ESTONIA MEISTRILIIGA
--.--.---- --:--
Tamme Stadium
Referee: K. Kaivoja
Tammeka
Match Timeline
Nõmme United
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
19'
M. Hydara · Assist: R. Kallas
Tammeka
30'
M. Palts · Assist: K. Oostenbrink
Nõmme United
🟨
42'
O. Kangaslahti
Tammeka
53'
P. Veelma · Assist: G. Uggeri
Tammeka
🔄
58'
R. Kallas ↔ M. Miil
Tammeka
🔄
58'
G. Uggeri ↔ C. Ignatius
Tammeka
🔄
58'
T. Lang ↔ H. Pedmanson
Tammeka
🔄
58'
G. Kabal ↔ O. Dacosta
Nõmme United
🟨
65'
A. Frolov
Nõmme United
🔄
70'
M. Hydara ↔ D. Epton
Tammeka
🔄
76'
B. Chisala ↔ A. Truuvaart
Nõmme United
🔄
76'
M. Palts ↔ K. Laanelaid
Nõmme United
78'
T. Koskor · Assist: C. Ignatius
Tammeka
🔄
80'
P. Marin ↔ K. Kiidron
Tammeka
🟨
86'
A. Truuvaart
Nõmme United
🟨
87'
M. Miil
Tammeka

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 76.9%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 35%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 24.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
76.9%
-
BTTS BTTS No
35%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
24.1%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Tammeka Win 42.5%
Draw 34.4%
Nõmme United Win 23.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Tammeka1.91
Nõmme United2.11
Recent Form (Last 5)
Tammeka Tammeka
WWDLW
25 GF / 26 GA
Nõmme United Nõmme United
WLDWL
45 GF / 46 GA
Key Stats
1.47
Average Goals Scored
2.5
1.53
Average Goals Conceded
2.56
8
BTTS Yes
15
10
Over 2.5
17
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Tammeka Tammeka 17 matches
Nõmme United Nõmme United 18 matches
Tammeka Statistic Nõmme United
7 Wins 8
2 Draws 2
8 Losses 8
25 Goals For 45
26 Goals Against 46
1.47 Avg Goals Scored 2.5
1.53 Avg Goals Conceded 2.56
8 BTTS Yes 15
12 Over 1.5 18
10 Over 2.5 17
6 Over 3.5 13
5 Clean Sheets 1
5 Failed To Score 2
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Nõmme United having the stronger overall control. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Nõmme United arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Nõmme United.

Tammeka Analysis

Tammeka are currently 7 in the standings with 13 points from 11 matches. The record of 4 wins, 1 draws, and 6 defeats, together with a 12:17 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through P. Marin (4 goals), T. Koskor (4 goals), Pedro Manoel (3 goals), with creative support from C. Ignatius (2 assists), Pedro Manoel (1 assists), G. Uggeri (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 2 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Nõmme United Analysis

With 13 points from 11 games and a place of 6, Nõmme United still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 4 wins, 1 draws, and 6 losses, together with goals at 25:27, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through O. Dacosta (4 goals), Z. Beglarishvili (4 goals), A. Frolov (3 goals), with creative support from Z. Beglarishvili (4 assists), H. Jarvelaid (4 assists), A. Frolov (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. Away from home, the split record of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, Tammeka won 5 times, Nõmme United won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:8 from Tammeka's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 3.71 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (76.9%)
H2H summary: Tammeka wins 5, draws 1, Nõmme United wins 1

