ESTONIA MEISTRILIIGA
--.--.---- --:--
Tamme Stadium
Referee: K. Koppel
Tammeka
Match Timeline
Kuressaare
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
40'
C. Ignatius
Tammeka
🔄
55'
C. Ignatius ↔ Kauan Pereira
Tammeka
55'
P. Marin
Tammeka
🟨
62'
M. Lukka
Kuressaare
🔄
63'
R. Kallas ↔ M. Miil
Tammeka
🔄
63'
G. Uggeri ↔ H. Pedmanson
Tammeka
🔄
72'
G. Roivassepp ↔ A. Visse
Kuressaare
🔄
72'
S. Sinilaid ↔ R. Lukas
Kuressaare
🔄
72'
R. Talu ↔ R. Tarkmeel
Kuressaare
🔄
78'
T. Lang ↔ M. Vaino
Tammeka
🔄
78'
P. Marin ↔ M. Hydara
Tammeka
🟨
87'
Kauan Pereira
Tammeka

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 67.5%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 26%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 25.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
67.5%
-
BTTS BTTS No
26%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
25.9%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Tammeka Win 67.5%
Draw 12.5%
Kuressaare Win 20%
Expected Goals (xG)
Tammeka1.86
Kuressaare1.53
Recent Form (Last 5)
Tammeka Tammeka
WWDLW
24 GF / 26 GA
Kuressaare Kuressaare
WLDWL
22 GF / 36 GA
Key Stats
1.5
Average Goals Scored
1.47
1.63
Average Goals Conceded
2.4
8
BTTS Yes
10
10
Over 2.5
11
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Tammeka Tammeka 16 matches
Kuressaare Kuressaare 15 matches
Tammeka Statistic Kuressaare
6 Wins 4
2 Draws 2
8 Losses 9
24 Goals For 22
26 Goals Against 36
1.5 Avg Goals Scored 1.47
1.63 Avg Goals Conceded 2.4
8 BTTS Yes 10
12 Over 1.5 13
10 Over 2.5 11
6 Over 3.5 7
4 Clean Sheets 1
5 Failed To Score 4
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Kuressaare. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Kuressaare having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Tammeka Analysis

With 10 points from 10 games and a place of 7, Tammeka still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 6 defeats with a 11:17 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on T. Koskor (4 goals), P. Marin (3 goals), Pedro Manoel (3 goals), with creative support from C. Ignatius (2 assists), Pedro Manoel (1 assists), G. Uggeri (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have managed 1 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Kuressaare Analysis

Kuressaare sit 9 with 9 points after 10 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 3 wins, 0 draws, and 7 defeats with a 11:19 goal balance points toward mixed form and are going through a difficult losing run. Going forward they depend heavily on A. Kivi (3 goals), J. Vahermagi (2 goals), R. Talu (2 goals), with creative support from R. Talu (3 assists), R. Piil (2 assists), E. Demidov (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have managed 1 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Tammeka won 5 times, Kuressaare won 6 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:17 from Tammeka's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.07 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (87.5%)
H2H summary: Tammeka wins 5, draws 4, Kuressaare wins 6

