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FRANCE › LIGUE 1
05.12.2026 16:00
Stadium Municipal

Toulouse vs Paris Saint Germain Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

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Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Toulouse Win 0%
Draw 0%
Paris Saint Germain Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Toulouse1.44
Paris Saint Germain1.85
Recent Form (Last 5)
Toulouse Toulouse
WWDLW
13 GF / 16 GA
Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain
WLDWL
17 GF / 13 GA
Key Stats
1.44
Average Goals Scored
1.89
1.78
Average Goals Conceded
1.44
7
BTTS Yes
7
6
Over 2.5
7
4.6
Shots on Goal
8

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Toulouse Toulouse 9 matches
Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain 9 matches
Toulouse Statistic Paris Saint Germain
2 Wins 4
3 Draws 3
4 Losses 2
13 Goals For 17
16 Goals Against 13
1.44 Avg Goals Scored 1.89
1.78 Avg Goals Conceded 1.44
7 BTTS Yes 7
8 Over 1.5 8
6 Over 2.5 7
4 Over 3.5 3
0 Clean Sheets 1
2 Failed To Score 1
4.6 Shots On Goal 8
14.8 Total Shots 21.86
4.6 Corners 5.29
52.6% Ball Possession 66.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Toulouse won 1 times, Paris Saint Germain won 12 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:35 from Toulouse's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 3.29 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Toulouse 4-2-3-1 / Paris Saint Germain 4-3-3
H2H summary: Toulouse wins 1, draws 1, Paris Saint Germain wins 12

Standings

Ligue 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 5 4 1 0 8:3 5 13
W D W W W
2 5 3 2 0 10:2 8 11
W D W D W
3 5 3 2 0 8:3 5 11
W D W W D
4 5 3 1 1 8:4 4 10
L W W D W
5 5 3 1 1 8:9 -1 10
L W W W D
6 5 2 2 1 8:7 1 8
W W L D D
7 5 2 1 2 6:5 1 7
W D L W L
8 5 2 1 2 10:10 0 7
L D W W L
9 5 1 3 1 9:9 0 6
W D D L D
10 5 2 0 3 7:12 -5 6
W W L L L
11 5 1 2 2 7:8 -1 5
L L W D D
12 5 1 2 2 5:6 -1 5
L D W L D
13 5 1 2 2 7:9 -2 5
W D L D L
14 5 1 2 2 3:6 -3 5
W L D L D
15 5 1 1 3 9:9 0 4
L D L L W
16 5 1 1 3 4:11 -7 4
L L L W D
17 5 1 0 4 7:8 -1 3
L L L L W
18 5 0 2 3 4:7 -3 2
L D L D L
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Relegation