ENGLAND › LEAGUE TWO

01.09.2026 18:45

Swindon Town

3 - 1

Port Vale

County Ground

Referee: M. Corlett

Swindon Town

Match Timeline

Port Vale

0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'

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Swindon Town vs Port Vale Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2

Home Win

Probability 49.7%

Odds 2.56

BTTS

Yes

Probability 67.1%

Odds 1.80

Over / Under 2.5

Over 2.5

Probability 58.6%

Odds 2.02

All Markets

Market	Option	Probability	Odds	Stats & Analysis
1X2	Home Win	49.7%	2.56	▥
BTTS	Yes	67.1%	1.80	▥
Over / Under 2.5	Over 2.5	58.6%	2.02	▥
Corners O/U	Under 11.5 Corners	74.9%	1.15	▥
HT / FT	Home / Home	-	4.33	▥
Correct Score	2-1	-	10.00	▥

Probability Distribution

Swindon Town Win 49.7%

Draw 15.4%

Port Vale Win 34.9%

Expected Goals (xG)

Swindon Town1.16

Port Vale1.61

Recent Form (Last 5)

Swindon Town

WWDLW

14 GF / 15 GA

Port Vale

WLDWL

11 GF / 4 GA

Key Stats

1.56

Average Goals Scored

1.57

1.67

Average Goals Conceded

0.57

BTTS Yes

Over 2.5

1.33

Shots on Goal

3.33

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Swindon Town 9 matches

Port Vale 7 matches

Swindon Town	Statistic	Port Vale
4	Wins	4
1	Draws	2
4	Losses	1
14	Goals For	11
15	Goals Against	4
1.56	Avg Goals Scored	1.57
1.67	Avg Goals Conceded	0.57
5	BTTS Yes	2
7	Over 1.5	4
7	Over 2.5	2
4	Over 3.5	2
2	Clean Sheets	4
3	Failed To Score	2
1.33	Shots On Goal	3.33
4	Total Shots	11
2.33	Corners	4.33
48.7%	Ball Possession	57.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Swindon Town won 7 times, Port Vale won 6 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 23:18 from Swindon Town's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.73 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win

BTTS: Yes

Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5

Highest model probability: 12 (84.6%)

Predicted formations: Swindon Town 4-3-3 / Port Vale 4-2-3-1

H2H summary: Swindon Town wins 7, draws 2, Port Vale wins 6

Standings

League Two

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	G	GD	PTS	Form
1	Salford City	10	6	1	3	15:10	5	19	W W W W D
2	Barnet	8	5	3	0	20:11	9	18	W W W D D
3	Crewe	10	4	6	0	12:7	5	18	W W D D D
4	Gillingham	10	4	4	2	15:10	5	16	W D L W W
5	York	9	4	3	2	17:11	6	15	D W L W D
6	Walsall	9	3	6	0	12:6	6	15	D D W D D
7	Chesterfield	10	4	3	3	17:14	3	15	D W L W W
8	Cheltenham	10	4	3	3	16:16	0	15	L L W D W
9	Bristol Rovers	10	5	0	5	15:17	-2	15	L L W L L
10	Rochdale	10	4	2	4	11:12	-1	14	D W W W D
11	Grimsby	10	3	4	3	13:11	2	13	L L L W W
12	Newport County	10	3	4	3	13:12	1	13	W D W D D
13	Tranmere	10	2	6	2	13:13	0	12	D L D D L
14	Exeter City	10	3	3	4	6:6	0	12	W W L D L
15	Accrington ST	10	2	5	3	13:14	-1	11	D W D D L
16	Fleetwood Town	10	2	5	3	10:11	-1	11	D L L L D
17	Swindon Town Home	10	3	2	5	9:14	-5	11	L L D L L
18	Shrewsbury	10	3	2	5	9:15	-6	11	L W D D W
19	Colchester	9	2	4	3	10:13	-3	10	L D D D L
20	Rotherham	10	2	4	4	12:16	-4	10	L L D W D
21	Oldham	9	2	2	5	9:13	-4	8	D L L L L
22	Port Vale Away	8	2	2	4	4:9	-5	8	W L W L L
23	Northampton	8	1	4	3	4:7	-3	7	D L L W D
24	Crawley Town	8	1	2	5	8:15	-7	5	D L L L D

Promotion - League One

Promotion - League Two (Play Offs: Semi-finals)

Relegation - National League