Lineups

Tammeka
Formation
Kuressaare
K. Lapa
K. Lapa
Pedro Manoel
Pedro Manoel
O. Kangaslahti
O. Kangaslahti
R. Kallas
R. Kallas
P. Veelma
P. Veelma
T. Lang
T. Lang
G. Uggeri
G. Uggeri
Thomas Lisboa
Thomas Lisboa
P. Marin
P. Marin
T. Koskor
T. Koskor
C. Ignatius
C. Ignatius
K. Nomm
K. Nomm
E. Demidov
E. Demidov
R. Piil
R. Piil
M. Lukka
M. Lukka
R. Saar
R. Saar
S. Sinilaid
S. Sinilaid
D. Andreas
D. Andreas
G. Roivassepp
G. Roivassepp
R. Talu
R. Talu
T. Jurisoo
T. Jurisoo
A. Kivi
A. Kivi
Tammeka 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
26
K. Lapa
3
Pedro Manoel
44
O. Kangaslahti
28
R. Kallas
↓ 63'
23
P. Veelma
22
T. Lang
↓ 78'
10
G. Uggeri
↓ 63'
7
Thomas Lisboa
79
P. Marin
⚽ 55' ↓ 78'
19
T. Koskor
17
C. Ignatius
↓ 55' 🟨 40'
Substitutes
77
C. Kiidjarv
4
M. Vaino
↑ 78'
6
M. Karis
8
K. Kiidron
9
M. Miil
↑ 63'
11
R. Muur
15
D. Epton
24
H. Pedmanson
↑ 63'
29
R. Silov
89
Kauan Pereira
↑ 55' 🟨 87'
99
M. Hydara
↑ 78'
Kuressaare 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
31
K. Nomm
77
E. Demidov
36
R. Piil
21
M. Lukka
🟨 62'
23
R. Saar
5
S. Sinilaid
↓ 72'
8
D. Andreas
17
G. Roivassepp
↓ 72'
7
R. Talu
↓ 72'
11
T. Jurisoo
10
A. Kivi
Substitutes
22
S. Ristna
13
A. Visse
↑ 72'
18
M. Dzemesjuk
25
J. Lonks
28
R. Lukas
↑ 72'
37
M. Leivategija
44
O. Joost
68
J. Vahermagi
80
R. Tarkmeel
↑ 72'
Last matches: Tammeka
21.06.26
Mei
Tammeka
Trans Narva
1
0
W
17.06.26
Mei
Tammeka
Kalju Nomme
2
1
W
13.06.26
Mei
Tammeka
Vaprus
0
0
D
30.05.26
Mei
Tammeka
FC Levadia Tallinn
0
1
L
15.05.26
Mei
Tammeka
Nõmme United
3
1
W
01.05.26
Mei
Tammeka
Paide
1
0
W
25.04.26
Mei
Tammeka
Laagri
0
1
L
22.04.26
Mei
Tammeka
FC Levadia Tallinn
1
2
L
18.04.26
Mei
Tammeka
Vaprus
0
0
D
12.04.26
Mei
Tammeka
Paide
1
4
L
07.04.26
Mei
Tammeka
Trans Narva
0
3
L
03.04.26
Mei
Tammeka
Flora Tallinn
3
1
W
21.03.26
Mei
Tammeka
Nõmme United
3
2
W
14.03.26
Mei
Tammeka
Kuressaare
2
3
L
08.03.26
Mei
Tammeka
Kalju Nomme
0
1
L
27.02.26
Fri
Tammeka
Riga Mariners
1
1
D
15.02.26
Fri
Tammeka
Viimsi
2
0
W
08.02.26
Fri
Tammeka
FC Levadia Tallinn
2
4
L
31.01.26
Fri
Tammeka
Nõmme United
6
0
W
25.01.26
Fri
Tammeka
Tallinna Kalev
0
3
L
Last matches: Kuressaare
26.06.26
Mei
Kuressaare
Vaprus
0
1
L
16.06.26
Mei
Kuressaare
Trans Narva
0
0
D
13.06.26
Mei
Kuressaare
Laagri
3
2
W
31.05.26
Mei
Kuressaare
Paide
1
1
D
20.05.26
Mei
Kuressaare
Nõmme United
2
1
W
17.05.26
Mei
Kuressaare
Kalju Nomme
0
2
L
02.05.26
Mei
Kuressaare
FC Levadia Tallinn
1
2
L
25.04.26
Mei
Kuressaare
Nõmme United
1
2
L
21.04.26
Mei
Kuressaare
Vaprus
0
1
L
18.04.26
Mei
Kuressaare
Trans Narva
2
1
W
11.04.26
Mei
Kuressaare
Laagri
3
2
W
07.04.26
Mei
Kuressaare
Flora Tallinn
1
2
L
03.04.26
Mei
Kuressaare
Paide
0
1
L
21.03.26
Mei
Kuressaare
Kalju Nomme
0
4
L
14.03.26
Mei
Kuressaare
Tammeka
3
2
W
08.03.26
Mei
