Toluca
Match Timeline
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
Toluca vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
1X2
Home Win
BTTS
Yes
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
43.9%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
58.2%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
58.6%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
71.3%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Probability Distribution
Toluca Win 43.9%
Draw 15%
U.N.A.M. - Pumas Win 41.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Toluca2.08
U.N.A.M. - Pumas1.08
Recent Form (Last 5)
Toluca
WWDLW
24 GF / 12 GA
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
WLDWL
5 GF / 8 GA
Key Stats
2.4
Average Goals Scored
1
1.2
Average Goals Conceded
1.6
5
BTTS Yes
1
7
Over 2.5
3
7.38
Shots on Goal
4.67
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Toluca
10 matches
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
5 matches
| Toluca | Statistic | U.N.A.M. - Pumas |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Wins | 2 |
| 2 | Draws | 0 |
| 3 | Losses | 3 |
| 24 | Goals For | 5 |
| 12 | Goals Against | 8 |
| 2.4 | Avg Goals Scored | 1 |
| 1.2 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.6 |
| 5 | BTTS Yes | 1 |
| 9 | Over 1.5 | 3 |
| 7 | Over 2.5 | 3 |
| 5 | Over 3.5 | 1 |
| 4 | Clean Sheets | 2 |
| 1 | Failed To Score | 2 |
| 7.38 | Shots On Goal | 4.67 |
| 18.13 | Total Shots | 12.67 |
| 3.88 | Corners | 3.67 |
| 58.9% | Ball Possession | 50.3% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Toluca won 4 times, U.N.A.M. - Pumas won 5 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:23 from Toluca's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 2.8 goals per game.
1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (85%)
Predicted formations: Toluca 4-2-3-1 / U.N.A.M. - Pumas 4-3-3
H2H summary: Toluca wins 4, draws 6, U.N.A.M. - Pumas wins 5
Standings
Liga MX: Apertura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 22:11 | 11 | 21 |
D
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 2 |
Toluca
Home
|
11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 25:15 | 10 | 20 |
L
D
L
W
W
|
| 3 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 15:8 | 7 | 20 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 18:11 | 7 | 19 |
D
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 5 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 15:12 | 3 | 18 |
D
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 6 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 17:18 | -1 | 18 |
D
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 7 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 19:18 | 1 | 16 |
D
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 8 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 15:14 | 1 | 15 |
D
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 9 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 12:13 | -1 | 15 |
D
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 10 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 17:15 | 2 | 14 |
D
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 11 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 13:15 | -2 | 13 |
W
W
L
D
D
|
|
| 12 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 15:11 | 4 | 12 |
L
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 13 |
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
Away
|
10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14:16 | -2 | 12 |
L
D
L
W
L
|
| 14 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14:18 | -4 | 12 |
W
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 15 | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 12:17 | -5 | 11 |
L
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 16 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 10:15 | -5 | 10 |
W
W
W
L
D
|
|
| 17 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 12:20 | -8 | 8 |
L
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 18 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 8:26 | -18 | 4 |
D
L
W
L
L
|
Promotion - Liga MX (Apertura - Play Offs: Quarter-finals)