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ICELAND › ÚRVALSDEILD
15.08.2026 17:00
Thorsvollur
Referee: P. Gudmundsson
Thor Akureyri
Match Timeline
Keflavik
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
16'
A. Johannesson
Keflavik
⚽
32'
E. Ragnarsson · Assist: S. Magnusson
Keflavik
🟨
56'
M. Brigic
Keflavik
🟨
60'
A. Hlynsson
Thor Akureyri
🔄
65'
A. Johannesson ↔ E. Bwomono
Keflavik
🔄
67'
F. Gislason ↔ A. Sigurjonsson
Thor Akureyri
🔄
67'
T. Ingolfsson ↔ A. Magnusson
Thor Akureyri
🟨
70'
V. Bertomeu
Thor Akureyri
🔄
71'
B. Gudlaugsson ↔ M. Simicic
Keflavik
🔄
78'
V. Bertomeu ↔ P. Helgason
Thor Akureyri
🔄
79'
A. Arnarsson ↔ S. Gunnarsson
Thor Akureyri
🔄
86'
K. Vazquez ↔ B. Hlynsson
Thor Akureyri
⚽
87'
E. Ragnarsson · Assist: M. Al Ghoul
Keflavik
🔄
89'
M. Mudrazija ↔ F. Elvarsson
Keflavik
🔄
89'
S. Magnusson ↔ E. Bjarnason
Keflavik

Thor Akureyri vs Keflavik Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 93.6%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
93.6%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
82.5%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Thor Akureyri Win 48.5%
Draw 6.4%
Keflavik Win 45.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Thor Akureyri1.42
Keflavik1.9
Recent Form (Last 5)
Thor Akureyri Thor Akureyri
WWDLW
21 GF / 46 GA
Keflavik Keflavik
WLDWL
28 GF / 34 GA
Key Stats
1.11
Average Goals Scored
1.56
2.42
Average Goals Conceded
1.89
11
BTTS Yes
14
12
Over 2.5
12
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Thor Akureyri Thor Akureyri 19 matches
Keflavik Keflavik 18 matches
Thor Akureyri Statistic Keflavik
5 Wins 6
3 Draws 4
11 Losses 8
21 Goals For 28
46 Goals Against 34
1.11 Avg Goals Scored 1.56
2.42 Avg Goals Conceded 1.89
11 BTTS Yes 14
14 Over 1.5 15
12 Over 2.5 12
9 Over 3.5 8
3 Clean Sheets 3
6 Failed To Score 2
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Keflavik. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Keflavik having the stronger overall control.

Thor Akureyri Analysis

From their first 17 matches, Thor Akureyri have collected 15 points and now occupy 11 place in the table. Their overall return of 4 wins, 3 draws, and 10 losses with goals at 18:42 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 3 wins, 1 draws, and 5 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Keflavik Analysis

Keflavik come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 5 with 22 points from 17 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 6 wins, 4 draws, and 7 losses, while the 28:33 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 1 draws, and 5 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Thor Akureyri won 1 times, Keflavik won 10 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:29 from Thor Akureyri's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (93.6%)
Predicted formations: Thor Akureyri 4-3-3 / Keflavik -
H2H summary: Thor Akureyri wins 1, draws 4, Keflavik wins 10

Standings

Úrvalsdeild
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 22 16 5 1 67:21 46 53
W W D D W
2 22 13 6 3 56:42 14 45
D L D D W
3 22 13 5 4 74:49 25 44
L W L D W
4 22 8 6 8 43:41 2 30
L W L L L
5 22 8 6 8 39:41 -2 30
W L W D D
6 22 8 4 10 33:38 -5 28
D L L L W
7 22 8 4 10 42:50 -8 28
L W D W W
8 22 8 3 11 39:45 -6 27
D W W D L
9 22 4 9 9 27:39 -12 21
W W L W D
10 22 6 3 13 22:50 -28 21
L L W W L
11 22 5 5 12 35:48 -13 20
W L W D L
12 22 4 6 12 32:45 -13 18
D L D L L
Play-offs
Relegation Playoffs