CHINA SUPER LEAGUE
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Olympic Sports Center Stadium

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 50.4%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 54.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 52.4%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
50.4%
-
BTTS Yes
54.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
52.4%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
81.8%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Tianjin Teda Win 37.3%
Draw 12.3%
Qingdao Youth Island Win 50.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Tianjin Teda1.29
Qingdao Youth Island1.19
Recent Form (Last 5)
Tianjin Teda Tianjin Teda
WWDLW
32 GF / 31 GA
Qingdao Youth Island Qingdao Youth Island
WLDWL
29 GF / 32 GA
Key Stats
1.33
Average Goals Scored
1.12
1.29
Average Goals Conceded
1.23
13
BTTS Yes
15
12
Over 2.5
8
3.61
Shots on Goal
3.46

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Tianjin Teda Tianjin Teda 24 matches
Qingdao Youth Island Qingdao Youth Island 26 matches
Tianjin Teda Statistic Qingdao Youth Island
7 Wins 8
7 Draws 13
10 Losses 5
32 Goals For 29
31 Goals Against 32
1.33 Avg Goals Scored 1.12
1.29 Avg Goals Conceded 1.23
13 BTTS Yes 15
18 Over 1.5 20
12 Over 2.5 8
5 Over 3.5 6
7 Clean Sheets 8
6 Failed To Score 7
3.61 Shots On Goal 3.46
10.7 Total Shots 10.75
4.3 Corners 4.21
43.7% Ball Possession 44.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Tianjin Teda's more proactive style and Qingdao Youth Island's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Qingdao Youth Island. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Tianjin Teda expected to line up in 5-3-2 and Qingdao Youth Island in 4-1-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Qingdao Youth Island having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Qingdao Youth Island carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 5 with 33 points while Tianjin Teda sit 14 on 17, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.

Tianjin Teda Analysis

Tianjin Teda sit 14 with 17 points after 22 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 7 wins, 6 draws, and 9 losses, together with goals at 32:30, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Alberto Quiles (1 goals), Junxian Liu (1 goals), with creative support from Bruno Xadas (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. At home, the split record of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests balanced attacking football.

Qingdao Youth Island Analysis

Placed 5 with 33 points from 23 outings, Qingdao Youth Island continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Across the campaign, they have posted 7 wins, 12 draws, and 4 losses, while the 26:29 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Samir Memisevic (1 goals), Xinli Peng (1 goals), Nelson Luz (1 goals), with creative support from Davidson (1 assists), Yu Dong (1 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 3 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Tianjin Teda won 2 times, Qingdao Youth Island won 0 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 8:5 from Tianjin Teda's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.6 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (87.7%)
Predicted formations: Tianjin Teda 5-3-2 / Qingdao Youth Island 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: Tianjin Teda wins 2, draws 3, Qingdao Youth Island wins 0
Last matches: Tianjin Teda
22.08.26
Sup
Tianjin Teda
Wuhan Three Towns
0
0
D
15.08.26
Sup
Tianjin Teda
Beijing Guoan
2
4
L
09.08.26
Sup
Tianjin Teda
Shandong Luneng
1
2
L
01.08.26
Sup
Tianjin Teda
Yunnan Yukun
3
2
W
25.07.26
Sup
Tianjin Teda
Qingdao Jonoon
2
0
W
18.07.26
Sup
Tianjin Teda
Shanghai Shenhua
2
0
W
04.07.26
Sup
Tianjin Teda
Sichuan Jiuniu
3
0
W
27.06.26
Sup
Tianjin Teda
Chongqing Tongliang Long
0
1
L
31.05.26
Sup
Tianjin Teda
Dalian Zhixing
1
0
W
23.05.26
Sup
Tianjin Teda
SHANGHAI SIPG
1
1
D
19.05.26
Sup
Tianjin Teda
Henan Jianye
1
2
L
15.05.26
Sup
Tianjin Teda
Chengdu Better City
1
2
L
10.05.26
Sup
Tianjin Teda
Hangzhou Greentown
1
1
D
05.05.26
Sup
Tianjin Teda
Qingdao Youth Island
1
1
D
01.05.26
Sup
Tianjin Teda
Wuhan Three Towns
2
2
D
25.04.26
Sup
Tianjin Teda
Beijing Guoan
4
2
W
21.04.26
Sup
Tianjin Teda
Shandong Luneng
1
2
L
17.04.26
Sup
Tianjin Teda
Yunnan Yukun
3
0
W
12.04.26
Sup
Tianjin Teda
Qingdao Jonoon
1
1
D
05.04.26
Sup
Tianjin Teda
Shanghai Shenhua
2
3
L
Last matches: Qingdao Youth Island
22.08.26
Sup
Qingdao Youth Island
Shandong Luneng
2
0
W
14.08.26
Sup
Qingdao Youth Island
Chongqing Tongliang Long
0
0
D
09.08.26
Sup
Qingdao Youth Island
Henan Jianye
0
0
D
02.08.26
Sup
Qingdao Youth Island
Qingdao Jonoon
2
0
W
25.07.26
Sup
Qingdao Youth Island
Shenyang Urban
1
0
W
17.07.26
Sup
Qingdao Youth Island
Chengdu Better City
1
1
D
11.07.26
Sup
Qingdao Youth Island
Sichuan Jiuniu
0
3
L
04.07.26
Sup
Qingdao Youth Island
SHANGHAI SIPG
2
1
W
28.06.26
Sup
Qingdao Youth Island
Hangzhou Greentown
3
1
W
30.05.26
Sup
Qingdao Youth Island
Shanghai Shenhua
2
2
D
24.05.26
Sup
Qingdao Youth Island
Yunnan Yukun
3
2
W
19.05.26
Sup
Qingdao Youth Island
Beijing Guoan
1
1
D
15.05.26
Sup
Qingdao Youth Island
Dalian Zhixing
3
2
W
10.05.26
Sup
Qingdao Youth Island
Wuhan Three Towns
1
1
D
05.05.26
Sup
Qingdao Youth Island
Tianjin Teda
1
1
D
01.05.26
Sup
Qingdao Youth Island
Shandong Luneng
1
1
D
26.04.26
Sup
Qingdao Youth Island
Chongqing Tongliang Long
1
1
D
22.04.26
Sup
Qingdao Youth Island
Henan Jianye
0
0
D
17.04.26
Sup
Qingdao Youth Island
Qingdao Jonoon
0
0
D
11.04.26
Sup
Qingdao Youth Island
Shenyang Urban
1
1
D
H2H: Tianjin Teda vs Qingdao Youth Island
05.05.26
H2H
Qingdao Youth Island
Tianjin Teda
1
1
D
10.08.25
H2H
Tianjin Teda
Qingdao Youth Island
0
0
D
06.04.25
H2H
Qingdao Youth Island
Tianjin Teda
2
2
D
27.07.24
H2H
Tianjin Teda
Qingdao Youth Island
2
1
W
10.04.24
H2H
Qingdao Youth Island
Tianjin Teda
1
3
W
Last matches: Tianjin Teda
15.08.26
Sup
Tianjin Teda
Beijing Guoan
2
4
L
01.08.26
Sup
Tianjin Teda
Yunnan Yukun
3
2
W
04.07.26
Sup
Tianjin Teda
Sichuan Jiuniu
3
0
W
31.05.26
Sup
Tianjin Teda
Dalian Zhixing
1
0
W
19.05.26
Sup
Tianjin Teda
Henan Jianye
1
2
L
15.05.26
Sup
Tianjin Teda
Chengdu Better City
1
2
L
01.05.26
Sup
Tianjin Teda
Wuhan Three Towns
2
2
D
21.04.26
Sup
Tianjin Teda
Shandong Luneng
1
2
L
12.04.26
Sup
Tianjin Teda
Qingdao Jonoon
1
1
D
05.04.26
Sup
Tianjin Teda
Shanghai Shenhua
2
3
L
07.03.26
Sup
Tianjin Teda
Chongqing Tongliang Long
0
0
D
H2H at home: Tianjin Teda
10.08.25
H2H
Tianjin Teda
Qingdao Youth Island
0
0
D
27.07.24
H2H
Tianjin Teda
Qingdao Youth Island
2
1
W
Last matches: Qingdao Youth Island
09.08.26
Sup
Qingdao Youth Island
Henan Jianye
0
0
D
25.07.26
Sup
Qingdao Youth Island
Shenyang Urban
1
0
W
11.07.26
Sup
Qingdao Youth Island
Sichuan Jiuniu
0
3
L
24.05.26
Sup
Qingdao Youth Island
Yunnan Yukun
3
2
W
15.05.26
Sup
Qingdao Youth Island
Dalian Zhixing
3
2
W
01.05.26
Sup
Qingdao Youth Island
Shandong Luneng
1
1
D
26.04.26
Sup
Qingdao Youth Island
Chongqing Tongliang Long
1
1
D
17.04.26
Sup
Qingdao Youth Island
Qingdao Jonoon
0
0
D
03.04.26
Sup
Qingdao Youth Island
Chengdu Better City
1
5
L
15.03.26
Sup
Qingdao Youth Island
SHANGHAI SIPG
1
4
L
08.03.26
Sup
Qingdao Youth Island
Hangzhou Greentown
0
2
L
11.02.26
Fri
Qingdao Youth Island
Pyunik Yerevan
1
1
D
07.02.26
Fri
Qingdao Youth Island
FC Rostov
0
2
L
H2H away: Qingdao Youth Island
10.08.25
H2H
Tianjin Teda
Qingdao Youth Island
0
0
D
27.07.24
H2H
Tianjin Teda
Qingdao Youth Island
2
1
L

Standings

Super League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 24 14 6 4 49:29 20 48
L W L D D
2 24 11 8 5 48:32 16 36
D W W W W
3 24 8 12 4 28:29 -1 36
W D D W W
4 24 11 3 10 35:40 -5 36
W D L W D
5 24 10 5 9 49:45 4 35
D W W L W
6 24 12 3 9 42:40 2 33
L W W W L
7 24 7 9 8 25:28 -3 30
L D L L L
8 24 9 7 8 39:33 6 29
W D W W L
9 24 11 5 8 47:42 5 28
W L W W L
10 24 8 3 13 33:43 -10 27
D W L W L
11 23 8 6 9 34:40 -6 25
D L L W D
12 23 7 4 12 33:39 -6 25
D L L W L
13 23 8 6 9 31:33 -2 24
D L D D W
14 23 7 7 9 32:30 2 18
D L L W W
15 22 4 9 9 30:38 -8 16
D L D W W
16 24 6 3 15 32:46 -14 14
L L L L L
AFC Champions League Elite League Stage
AFC Champions League 2 Group Stage
Relegation