Kuressaare
FC Levadia Tallinn
0
2
L
21.02.26
Fri
Kuressaare
Trans Narva
2
2
D
14.02.26
Fri
Kuressaare
Tallinna Kalev
2
0
W
07.02.26
Fri
Kuressaare
Nõmme United
3
3
D
31.01.26
Fri
Kuressaare
Vaprus
2
9
L
H2H: Tammeka vs Kuressaare
08.05.26
H2H
Tammeka
Kuressaare
1
0
W
14.03.26
H2H
Kuressaare
Tammeka
3
2
L
26.09.25
H2H
Tammeka
Kuressaare
0
1
L
11.07.25
H2H
Kuressaare
Tammeka
0
2
W
17.06.25
H2H
Kuressaare
Tammeka
2
3
W
22.04.25
H2H
Tammeka
Kuressaare
1
0
W
22.10.24
H2H
Tammeka
Kuressaare
2
1
W
12.07.24
H2H
Kuressaare
Tammeka
0
0
D
11.05.24
H2H
Kuressaare
Tammeka
0
0
D
13.04.24
H2H
Tammeka
Kuressaare
1
2
L
01.11.23
H2H
Tammeka
Kuressaare
0
1
L
02.09.23
H2H
Kuressaare
Tammeka
1
1
D
31.07.23
H2H
Kuressaare
Tammeka
3
1
L
27.05.23
H2H
Tammeka
Kuressaare
0
0
D
20.01.23
H2H
Tammeka
Kuressaare
0
3
L
Last matches: Tammeka
21.06.26
Mei
Tammeka
Trans Narva
1
0
W
13.06.26
Mei
Tammeka
Vaprus
0
0
D
30.05.26
Mei
Tammeka
FC Levadia Tallinn
0
1
L
15.05.26
Mei
Tammeka
Nõmme United
3
1
W
22.04.26
Mei
Tammeka
FC Levadia Tallinn
1
2
L
12.04.26
Mei
Tammeka
Paide
1
4
L
03.04.26
Mei
Tammeka
Flora Tallinn
3
1
W
08.03.26
Mei
Tammeka
Kalju Nomme
0
1
L
15.02.26
Fri
Tammeka
Viimsi
2
0
W
25.01.26
Fri
Tammeka
Tallinna Kalev
0
3
L
H2H at home: Tammeka
08.05.26
H2H
Tammeka
Kuressaare
1
0
W
26.09.25
H2H
Tammeka
Kuressaare
0
1
L
22.04.25
H2H
Tammeka
Kuressaare
1
0
W
22.10.24
H2H
Tammeka
Kuressaare
2
1
W
13.04.24
H2H
Tammeka
Kuressaare
1
2
L
01.11.23
H2H
Tammeka
Kuressaare
0
1
L
27.05.23
H2H
Tammeka
Kuressaare
0
0
D
20.01.23
H2H
Tammeka
Kuressaare
0
3
L
Last matches: Kuressaare
26.06.26
Mei
Kuressaare
Vaprus
0
1
L
13.06.26
Mei
Kuressaare
Laagri
3
2
W
31.05.26
Mei
Kuressaare
Paide
1
1
D
25.04.26
Mei
Kuressaare
Nõmme United
1
2
L
18.04.26
Mei
Kuressaare
Trans Narva
2
1
W
07.04.26
Mei
Kuressaare
Flora Tallinn
1
2
L
21.03.26
Mei
Kuressaare
Kalju Nomme
0
4
L
08.03.26
Mei
Kuressaare
FC Levadia Tallinn
0
2
L
31.01.26
Fri
Kuressaare
Vaprus
2
9
L
24.01.26
Fri
Kuressaare
Viimsi
2
3
L
H2H away: Kuressaare
08.05.26
H2H
Tammeka
Kuressaare
1
0
L
26.09.25
H2H
Tammeka
Kuressaare
0
1
W
22.04.25
H2H
Tammeka
Kuressaare
1
0
L
22.10.24
H2H
Tammeka
Kuressaare
2
1
L
13.04.24
H2H
Tammeka
Kuressaare
1
2
W
01.11.23
H2H
Tammeka
Kuressaare
0
1
W
27.05.23
H2H
Tammeka
Kuressaare
0
0
D
20.01.23
H2H
Tammeka
Kuressaare
0
3
W

Standings

Meistriliiga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 18 13 4 1 46:15 31 43
L D W W W
2 17 11 0 6 35:19 16 33
W L W L W
3 18 9 4 5 30:15 15 31
D D L D L
4 18 8 5 5 27:22 5 29
D W W D D
5 16 7 2 7 18:20 -2 23
W W D L W
6 17 7 2 8 21:31 -10 23
W L D W L
7 17 6 1 10 33:40 -7 19
W L W L L
8 17 6 1 10 21:30 -9 19
L L L W L
9 17 5 2 10 17:27 -10 17
L D W D W
10 17 3 1 13 11:40 -29 10
L D L L W
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga