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GEORGIA › EROVNULI LIGA
14.09.2026 15:00
Stadion Ramaz Shengelia
Referee: G. Avazashvili
Torpedo Kutaisi
Match Timeline
Samgurali
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
4'
I. Siradze · Assist: L. Gegetchkori
Samgurali
⚽
22'
G. Arabidze
Torpedo Kutaisi
⚽
26'
K. Andric · Assist: G. Arabidze
Torpedo Kutaisi
🔄
54'
D. Krasovski ↔ Claudio Cebolinha
Samgurali
🟨
65'
Luqman Gilmore
Samgurali
🔄
66'
M. Stamatov ↔ T. Nadaraia
Torpedo Kutaisi
🔄
66'
D. Bukia ↔ L. Latsabidze
Torpedo Kutaisi
🔄
66'
I. Siradze ↔ I. Bidzinashvili
Samgurali
🔄
66'
L. Gilmore ↔ N. Tsetskhladze
Samgurali
⚽
67'
N. Lominadze · Assist: G. Arabidze
Torpedo Kutaisi
🟨
69'
Tsotne Nadaraia
Torpedo Kutaisi
🔄
76'
K. Andric ↔ D. Skorup
Torpedo Kutaisi
🔄
76'
G. Arabidze ↔ V. Pinson
Torpedo Kutaisi
🔄
78'
Gean Rodrigues ↔ N. Khorkheli
Samgurali
🔄
78'
L. Shergelashvili ↔ G. Gogia
Samgurali
🔄
83'
N. Lominadze ↔ M. Chitaishvili
Torpedo Kutaisi
🟨
86'
Virgile Pinson
Torpedo Kutaisi
⚽
90'
O. Patarkatsishvili · Assist: L. Gegetchkori
Samgurali

Torpedo Kutaisi vs Samgurali Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 55.8%
Odds 3.61
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds 1.61
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds 1.76
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
55.8%
3.61 ▥
BTTS Yes
82.5%
1.61 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
1.76 ▥
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
8.00 ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
13.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Torpedo Kutaisi Win 32.6%
Draw 11.6%
Samgurali Win 55.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Torpedo Kutaisi1.49
Samgurali1.39
Recent Form (Last 5)
Torpedo Kutaisi Torpedo Kutaisi
WWDLW
45 GF / 39 GA
Samgurali Samgurali
WLDWL
51 GF / 55 GA
Key Stats
1.41
Average Goals Scored
1.5
1.22
Average Goals Conceded
1.62
18
BTTS Yes
23
16
Over 2.5
21
3.92
Shots on Goal
4.32

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Torpedo Kutaisi Torpedo Kutaisi 32 matches
Samgurali Samgurali 34 matches
Torpedo Kutaisi Statistic Samgurali
11 Wins 13
10 Draws 8
11 Losses 13
45 Goals For 51
39 Goals Against 55
1.41 Avg Goals Scored 1.5
1.22 Avg Goals Conceded 1.62
18 BTTS Yes 23
23 Over 1.5 27
16 Over 2.5 21
7 Over 3.5 13
7 Clean Sheets 8
9 Failed To Score 6
3.92 Shots On Goal 4.32
3.96 Total Shots 3.56
4.56 Corners 5.36
54.7% Ball Possession 50.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and Torpedo Kutaisi's more proactive style and Samgurali's more cautious structure points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Samgurali. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Samgurali having the stronger overall control. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Torpedo Kutaisi Analysis

Torpedo Kutaisi sit 6 with 32 points after 24 league matches. The record of 8 wins, 8 draws, and 8 defeats, together with a 37:28 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked fairly stable. At home, their split return of 5 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Samgurali Analysis

Samgurali sit 7 with 32 points after 24 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 9 wins, 5 draws, and 10 losses, while the 33:43 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, their split return of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 7 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Torpedo Kutaisi won 8 times, Samgurali won 3 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 30:16 from Torpedo Kutaisi's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 3.07 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (88.4%)
Predicted formations: Torpedo Kutaisi 4-4-2 / Samgurali 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Torpedo Kutaisi wins 8, draws 4, Samgurali wins 3

Standings

Umaglesi Liga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 28 14 7 7 35:24 11 49
W L W D L
2 28 15 4 9 40:31 9 49
W L W W W
3 27 13 9 5 45:30 15 48
W W W D D
4 27 13 8 6 46:36 10 47
W D W W W
5 28 12 4 12 39:33 6 40
L W L D W
6 28 9 10 9 46:37 9 37
D L W D D
7 27 9 5 13 38:52 -14 32
L L L L D
8 27 6 11 10 25:37 -12 29
D L D L W
9 28 5 11 12 37:46 -9 26
D L L D D
10 28 2 11 15 21:46 -25 17
L D L D D
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga (Relegation)
Relegation - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2