ENGLAND › LEAGUE TWO

05.09.2026 14:00

Swindon Town

3 - 1

Colchester

County Ground

Swindon Town

Match Timeline

Colchester

0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'

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Swindon Town vs Colchester Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2

Away Win

Probability 43%

Odds 2.62

BTTS

Yes

Probability 67.1%

Odds 1.62

Over / Under 2.5

Over 2.5

Probability 64.5%

Odds 1.78

All Markets

Market	Option	Probability	Odds	Stats & Analysis
1X2	Away Win	43%	2.62	▥
BTTS	Yes	67.1%	1.62	▥
Over / Under 2.5	Over 2.5	64.5%	1.78	▥
Corners O/U	Over 7.5 Corners	68.5%	1.17	▥
HT / FT	Draw / Away	-	6.50	▥
Correct Score	1-2	-	10.00	▥

Probability Distribution

Swindon Town Win 39%

Draw 18%

Colchester Win 43%

Expected Goals (xG)

Swindon Town1.49

Colchester1.62

Recent Form (Last 5)

Swindon Town

WWDLW

17 GF / 16 GA

Colchester

WLDWL

18 GF / 13 GA

Key Stats

1.7

Average Goals Scored

1.64

1.6

Average Goals Conceded

1.18

BTTS Yes

Over 2.5

2.5

Shots on Goal

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Swindon Town 10 matches

Colchester 11 matches

Swindon Town	Statistic	Colchester
5	Wins	4
1	Draws	3
4	Losses	4
17	Goals For	18
16	Goals Against	13
1.7	Avg Goals Scored	1.64
1.6	Avg Goals Conceded	1.18
6	BTTS Yes	4
8	Over 1.5	8
8	Over 2.5	6
5	Over 3.5	5
2	Clean Sheets	4
3	Failed To Score	4
2.5	Shots On Goal	4
6.5	Total Shots	12
4.25	Corners	4.75
48%	Ball Possession	53.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Swindon Town won 3 times, Colchester won 8 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:28 from Swindon Town's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.67 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win

BTTS: Yes

Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5

Highest model probability: 12 (82%)

Predicted formations: Swindon Town 4-3-3 / Colchester 4-2-3-1

H2H summary: Swindon Town wins 3, draws 4, Colchester wins 8

Standings

League Two

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	G	GD	PTS	Form
1	Salford City	9	5	1	3	13:10	3	16	W W W D W
2	Barnet	7	4	3	0	17:10	7	15	W W D D D
3	Crewe	9	3	6	0	11:7	4	15	W D D D D
4	Cheltenham	9	4	3	2	16:14	2	15	L W D W D
5	Bristol Rovers	9	5	0	4	14:14	0	15	L W L L W
6	York	8	4	2	2	16:10	6	14	W L W D L
7	Walsall	8	3	5	0	11:5	6	14	D W D D D
8	Chesterfield	9	4	2	3	15:12	3	14	W L W W D
9	Grimsby	9	3	4	2	13:10	3	13	L L W W D
10	Gillingham	9	3	4	2	11:9	2	13	D L W W W
11	Rochdale	9	4	1	4	10:11	-1	13	W W W D L
12	Tranmere	9	2	5	2	12:12	0	11	L D D L W
13	Swindon Town Home	9	3	2	4	9:13	-4	11	L D L L W
14	Shrewsbury	9	3	2	4	9:14	-5	11	W D D W L
15	Newport County	9	2	4	3	12:12	0	10	D W D D L
16	Accrington ST	9	2	4	3	13:14	-1	10	W D D L W
17	Rotherham	9	2	4	3	11:12	-1	10	L D W D L
18	Fleetwood Town	9	2	4	3	9:10	-1	10	L L L D W
19	Colchester Away	8	2	4	2	10:12	-2	10	D D D L L
20	Exeter City	9	2	3	4	5:6	-1	9	W L D L D
21	Oldham	8	2	1	5	9:13	-4	7	L L L L D
22	Northampton	7	1	3	3	3:6	-3	6	L L W D D
23	Port Vale	7	1	2	4	3:9	-6	5	L W L L D
24	Crawley Town	7	1	1	5	6:13	-7	4	L L L D L

Promotion - League One

Promotion - League Two (Play Offs: Semi-finals)

Relegation - National League