Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
71.4%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
67.1%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
58.6%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 1-2 |
-
|
- |
Tigre
River Plate
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Tigre
21 matches
River Plate
27 matches
| Tigre | Statistic | River Plate |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Wins | 13 |
| 9 | Draws | 4 |
| 6 | Losses | 10 |
| 23 | Goals For | 33 |
| 18 | Goals Against | 24 |
| 1.1 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.22 |
| 0.86 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.89 |
| 10 | BTTS Yes | 9 |
| 13 | Over 1.5 | 15 |
| 5 | Over 2.5 | 8 |
| 4 | Over 3.5 | 6 |
| 6 | Clean Sheets | 11 |
| 8 | Failed To Score | 8 |
| 4.26 | Shots On Goal | 5.43 |
| 13.68 | Total Shots | 16.65 |
| 3.95 | Corners | 5.91 |
| 44.4% | Ball Possession | 66% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. River Plate carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 2 with 29 points while Tigre sit 10 on 20, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors River Plate. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. River Plate arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly.
Tigre are currently 10 in the standings with 20 points from 16 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 4 wins, 8 draws, and 4 losses, while the 18:15 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Gonzalo Martínez (1 goals), David Romero (1 goals), with creative support from Ignacio Russo (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 3 wins, 4 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.
River Plate approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 2 with 29 points from 16 matches. The overall return of 9 wins, 2 draws, and 5 defeats with a 22:12 goal balance points toward mixed form and are going through a difficult losing run. Going forward they depend heavily on Facundo Colidio (4 goals), Sebastián Driussi (2 goals), Juan Fernando Quintero (1 goals), with creative support from Facundo Colidio (2 assists), Juan Fernando Quintero (2 assists), Joaquín Freitas (2 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, the split record of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader football approach still suggests balanced attacking football.
Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, Tigre won 4 times, River Plate won 3 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:12 from Tigre's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.5 goals per game.
Tigre
2
1
2
3
1
5
Lineups
Tigre
Aldosivi
Tigre
Belgrano Cordoba
Tigre
Racing Club
Tigre
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
Tigre
Independ. Rivadavia
Tigre
Rosario Central
Tigre
Sarmiento Junin
Tigre
Huracan
Tigre
Atletico Tucuman
Tigre
Independ. Rivadavia
Tigre
Banfield
Tigre
Argentinos JRS
Tigre
Velez Sarsfield
Tigre
Gimnasia L.P.
Tigre
Barracas Central
Tigre
Central Cordoba de Santiago
Tigre
Claypole
Tigre
Aldosivi
Tigre
River Plate
Tigre
Racing Club
River Plate
Argentinos JRS
River Plate
Rosario Central
River Plate
Gimnasia L.P.
River Plate
Barracas Central
River Plate
Aldosivi
River Plate
Flamengo
River Plate
Belgrano Cordoba
River Plate
Rosario Central
River Plate
Gimnasia L.P.
River Plate
San Lorenzo
River Plate
Atletico Tucuman
River Plate
Aldosivi
River Plate
Boca Juniors
River Plate
Racing Club
River Plate
Belgrano Cordoba
River Plate
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
River Plate
Sarmiento Junin
River Plate
Huracan
River Plate
Independ. Rivadavia
River Plate
Banfield
Tigre
Belgrano Cordoba
Tigre
Huracan
Tigre
Independ. Rivadavia
Tigre
Argentinos JRS
Tigre
Velez Sarsfield
Tigre
Gimnasia L.P.
Tigre
Claypole
Tigre
Aldosivi
Tigre
Racing Club
Tigre
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
River Plate
Gimnasia L.P.
River Plate
Flamengo
River Plate
Racing Club
River Plate
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
River Plate
Huracan
River Plate
Independ. Rivadavia
River Plate
Velez Sarsfield
River Plate
Argentinos JRS
River Plate
Rosario Central
River Plate
Barracas Central
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 29:15 | 14 | 34 |
D
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 2 |
River Plate
Away
|
16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 22:12 | 10 | 29 |
W
L
L
L
L
|
| 3 | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 17:13 | 4 | 29 |
L
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 20:16 | 4 | 28 |
W
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 5 | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 17:13 | 4 | 26 |
W
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 6 | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 19:19 | 0 | 26 |
L
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 7 | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 17:13 | 4 | 22 |
D
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 8 | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 17:15 | 2 | 21 |
L
L
L
D
W
|
|
| 9 | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15:15 | 0 | 21 |
L
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 10 |
Tigre
Home
|
16 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 18:15 | 3 | 20 |
D
W
D
W
L
|
| 11 | 16 | 6 | 1 | 9 | 13:20 | -7 | 19 |
W
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 12 | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 17:19 | -2 | 18 |
L
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 13 | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 15:20 | -5 | 14 |
D
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 14 | 16 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 6:19 | -13 | 8 |
L
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 15 | 16 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 5:24 | -19 | 5 |
D
L
L
D
L
|