1
1
D
07.06.26
Ser
Sao Jose
Blumenau
1
0
W
31.05.26
Ser
Sao Jose
Independiente FSJ
1
0
W
24.05.26
Ser
Sao Jose
Marcílio Dias
1
1
D
17.05.26
Ser
Sao Jose
Brasil DE Pelotas
0
0
D
09.05.26
Ser
Sao Jose
Azuriz
1
0
W
03.05.26
Ser
Sao Jose
Azuriz
1
1
D
25.04.26
Ser
Sao Jose
Brasil DE Pelotas
0
0
D
18.04.26
Ser
Sao Jose
Marcílio Dias
1
2
L
11.04.26
Ser
Sao Jose
Independiente FSJ
0
1
L
04.04.26
Ser
Sao Jose
Blumenau
0
3
L
09.08.25
Ser
Sao Jose
Goiatuba EC
1
2
L
02.08.25
Ser
Sao Jose
Goiatuba EC
1
1
D
27.07.25
Ser
Sao Jose
Marcílio Dias
1
1
D
H2H: Treze vs Sao Jose
26.07.26
H2H
Treze
Sao Jose
1
0
W
18.07.26
H2H
Sao Jose
Treze
2
1
L
Last matches: Treze
12.07.26
Ser
Treze
CRAC
1
0
W
28.06.26
Ser
Treze
Jacuipense
0
0
D
30.05.26
Ser
Treze
Lagarto
1
2
L
10.05.26
Ser
Treze
Decisão
2
0
W
25.04.26
Ser
Treze
Serra Branca
1
1
D
19.04.26
Ser
Treze
Sergipe
3
1
W
04.04.26
Ser
Treze
Retrô
3
0
W
20.07.25
Ser
Treze
America-RN
1
2
L
07.07.25
Ser
Treze
Horizonte
0
2
L
19.06.25
Ser
Treze
Santa Cruz RN
1
2
L
31.05.25
Ser
Treze
Central SC
0
3
L
18.05.25
Ser
Treze
Ferroviario
1
0
W
04.05.25
Ser
Treze
Sousa
1
0
W
20.04.25
Ser
Treze
Santa Cruz
0
1
L
H2H at home: Treze
26.07.26
H2H
Treze
Sao Jose
1
0
W
Last matches: Sao Jose
16.08.26
Ser
Sao Jose
Gama
0
4
L
12.07.26
Ser
Sao Jose
Portuguesa RJ
0
0
D
27.06.26
Ser
Sao Jose
Santa Catarina
1
1
D
07.06.26
Ser
Sao Jose
Blumenau
1
0
W
17.05.26
Ser
Sao Jose
Brasil DE Pelotas
0
0
D
03.05.26
Ser
Sao Jose
Azuriz
1
1
D
18.04.26
Ser
Sao Jose
Marcílio Dias
1
2
L
11.04.26
Ser
Sao Jose
Independiente FSJ
0
1
L
02.08.25
Ser
Sao Jose
Goiatuba EC
1
1
D
20.07.25
Ser
Sao Jose
Joinville
2
0
W
30.06.25
Ser
Sao Jose
São Luiz
2
1
W
08.06.25
Ser
Sao Jose
Azuriz
3
1
W
24.05.25
Ser
Sao Jose
Barra
1
1
D
11.05.25
Ser
Sao Jose
Guarany de Bagé
0
1
L
03.05.25
Ser
Sao Jose
Brasil DE Pelotas
3
1
W
19.04.25
Ser
Sao Jose
Marcílio Dias
0
0
D
H2H away: Sao Jose
26.07.26
H2H
Treze
Sao Jose
1
0
L

Standings

Standings
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 1 3 14:8 6 19
L W W L D
1
Treze Home
10 5 2 3 18:14 4 17
L D L W W
1 10 6 3 1 25:8 17 21
W D D W W
1 10 5 3 2 12:8 4 18
L D D D W
1 10 5 2 3 13:9 4 17
D W W L L
1 10 6 3 1 16:6 10 21
W W W D L
1 10 4 5 1 14:9 5 17
L D D W W
1 10 6 1 3 15:9 6 19
W W W W L
2 10 4 4 2 9:5 4 16
D L D W W
2 10 4 3 3 15:13 2 15
D L L D W
2 10 5 2 3 12:9 3 17
W D D L L
2 10 4 3 3 12:9 3 15
W L W D D
2 10 4 5 1 13:6 7 17
D W D W D
2 10 5 2 3 16:8 8 17
L W W D D
2 10 4 3 3 12:7 5 15
W D L W W
2 10 5 1 4 9:8 1 16
W L D W L
3 10 3 4 3 3:4 -1 13
D L D L D
3 10 3 6 1 12:8 4 15
D D W L D
3 10 4 4 2 11:7 4 16
D D D W W
3 10 3 4 3 7:7 0 13
D L D W D
3 10 4 3 3 12:8 4 15
D D W D W
3 10 3 5 2 14:9 5 14
L D D W D
3 10 3 4 3 10:10 0 13
W L D L D
3 10 4 3 3 9:4 5 15
L D W L W
4 10 3 4 3 6:8 -2 13
W W D D W
4 10 3 4 3 14:15 -1 13
W W D D D
4 10 3 4 3 12:14 -2 13
D D D W W
4 10 3 4 3 9:12 -3 13
D D L L D
4 10 3 4 3 14:12 2 13
W L L D D
4 10 3 3 4 11:21 -10 12
W D L W L
