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21.08.2026 22:30
Estadio Hernando Siles
Referee: L. Villarroel
The Strongest
Match Timeline
Universitario de Vinto
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
-5'
Bruno Poveda
Universitario de Vinto
⚽
7'
P. Alcocer
The Strongest
🟨
15'
Joel Calicho
Universitario de Vinto
⚽
29'
M. Chiatti
The Strongest
⚽
32'
A. Jara
Universitario de Vinto
🟨
41'
Esdras Mendoza
Universitario de Vinto
⚽
45'
A. Jara
Universitario de Vinto
🔄
46'
F. Quaglio ↔ Y. Portuncho
The Strongest
🔄
46'
V. Cuellar ↔ R. Castro
The Strongest
🔄
46'
P. Pedraza ↔ K. Romay
The Strongest
⚽
50'
M. Chiatti
The Strongest
🟨
54'
Adrián Estacio
The Strongest
🔄
58'
D. A. Camacho Almanza ↔ H. Rodriguez
Universitario de Vinto
🔄
58'
M. Gomez ↔ F. Pasadore
Universitario de Vinto
🟨
65'
Martín Chiatti
The Strongest
⚽
66'
H. Rodriguez
Universitario de Vinto
🔄
70'
O. Blanco ↔ R. Llano
Universitario de Vinto
🔄
71'
W. Saucedo ↔ K. F. Salvatierra Flores
The Strongest
🔄
71'
R. Ribera ↔ Saavedra
The Strongest
🔄
78'
J. Calicho ↔ J. Veizaga
Universitario de Vinto
🔄
78'
Esdras Mendoza ↔ M. Cuadiay Fernandez
Universitario de Vinto
⚽
85'
K. F. Salvatierra Flores · Assist: Saavedra
The Strongest
🟨
90+4'
Jaime Arrascaita
The Strongest

The Strongest vs Universitario de Vinto Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 74.4%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
74.4%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
71.2%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
77.9%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
The Strongest Win 74.4%
Draw 11.3%
Universitario de Vinto Win 14.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
The Strongest1.83
Universitario de Vinto1.3
Recent Form (Last 5)
The Strongest The Strongest
WWDLW
38 GF / 26 GA
Universitario de Vinto Universitario de Vinto
WLDWL
27 GF / 40 GA
Key Stats
1.65
Average Goals Scored
1.42
1.13
Average Goals Conceded
2.11
15
BTTS Yes
13
13
Over 2.5
12
2.65
Shots on Goal
3.8

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

The Strongest The Strongest 23 matches
Universitario de Vinto Universitario de Vinto 19 matches
The Strongest Statistic Universitario de Vinto
12 Wins 4
6 Draws 3
5 Losses 12
38 Goals For 27
26 Goals Against 40
1.65 Avg Goals Scored 1.42
1.13 Avg Goals Conceded 2.11
15 BTTS Yes 13
18 Over 1.5 17
13 Over 2.5 12
7 Over 3.5 7
5 Clean Sheets 1
6 Failed To Score 5
2.65 Shots On Goal 3.8
9.18 Total Shots 9.8
2.65 Corners 3.2
31.8% Ball Possession 31.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by The Strongest's more proactive style and Universitario de Vinto's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Universitario de Vinto. Universitario de Vinto arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Universitario de Vinto having the stronger overall control. The Strongest arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 3 with 27 points compared to Universitario de Vinto in 15 on 11, which underlines the gap in season consistency.

The Strongest Analysis

Placed 3 with 27 points from 14 outings, The Strongest continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Their overall return of 7 wins, 6 draws, and 1 losses with goals at 21:14 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, they have returned 3 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Universitario de Vinto Analysis

With 11 points from 14 games and a place of 15, Universitario de Vinto still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 9 losses, together with goals at 17:30, reflects poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed 1 wins, 0 draws, and 6 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, The Strongest won 10 times, Universitario de Vinto won 3 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 27:20 from The Strongest's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 3.36 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (88.7%)
Predicted formations: The Strongest 4-2-3-1 / Universitario de Vinto 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: The Strongest wins 10, draws 1, Universitario de Vinto wins 3

Standings

Primera División
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 20 13 6 1 47:13 34 45
W W W D D
2 20 14 3 3 54:22 32 45
W W W W W
3 20 12 6 2 39:22 17 42
W W W W W
4 20 8 8 4 27:14 13 32
W W D L D
5 20 9 3 8 36:27 9 30
W L L D W
6 20 7 9 4 31:27 4 30
L W W D D
7 20 8 5 7 32:39 -7 29
W L D L D
8 20 6 9 5 30:22 8 27
D W L D D
9 20 8 3 9 30:28 2 27
L W W L W
10 20 7 4 9 27:35 -8 25
L L L W L
11 20 6 3 11 32:50 -18 21
L L W D L
12 20 6 2 12 31:45 -14 20
L L W L D
13 20 6 2 12 21:40 -19 20
W L L L L
14 20 5 3 12 26:39 -13 18
D W L W L
15 20 4 4 12 15:39 -24 16
L L L W D
16 20 2 8 10 21:37 -16 14
L L L D D