Lineups

Tammeka
Formation
Nõmme United
K. Lapa
K. Lapa
Pedro Manoel
Pedro Manoel
O. Kangaslahti
O. Kangaslahti
R. Kallas
🎯
R. Kallas
P. Veelma
P. Veelma
T. Lang
T. Lang
G. Uggeri
🎯
G. Uggeri
Thomas Lisboa
Thomas Lisboa
M. Hydara
M. Hydara
T. Koskor
T. Koskor
P. Marin
P. Marin
G. Lagus
G. Lagus
R. Chanda
R. Chanda
K. Oostenbrink
🎯
K. Oostenbrink
M. Palts
M. Palts
B. Vain
B. Vain
G. Kabal
G. Kabal
A. Frolov
A. Frolov
H. Jarvelaid
H. Jarvelaid
Z. Beglarishvili
Z. Beglarishvili
B. Chisala
B. Chisala
K. Matas
K. Matas
Tammeka 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
26
K. Lapa
3
Pedro Manoel
44
O. Kangaslahti
🟨 42'
28
R. Kallas
🎯 19' ↓ 58'
23
P. Veelma
⚽ 53'
22
T. Lang
↓ 58'
10
G. Uggeri
🎯 53' ↓ 58'
7
Thomas Lisboa
99
M. Hydara
⚽ 19' ↓ 70'
19
T. Koskor
⚽ 78'
79
P. Marin
↓ 80'
Substitutes
55
J. Sakkis
77
C. Kiidjarv
4
M. Vaino
6
M. Karis
8
K. Kiidron
↑ 80'
9
M. Miil
↑ 58' 🟨 87'
11
R. Muur
15
D. Epton
↑ 70'
17
C. Ignatius
🎯 78' ↑ 58'
24
H. Pedmanson
↑ 58'
29
R. Silov
Nõmme United 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
G. Lagus
55
R. Chanda
26
K. Oostenbrink
🎯 30'
6
M. Palts
⚽ 30' ↓ 76'
8
B. Vain
24
G. Kabal
↓ 58'
10
A. Frolov
🟨 65'
45
H. Jarvelaid
49
Z. Beglarishvili
11
B. Chisala
↓ 76'
20
K. Matas
Substitutes
91
R. Ortega
3
S. Merilai
13
A. Truuvaart
↑ 76' 🟨 86'
16
O. Dacosta
↑ 58'
22
A. Radomskiy
23
K. Laanelaid
↑ 76'
Last matches: Tammeka
21.06.26
Mei
Tammeka
Trans Narva
1
0
W
17.06.26
Mei
Tammeka
Kalju Nomme
2
1
W
13.06.26
Mei
Tammeka
Vaprus
0
0
D
30.05.26
Mei
Tammeka
FC Levadia Tallinn
0
1
L
08.05.26
Mei
Tammeka
Kuressaare
1
0
W
01.05.26
Mei
Tammeka
Paide
1
0
W
25.04.26
Mei
Tammeka
Laagri
0
1
L
22.04.26
Mei
Tammeka
FC Levadia Tallinn
1
2
L
18.04.26
Mei
Tammeka
Vaprus
0
0
D
12.04.26
Mei
Tammeka
Paide
1
4
L
07.04.26
Mei
Tammeka
Trans Narva
0
3
L
03.04.26
Mei
Tammeka
Flora Tallinn
3
1
W
21.03.26
Mei
Tammeka
Nõmme United
3
2
W
14.03.26
Mei
Tammeka
Kuressaare
2
3
L
08.03.26
Mei
Tammeka
Kalju Nomme
0
1
L
27.02.26
Fri
Tammeka
Riga Mariners
1
1
D
15.02.26
Fri
Tammeka
Viimsi
2
0
W
08.02.26
Fri
Tammeka
FC Levadia Tallinn
2
4
L
31.01.26
Fri
Tammeka
Nõmme United
6
0
W
25.01.26
Fri
Tammeka
Tallinna Kalev
0
3
L
Last matches: Nõmme United
20.06.26
Mei
Nõmme United
Laagri
3
1
W
17.06.26
Mei
Nõmme United
FC Levadia Tallinn
1
2
L
13.06.26
Mei
Nõmme United
Trans Narva
2
1
W
29.05.26
Mei
Nõmme United
Flora Tallinn
0
4
L
20.05.26
Mei
Nõmme United
Kuressaare
1
2
L
10.05.26
Mei
Nõmme United
Paide
2
3
L
02.05.26
Mei
Nõmme United
Vaprus
3
2
W
25.04.26
Mei
Nõmme United
Kuressaare
2
1
W
22.04.26
Mei
Nõmme United
Kalju Nomme
1
7
L
18.04.26
Mei
