Swindon Town vs Crewe Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
60.1%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
86%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
61.1%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Swindon Town
Crewe
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Swindon Town
15 matches
Crewe
14 matches
| Swindon Town | Statistic | Crewe |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Wins | 5 |
| 2 | Draws | 8 |
| 7 | Losses | 1 |
| 21 | Goals For | 19 |
| 24 | Goals Against | 12 |
| 1.4 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.36 |
| 1.6 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.86 |
| 8 | BTTS Yes | 9 |
| 11 | Over 1.5 | 10 |
| 10 | Over 2.5 | 5 |
| 7 | Over 3.5 | 3 |
| 2 | Clean Sheets | 5 |
| 6 | Failed To Score | 2 |
| 3.11 | Shots On Goal | 3.33 |
| 9.11 | Total Shots | 12 |
| 4.22 | Corners | 5.22 |
| 44.8% | Ball Possession | 49.3% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and Crewe's more proactive style and Swindon Town's more cautious structure points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Swindon Town expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Crewe in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Crewe having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Crewe. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.
From their first 8 matches, Swindon Town have collected 11 points and now occupy 12 place in the table. Their overall return of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses with goals at 9:12 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by A. Drinan (4 goals), O. Clarke (1 goals), J. Hungbo (1 goals), with creative support from S. Negru (1 assists), A. Munda (1 assists), J. Thomson (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, they have returned 3 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Crewe are currently 9 in the standings with 12 points from 8 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 2 wins, 6 draws, and 0 losses, while the 8:6 goal ratio supports the view of poor form and have been stuck in a sequence of draws. Going forward they rely heavily on L. Offord (1 goals), J. March (1 goals), J. Stephenson (1 goals), with creative support from L. Billington (1 assists), J. Tabiner (1 assists), Calum Agius (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, the record of 1 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Swindon Town won 4 times, Crewe won 8 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:21 from Swindon Town's perspective. 11 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.73 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 13:10 | 3 | 16 |
W
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 2 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 17:10 | 7 | 15 |
W
W
D
D
D
|
|
| 3 |
Crewe
Away
|
9 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 11:7 | 4 | 15 |
W
D
D
D
D
|
| 4 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 16:14 | 2 | 15 |
L
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 5 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 14:14 | 0 | 15 |
L
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 6 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 16:10 | 6 | 14 |
W
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 7 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 11:5 | 6 | 14 |
D
W
D
D
D
|
|
| 8 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 15:12 | 3 | 14 |
W
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 9 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 13:10 | 3 | 13 |
L
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 10 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 11:9 | 2 | 13 |
D
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 11 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 10:11 | -1 | 13 |
W
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 12 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 12:12 | 0 | 11 |
L
D
D
L
W
|
|
| 13 |
Swindon Town
Home
|
9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9:13 | -4 | 11 |
L
D
L
L
W
|
| 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9:14 | -5 | 11 |
W
D
D
W
L
|
|
| 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 12:12 | 0 | 10 |
D
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 16 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 13:14 | -1 | 10 |
W
D
D
L
W
|
|
| 17 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 11:12 | -1 | 10 |
L
D
W
D
L
|
|
| 18 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 9:10 | -1 | 10 |
L
L
L
D
W
|
|
| 19 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 10:12 | -2 | 10 |
D
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 20 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5:6 | -1 | 9 |
W
L
D
L
D
|
|
| 21 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 9:13 | -4 | 7 |
L
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 22 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3:6 | -3 | 6 |
L
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 23 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3:9 | -6 | 5 |
L
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 24 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6:13 | -7 | 4 |
L
L
L
D
L
|