ICELAND 1. DEILD
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Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 64%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
64%
-
BTTS Yes
75%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Throttur Reykjavik Win 64%
Draw 5%
Vestri Win 31.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Throttur Reykjavik2.13
Vestri1.59
Recent Form (Last 5)
Throttur Reykjavik Throttur Reykjavik
WWDLW
24 GF / 11 GA
Vestri Vestri
WLDWL
21 GF / 19 GA
Key Stats
2.4
Average Goals Scored
1.91
1.1
Average Goals Conceded
1.73
6
BTTS Yes
6
6
Over 2.5
6
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Throttur Reykjavik Throttur Reykjavik 10 matches
Vestri Vestri 11 matches
Throttur Reykjavik Statistic Vestri
7 Wins 6
1 Draws 1
2 Losses 4
24 Goals For 21
11 Goals Against 19
2.4 Avg Goals Scored 1.91
1.1 Avg Goals Conceded 1.73
6 BTTS Yes 6
10 Over 1.5 9
6 Over 2.5 6
5 Over 3.5 4
4 Clean Sheets 2
0 Failed To Score 3
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights Throttur Reykjavik's more proactive style and Vestri's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Vestri. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Vestri having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Throttur Reykjavik Analysis

Throttur Reykjavik approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 1 on 19 points after 9 outings. The return of 6 wins, 1 draws, and 2 defeats, together with goals at 21:10, reflects good form and are on a winning streak. Much of their attacking edge comes through O. Hinriksson (5 goals), S. Larusson (4 goals), V. Sigurdsson (4 goals), with creative support from V. Sigurdsson (4 assists), S. Larusson (3 assists), K. Kristjansson (2 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. At home, they have managed 4 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

Vestri Analysis

Vestri approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 4 on 16 points after 10 outings. The return of 5 wins, 1 draws, and 4 defeats, together with goals at 19:19, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through I. Balde (4 goals), C. Morfelt (2 goals), G. Hauksson (2 goals), with creative support from B. Hermannsson (4 assists), G. Hauksson (2 assists), T. G. Hafthorsson (1 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. Away from home, they have managed 2 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In stylistic terms they continue to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, Throttur Reykjavik won 2 times, Vestri won 6 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:13 from Throttur Reykjavik's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.75 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.1%)
H2H summary: Throttur Reykjavik wins 2, draws 0, Vestri wins 6
Last matches: Throttur Reykjavik
21.06.26
1.
Throttur Reykjavik
Ægir
3
1
W
12.06.26
1.
Throttur Reykjavik
HK Kopavogur
2
0
W
06.06.26
1.
Throttur Reykjavik
Fylkir
3
1
W
01.06.26
1.
Throttur Reykjavik
Grindavik
2
0
W
27.05.26
1.
Throttur Reykjavik
Grotta
2
3
L
22.05.26
1.
Throttur Reykjavik
Afturelding
3
4
L
18.05.26
1.
Throttur Reykjavik
Leiknir R.
1
1
D
09.05.26
1.
Throttur Reykjavik
Völsungur
3
0
W
01.05.26
1.
Throttur Reykjavik
IR Reykjavik
3
1
W
25.04.26
1.
Throttur Reykjavik
Njardvik
2
0
W
Last matches: Vestri
21.06.26
1.
Vestri
Afturelding
2
0
W
17.06.26
1.
Vestri
Ægir
3
2
W
13.06.26
1.
Vestri
Leiknir R.
0
1
L
06.06.26
1.
Vestri
Völsungur
5
1
W
31.05.26
1.
Vestri
IR Reykjavik
1
0
W
27.05.26
1.
Vestri
Njardvik
0
3
L
23.05.26
1.
Vestri
Grotta
3
5
L
17.05.26
1.
Vestri
Ægir
2
1
W
09.05.26
1.
Vestri
HK Kopavogur
4
3
W
04.05.26
1.
Vestri
Fylkir
0
2
L
25.04.26
1.
Vestri
Grindavik
1
1
D
H2H: Throttur Reykjavik vs Vestri
25.03.25
H2H
Throttur Reykjavik
Vestri
0
1
L
09.09.23
H2H
Vestri
Throttur Reykjavik
2
1
L
08.07.23
H2H
Throttur Reykjavik
Vestri
1
2
L
17.07.21
H2H
Vestri
Throttur Reykjavik
2
1
L
15.05.21
H2H
Throttur Reykjavik
Vestri
1
3
L
06.09.20
H2H
Throttur Reykjavik
Vestri
2
1
W
12.07.20
H2H
Vestri
Throttur Reykjavik
1
0
L
13.06.20
H2H
Throttur Reykjavik
Vestri
3
1
W
Last matches: Throttur Reykjavik
12.06.26
1.
Throttur Reykjavik
HK Kopavogur
2
0
W
01.06.26
1.
Throttur Reykjavik
Grindavik
2
0
W
27.05.26
1.
Throttur Reykjavik
Grotta
2
3
L
18.05.26
1.
Throttur Reykjavik
Leiknir R.
1
1
D
01.05.26
1.
Throttur Reykjavik
IR Reykjavik
3
1
W
25.04.26
1.
Throttur Reykjavik
Njardvik
2
0
W
H2H at home: Throttur Reykjavik
25.03.25
H2H
Throttur Reykjavik
Vestri
0
1
L
08.07.23
H2H
Throttur Reykjavik
Vestri
1
2
L
15.05.21
H2H
Throttur Reykjavik
Vestri
1
3
L
06.09.20
H2H
Throttur Reykjavik
Vestri
2
1
W
13.06.20
H2H
Throttur Reykjavik
Vestri
3
1
W
Last matches: Vestri
13.06.26
1.
Vestri
Leiknir R.
0
1
L
31.05.26
1.
Vestri
IR Reykjavik
1
0
W
23.05.26
1.
Vestri
Grotta
3
5
L
17.05.26
1.
Vestri
Ægir
2
1
W
04.05.26
1.
Vestri
Fylkir
0
2
L
H2H away: Vestri
25.03.25
H2H
Throttur Reykjavik
Vestri
0
1
W
08.07.23
H2H
Throttur Reykjavik
Vestri
1
2
W
15.05.21
H2H
Throttur Reykjavik
Vestri
1
3
W
06.09.20
H2H
Throttur Reykjavik
Vestri
2
1
L
13.06.20
H2H
Throttur Reykjavik
Vestri
3
1
L

Standings

1. Deild
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 7 1 2 24:11 13 22
W W W W L
2 10 7 0 3 19:13 6 21
W W L L W
3 11 6 1 4 21:19 2 19
W W L W W
4 9 5 1 3 23:17 6 16
L L W W W
5 10 5 1 4 18:18 0 16
D L W L W
6 10 4 3 3 12:11 1 15
L W W W L
7 10 4 2 4 13:9 4 14
W L W L W
8 9 4 0 5 17:22 -5 12
L L W W W
9 10 3 2 5 22:27 -5 11
D W L L L
10 9 1 5 3 9:12 -3 8
D L L L D
11 10 2 1 7 12:20 -8 7
L L L W W
12 10 1 3 6 11:22 -11 6
D W L L L
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