Swindon Town vs Accrington ST Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
77.9%
|
2.22 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
82.5%
|
1.62 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
87%
|
1.75 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
68.4%
|
1.16 | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
3.60 | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
9.00 |
Swindon Town
Accrington ST
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Swindon Town
13 matches
Accrington ST
12 matches
| Swindon Town | Statistic | Accrington ST |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Wins | 4 |
| 1 | Draws | 5 |
| 6 | Losses | 3 |
| 20 | Goals For | 15 |
| 22 | Goals Against | 13 |
| 1.54 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.25 |
| 1.69 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.08 |
| 7 | BTTS Yes | 5 |
| 10 | Over 1.5 | 7 |
| 10 | Over 2.5 | 6 |
| 7 | Over 3.5 | 4 |
| 2 | Clean Sheets | 6 |
| 5 | Failed To Score | 4 |
| 3 | Shots On Goal | 4.86 |
| 8.43 | Total Shots | 13.71 |
| 3.86 | Corners | 3.57 |
| 43.6% | Ball Possession | 47.3% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Accrington ST. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Accrington ST arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. Swindon Town arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 9 with 10 points compared to Accrington ST in 21 on 5, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Swindon Town expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Accrington ST in 3-4-1-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Accrington ST having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.
From their first 6 matches, Swindon Town have collected 10 points and now occupy 9 place in the table. The record of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 2 defeats, together with a 8:10 goal balance, points toward good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through A. Drinan (4 goals), O. Clarke (1 goals), with creative support from S. Negru (1 assists), A. Munda (1 assists), J. Thomson (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, the record of 3 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Accrington ST approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 21 with 5 points from 6 matches. Across the season they have posted 1 wins, 2 draws, and 3 defeats, and the 10:13 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on C. Caton (3 goals), J. Woods (1 goals), D. Matthews (1 goals), with creative support from J. Woods (1 assists), T. Walton (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, they have managed 0 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Swindon Town won 4 times, Accrington ST won 5 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:22 from Swindon Town's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 3.23 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 13:10 | 3 | 16 |
W
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 2 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 17:10 | 7 | 15 |
W
W
D
D
D
|
|
| 3 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 11:7 | 4 | 15 |
W
D
D
D
D
|
|
| 4 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 16:14 | 2 | 15 |
L
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 5 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 14:14 | 0 | 15 |
L
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 6 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 16:10 | 6 | 14 |
W
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 7 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 11:5 | 6 | 14 |
D
W
D
D
D
|
|
| 8 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 15:12 | 3 | 14 |
W
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 9 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 13:10 | 3 | 13 |
L
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 10 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 11:9 | 2 | 13 |
D
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 11 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 10:11 | -1 | 13 |
W
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 12 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 12:12 | 0 | 11 |
L
D
D
L
W
|
|
| 13 |
Swindon Town
Home
|
9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9:13 | -4 | 11 |
L
D
L
L
W
|
| 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9:14 | -5 | 11 |
W
D
D
W
L
|
|
| 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 12:12 | 0 | 10 |
D
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 16 |
Accrington ST
Away
|
9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 13:14 | -1 | 10 |
W
D
D
L
W
|
| 17 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 11:12 | -1 | 10 |
L
D
W
D
L
|
|
| 18 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 9:10 | -1 | 10 |
L
L
L
D
W
|
|
| 19 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 10:12 | -2 | 10 |
D
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 20 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5:6 | -1 | 9 |
W
L
D
L
D
|
|
| 21 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 9:13 | -4 | 7 |
L
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 22 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3:6 | -3 | 6 |
L
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 23 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3:9 | -6 | 5 |
L
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 24 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6:13 | -7 | 4 |
L
L
L
D
L
|