4 10 3 3 4 8:10 -2 12
L W D L L
4 10 4 3 3 11:9 2 15
W D L W W
5 10 4 3 3 10:8 2 15
L W D L L
5 10 2 4 4 9:12 -3 10
D L D D L
5 10 3 3 4 13:15 -2 12
W D D W L
5 10 2 3 5 10:17 -7 9
L D D L L
5 10 3 3 4 8:9 -1 12
W W W L D
5 10 3 1 6 9:21 -12 10
L L L D L
5 10 3 2 5 11:16 -5 11
W L D L W
5 10 3 3 4 7:10 -3 12
W L W W D
6 10 1 1 8 2:18 -16 4
L L L L W
6 10 2 3 5 7:11 -4 9
D W L W L
6 10 2 2 6 10:17 -7 8
L D W L L
6 10 1 2 7 5:20 -15 5
L D D L L
6 10 2 3 5 9:12 -3 9
L W L W L
6 10 1 5 4 6:11 -5 8
D D D D W
6 10 2 1 7 6:14 -8 7
L L L L W
6 10 3 2 5 9:14 -5 11
L W D L L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 4 0 13:5 8 22
W W D W D
2 10 6 2 2 15:9 6 20
W D W L W
3 10 3 4 3 10:7 3 13
L W D L L
4 10 2 4 4 11:14 -3 10
L L D W W
5 10 2 4 4 8:13 -5 10
L D D W L
6 10 1 2 7 8:17 -9 5
W L L L D
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 2
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 4 0 19:9 10 22
D W W D W
2 10 5 3 2 33:9 24 18
W W D D W
3 10 5 3 2 31:9 22 18
W L D L W
4 10 4 3 3 17:10 7 15
D W W W L
5 10 3 1 6 14:31 -17 10
L L L W L
6 10 0 0 10 4:50 -46 0
L L L L L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 3
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 8 2 0 23:6 17 26
D W W W W
2 10 4 3 3 11:10 1 15
W D W L L
3 10 3 5 2 11:10 1 14
W D W L L
4 10 3 4 3 13:12 1 13
D D L D W
5 10 3 3 4 10:13 -3 12
L D L W W
6 10 0 1 9 3:20 -17 1
L L L D L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 4
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 7 2 1 16:6 10 23
W W D W W
2 10 5 4 1 13:7 6 19
W D D L D
3 10 3 3 4 9:10 -1 12
D D W L L
4 10 2 6 2 10:9 1 12
D D D W L
5 10 2 3 5 11:18 -7 9
L D L W D
6 10 1 2 7 7:16 -9 5
L L D L W
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 5
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 2 2 19:13 6 20
W L W W L
2 10 5 3 2 20:11 9 18
L W W L W
3 10 4 3 3 15:10 5 15
W W L L W
4 10 3 4 3 14:17 -3 13
L W D W L
5 10 3 3 4 18:18 0 12
W L L W W
6 10 1 1 8 12:29 -17 4
L L D L L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 6
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 5 5 0 14:7 7 20
W D D D W
2 10 5 4 1 12:6 6 19
W W W D D
3 10 4 2 4 11:13 -2 14
W D L L W
4 10 3 4 3 12:6 6 13
L W W W D
5 10 2 3 5 8:15 -7 9
L L L D L
6 10 0 4 6 10:20 -10 4
L L D D L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 7
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 3 1 15:7 8 21
W D W W D
2 10 5 2 3 14:11 3 17
W W L W D
3 10 3 5 2 12:9 3 14
L D W D L
4 10 3 2 5 9:15 -6 11
W D L L L
5 10 2 4 4 10:10 0 10
L D W D W
6 10 1 4 5 6:14 -8 7
L L L L W
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 8
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 7 2 1 15:6 9 23
W W D W W
2 10 6 3 1 14:3 11 21
W W D W D
3 10 3 4 3 8:5 3 13
L W D D D
4 10 3 4 3 8:7 1 13
W L D D L
5 10 3 1 6 4:11 -7 10
L L D L W
6 10 0 2 8 3:20 -17 2
L L D L L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)