Nõmme United
Laagri
1
2
L
11.04.26
Mei
Nõmme United
Trans Narva
5
1
W
08.04.26
Mei
Nõmme United
Paide
1
3
L
04.04.26
Mei
Nõmme United
FC Levadia Tallinn
1
1
D
21.03.26
Mei
Nõmme United
Tammeka
2
3
L
14.03.26
Mei
Nõmme United
Vaprus
7
1
W
07.03.26
Mei
Nõmme United
Flora Tallinn
0
3
L
20.02.26
Fri
Nõmme United
Viimsi
5
1
W
14.02.26
Fri
Nõmme United
FC Tallinn
3
0
W
07.02.26
Fri
Nõmme United
Kuressaare
3
3
D
01.02.26
Fri
Nõmme United
FS Jelgava
1
4
L
H2H: Tammeka vs Nõmme United
15.05.26
H2H
Tammeka
Nõmme United
3
1
W
21.03.26
H2H
Nõmme United
Tammeka
2
3
W
31.01.26
H2H
Nõmme United
Tammeka
0
6
W
09.11.24
H2H
Nõmme United
Tammeka
1
2
W
11.08.24
H2H
Tammeka
Nõmme United
1
1
D
04.07.24
H2H
Tammeka
Nõmme United
2
1
W
05.04.24
H2H
Nõmme United
Tammeka
2
1
L
24.02.23
H2H
Tammeka
Nõmme United
0
0
D
Last matches: Tammeka
21.06.26
Mei
Tammeka
Trans Narva
1
0
W
13.06.26
Mei
Tammeka
Vaprus
0
0
D
30.05.26
Mei
Tammeka
FC Levadia Tallinn
0
1
L
08.05.26
Mei
Tammeka
Kuressaare
1
0
W
22.04.26
Mei
Tammeka
FC Levadia Tallinn
1
2
L
12.04.26
Mei
Tammeka
Paide
1
4
L
03.04.26
Mei
Tammeka
Flora Tallinn
3
1
W
08.03.26
Mei
Tammeka
Kalju Nomme
0
1
L
15.02.26
Fri
Tammeka
Viimsi
2
0
W
25.01.26
Fri
Tammeka
Tallinna Kalev
0
3
L
H2H at home: Tammeka
15.05.26
H2H
Tammeka
Nõmme United
3
1
W
11.08.24
H2H
Tammeka
Nõmme United
1
1
D
04.07.24
H2H
Tammeka
Nõmme United
2
1
W
24.02.23
H2H
Tammeka
Nõmme United
0
0
D
Last matches: Nõmme United
20.06.26
Mei
Nõmme United
Laagri
3
1
W
13.06.26
Mei
Nõmme United
Trans Narva
2
1
W
20.05.26
Mei
Nõmme United
Kuressaare
1
2
L
02.05.26
Mei
Nõmme United
Vaprus
3
2
W
22.04.26
Mei
Nõmme United
Kalju Nomme
1
7
L
08.04.26
Mei
Nõmme United
Paide
1
3
L
04.04.26
Mei
Nõmme United
FC Levadia Tallinn
1
1
D
07.03.26
Mei
Nõmme United
Flora Tallinn
0
3
L
20.02.26
Fri
Nõmme United
Viimsi
5
1
W
07.02.26
Fri
Nõmme United
Kuressaare
3
3
D
24.01.26
Fri
Nõmme United
Trans Narva
4
3
W
18.01.26
Fri
Nõmme United
FC Levadia Tallinn
4
2
W
H2H away: Nõmme United
15.05.26
H2H
Tammeka
Nõmme United
3
1
L
11.08.24
H2H
Tammeka
Nõmme United
1
1
D
04.07.24
H2H
Tammeka
Nõmme United
2
1
L
24.02.23
H2H
Tammeka
Nõmme United
0
0
D

Standings

Meistriliiga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 18 13 4 1 46:15 31 43
L D W W W
2 17 11 0 6 35:19 16 33
W L W L W
3 18 9 4 5 30:15 15 31
D D L D L
4 18 8 5 5 27:22 5 29
D W W D D
5 16 7 2 7 18:20 -2 23
W W D L W
6 17 7 2 8 21:31 -10 23
W L D W L
7 17 6 1 10 33:40 -7 19
W L W L L
8 17 6 1 10 21:30 -9 19
L L L W L
9 17 5 2 10 17:27 -10 17
L D W D W
10 17 3 1 13 11:40 -29 10
L D L L W
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga