GERMANY 2. BUNDESLIGA
--.--.---- --:--
Merck-Stadion am Bollenfalltor
Referee: F. Badstubner
SV Darmstadt 98
Match Timeline
SC Paderborn 07
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
6'
S. Marino · Assist: M. Hansen
SC Paderborn 07
🟨
14'
Sergio López
SV Darmstadt 98
🟨
45+1'
Mika Baur
SC Paderborn 07
🟨
56'
Ruben Müller
SC Paderborn 07
🔄
63'
R. Muller ↔ S. Michel
SC Paderborn 07
🔄
63'
S. Marino ↔ S. Tigges
SC Paderborn 07
🔄
69'
F. Holland ↔ R. Petretta
SV Darmstadt 98
🔄
69'
S. Lopez ↔ Y. Furukawa
SV Darmstadt 98
🟨
74'
Aleksandar Vukotić
SV Darmstadt 98
🔄
82'
C. Brackelmann ↔ F. Gotze
SC Paderborn 07
🔄
82'
S. Castaneda ↔ S. Klaas
SC Paderborn 07
89'
S. Michel · Assist: F. Bilbija
SC Paderborn 07
🔄
90'
K. Corredor ↔ F. Lakenmacher
SV Darmstadt 98
🔄
90+4'
J. Sticker ↔ D. Kinsombi
SC Paderborn 07

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 87.5%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 94.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 81.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
87.5%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
94.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
81.9%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
SV Darmstadt 98 Win 43.8%
Draw 12.5%
SC Paderborn 07 Win 43.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
SV Darmstadt 981.58
SC Paderborn 071.56
Recent Form (Last 5)
SV Darmstadt 98 SV Darmstadt 98
WWDLW
57 GF / 43 GA
SC Paderborn 07 SC Paderborn 07
WLDWL
57 GF / 45 GA
Key Stats
1.73
Average Goals Scored
1.73
1.3
Average Goals Conceded
1.36
21
BTTS Yes
23
19
Over 2.5
21
4.82
Shots on Goal
5.45

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

SV Darmstadt 98 SV Darmstadt 98 33 matches
SC Paderborn 07 SC Paderborn 07 33 matches
SV Darmstadt 98 Statistic SC Paderborn 07
13 Wins 17
13 Draws 8
7 Losses 8
57 Goals For 57
43 Goals Against 45
1.73 Avg Goals Scored 1.73
1.3 Avg Goals Conceded 1.36
21 BTTS Yes 23
27 Over 1.5 29
19 Over 2.5 21
14 Over 3.5 9
10 Clean Sheets 8
5 Failed To Score 4
4.82 Shots On Goal 5.45
13.67 Total Shots 15.55
4.85 Corners 5.21
51.5% Ball Possession 53.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward SC Paderborn 07. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with SV Darmstadt 98 expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and SC Paderborn 07 in 5-3-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward SC Paderborn 07 having the stronger overall control. SV Darmstadt 98 have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

SV Darmstadt 98 Analysis

With 52 points from 33 games and a place of 5, SV Darmstadt 98 still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 13 wins, 13 draws, and 7 defeats with a 57:43 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on I. Lidberg (17 goals), F. Hornby (11 goals), M. Maglica (7 goals), with creative support from Marco Richter (9 assists), F. Hornby (8 assists), Sergio López (5 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, the split record of 10 wins, 5 draws, and 1 losses points to a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader football approach still suggests balanced attacking football.

SC Paderborn 07 Analysis

SC Paderborn 07 come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 4 with 59 points from 33 matches. Their overall return of 17 wins, 8 draws, and 8 losses with goals at 57:45 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by F. Bilbija (15 goals), Laurin Curda (7 goals), Steffen Tigges (6 goals), with creative support from Laurin Curda (7 assists), Raphael Obermair (7 assists), Mika Baur (5 assists), while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. Away from home, their split return of 7 wins, 5 draws, and 4 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 12 head-to-head meetings, SV Darmstadt 98 won 6 times, SC Paderborn 07 won 5 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:22 from SV Darmstadt 98's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 3.25 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (87.5%)
Predicted formations: SV Darmstadt 98 4-2-3-1 / SC Paderborn 07 5-3-2
H2H summary: SV Darmstadt 98 wins 6, draws 1, SC Paderborn 07 wins 5
Stats
SV Darmstadt 98 SV Darmstadt 98
SC Paderborn 07 SC Paderborn 07
Shots on Goal
8
Shots on Goal
5
Shots off Goal
9
Shots off Goal
2
Blocked Shots
6
Blocked Shots
0
5 Corner Kicks 2
11 Fouls 12
0 Offsides 0
49% Ball Possession 51%
23 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Goal 5
9 Shots off Goal 2
6 Blocked Shots 0
15 Shots insidebox 7
8 Shots outsidebox 0
3 Goalkeeper Saves 8
394 Total passes 412
330 Passes accurate 343
1.79 expected_goals 1.84
🟨 2 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

SV Darmstadt 98
Formation
SC Paderborn 07
M. Schuhen
M. Schuhen
K. Klefisch
K. Klefisch
A. Vukotic
A. Vukotic
M. Maglica
M. Maglica
S. Lopez
S. Lopez
H. Akiyama
H. Akiyama
N. Schmidt
N. Schmidt
F. Holland
F. Holland
M. Richter
M. Richter
K. Corredor
K. Corredor
I. Lidberg
I. Lidberg
D. Seimen
D. Seimen
M. Hansen
🎯
M. Hansen
T. Scheller
T. Scheller
C. Brackelmann
C. Brackelmann
L. Curda
L. Curda
M. Baur
M. Baur
S. Castaneda
S. Castaneda
J. Sticker
J. Sticker
R. Muller
R. Muller
F. Bilbija
🎯
F. Bilbija
S. Marino
S. Marino
SV Darmstadt 98 3-4-2-1
Starting XI
1
M. Schuhen
G
17
K. Klefisch
D
20
A. Vukotic
🟨 74'
D
5
M. Maglica
D
2
S. Lopez
↓ 69' 🟨 14'
M
16
H. Akiyama
M
31
N. Schmidt
M
32
F. Holland
↓ 69'
M
23
M. Richter
F
34
K. Corredor
↓ 90'
F
7
I. Lidberg
F
Substitutes
30
A. Brunst
G
4
G. Dettoni
D
18
R. Petretta
↑ 69'
D
19
F. Lakenmacher
↑ 90'
F
22
S. Guler
F
44
Y. Furukawa
↑ 69'
F
49
M. Pfister
D
SC Paderborn 07 3-4-2-1
Starting XI
41
D. Seimen
G
22
M. Hansen
🎯 6'
D
25
T. Scheller
D
4
C. Brackelmann
↓ 82'
D
17
L. Curda
M
14
M. Baur
🟨 45+1'
M
5
S. Castaneda
↓ 82'
M
3
J. Sticker
↓ 90+4'
M
2
R. Muller
↓ 63' 🟨 56'
F
7
F. Bilbija
🎯 89'
F
30
S. Marino
⚽ 6' ↓ 63'
F
Substitutes
1
M. Schubert
G
11
S. Michel
⚽ 89' ↑ 63'
F
8
D. Kinsombi
↑ 90+4'
M
27
S. Tigges
↑ 63'
F
20
F. Gotze
↑ 82'
D
26
S. Klaas
↑ 82'
M
9
N. Batzner
M
24
N. Mohr
D
10
K. Okpala
Last matches: SV Darmstadt 98
10.05.26
2.
SV Darmstadt 98
Preußen Münster
1
1
D
03.05.26
2.
SV Darmstadt 98
Karlsruher SC
1
2
L
25.04.26
2.
SV Darmstadt 98
SV Elversberg
3
3
D
19.04.26
2.
SV Darmstadt 98
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
2
3
L
11.04.26
2.
SV Darmstadt 98
Hannover 96
0
2
L
04.04.26
2.
SV Darmstadt 98
Arminia Bielefeld
1
2
L
26.03.26
Fri
SV Darmstadt 98
FC Saarbrücken
4
2
W
21.03.26
2.
SV Darmstadt 98
FC Schalke 04
1
1
D
13.03.26
2.
SV Darmstadt 98
1. FC Magdeburg
1
1
D
07.03.26
2.
SV Darmstadt 98
Holstein Kiel
2
0
W
27.02.26
2.
SV Darmstadt 98
Dynamo Dresden
1
3
L
21.02.26
2.
SV Darmstadt 98
Fortuna Düsseldorf
2
1
W
14.02.26
2.
SV Darmstadt 98
Eintracht Braunschweig
2
2
D
07.02.26
2.
SV Darmstadt 98
1. FC Kaiserslautern
4
0
W
01.02.26
2.
SV Darmstadt 98
Hertha BSC
2
2
D
23.01.26
2.
SV Darmstadt 98
1. FC Nürnberg
2
0
W
18.01.26
2.
SV Darmstadt 98
VfL Bochum
3
3
D
10.01.26
Fri
SV Darmstadt 98
SV Wehen
2
1
W
06.01.26
Fri
SV Darmstadt 98
SV Wehen
0
1
L
19.12.25
2.
SV Darmstadt 98
SC Paderborn 07
2
2
D
Last matches: SC Paderborn 07
25.05.26
Bun
SC Paderborn 07
VfL Wolfsburg
2
1
W
21.05.26
Bun
SC Paderborn 07
VfL Wolfsburg
0
0
D
08.05.26
2.
SC Paderborn 07
Karlsruher SC
2
2
D
03.05.26
2.
SC Paderborn 07
SV Elversberg
1
5
L
26.04.26
2.
SC Paderborn 07
FC Schalke 04
2
3
L
18.04.26
2.
SC Paderborn 07
Hannover 96
1
1
D
12.04.26
2.
SC Paderborn 07
1. FC Magdeburg
4
3
W
05.04.26
2.
SC Paderborn 07
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
2
0
W
21.03.26
2.
SC Paderborn 07
Dynamo Dresden
2
1
W
14.03.26
2.
SC Paderborn 07
Arminia Bielefeld
2
2
D
07.03.26
2.
SC Paderborn 07
Eintracht Braunschweig
1
1
D
28.02.26
2.
SC Paderborn 07
1. FC Kaiserslautern
2
1
W
22.02.26
2.
SC Paderborn 07
Hertha BSC
5
2
W
15.02.26
2.
SC Paderborn 07
VfL Bochum
0
0
D
07.02.26
2.
SC Paderborn 07
1. FC Nürnberg
2
1
W
01.02.26
2.
SC Paderborn 07
Fortuna Düsseldorf
1
2
L
25.01.26
2.
SC Paderborn 07
Preußen Münster
2
1
W
18.01.26
2.
SC Paderborn 07
Holstein Kiel
0
2
L
08.01.26
Fri
SC Paderborn 07
Charleroi
3
2
W
19.12.25
2.
SC Paderborn 07
SV Darmstadt 98
2
2
D
H2H: SV Darmstadt 98 vs SC Paderborn 07
17.05.26
H2H
SV Darmstadt 98
SC Paderborn 07
0
2
L
19.12.25
H2H
SC Paderborn 07
SV Darmstadt 98
2
2
D
26.01.25
H2H
SV Darmstadt 98
SC Paderborn 07
0
1
L
11.08.24
H2H
SC Paderborn 07
SV Darmstadt 98
3
1
L
09.04.23
H2H
SV Darmstadt 98
SC Paderborn 07
2
1
W
30.09.22
H2H
SC Paderborn 07
SV Darmstadt 98
1
2
W
15.05.22
H2H
SV Darmstadt 98
SC Paderborn 07
3
0
W
11.12.21
H2H
SC Paderborn 07
SV Darmstadt 98
0
1
W
05.03.21
H2H
SC Paderborn 07
SV Darmstadt 98
2
3
W
08.11.20
H2H
SV Darmstadt 98
SC Paderborn 07
0
4
L
23.12.18
H2H
SC Paderborn 07
SV Darmstadt 98
6
2
L
05.08.18
H2H
SV Darmstadt 98
SC Paderborn 07
1
0
W
Last matches: SV Darmstadt 98
25.04.26
2.
SV Darmstadt 98
SV Elversberg
3
3
D
11.04.26
2.
SV Darmstadt 98
Hannover 96
0
2
L
26.03.26
Fri
SV Darmstadt 98
FC Saarbrücken
4
2
W
21.03.26
2.
SV Darmstadt 98
FC Schalke 04
1
1
D
07.03.26
2.
SV Darmstadt 98
Holstein Kiel
2
0
W
21.02.26
2.
SV Darmstadt 98
Fortuna Düsseldorf
2
1
W
07.02.26
2.
SV Darmstadt 98
1. FC Kaiserslautern
4
0
W
23.01.26
2.
SV Darmstadt 98
1. FC Nürnberg
2
0
W
10.01.26
Fri
SV Darmstadt 98
SV Wehen
2
1
W
06.01.26
Fri
SV Darmstadt 98
SV Wehen
0
1
L
14.12.25
2.
SV Darmstadt 98
Preußen Münster
1
0
W
06.12.25
2.
SV Darmstadt 98
Karlsruher SC
3
2
W
22.11.25
2.
SV Darmstadt 98
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
4
2
W
01.11.25
2.
SV Darmstadt 98
Arminia Bielefeld
2
2
D
19.10.25
2.
SV Darmstadt 98
1. FC Magdeburg
0
0
D
26.09.25
2.
SV Darmstadt 98
Dynamo Dresden
2
0
W
13.09.25
2.
SV Darmstadt 98
Eintracht Braunschweig
2
1
W
24.08.25
2.
SV Darmstadt 98
Hertha BSC
0
0
D
02.08.25
2.
SV Darmstadt 98
VfL Bochum
4
1
W
18.05.25
2.
SV Darmstadt 98
SSV Jahn Regensburg
3
1
W
H2H at home: SV Darmstadt 98
17.05.26
H2H
SV Darmstadt 98
SC Paderborn 07
0
2
L
26.01.25
H2H
SV Darmstadt 98
SC Paderborn 07
0
1
L
09.04.23
H2H
SV Darmstadt 98
SC Paderborn 07
2
1
W
15.05.22
H2H
SV Darmstadt 98
SC Paderborn 07
3
0
W
08.11.20
H2H
SV Darmstadt 98
SC Paderborn 07
0
4
L
05.08.18
H2H
SV Darmstadt 98
SC Paderborn 07
1
0
W
Last matches: SC Paderborn 07
21.05.26
Bun
SC Paderborn 07
VfL Wolfsburg
0
0
D
03.05.26
2.
SC Paderborn 07
SV Elversberg
1
5
L
18.04.26
2.
SC Paderborn 07
Hannover 96
1
1
D
05.04.26
2.
SC Paderborn 07
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
2
0
W
14.03.26
2.
SC Paderborn 07
Arminia Bielefeld
2
2
D
28.02.26
2.
SC Paderborn 07
1. FC Kaiserslautern
2
1
W
15.02.26
2.
SC Paderborn 07
VfL Bochum
0
0
D
01.02.26
2.
SC Paderborn 07
Fortuna Düsseldorf
1
2
L
18.01.26
2.
SC Paderborn 07
Holstein Kiel
0
2
L
13.12.25
2.
SC Paderborn 07
Karlsruher SC
4
0
W
28.11.25
2.
SC Paderborn 07
FC Schalke 04
1
2
L
09.11.25
2.
SC Paderborn 07
1. FC Magdeburg
1
0
W
25.10.25
2.
SC Paderborn 07
Dynamo Dresden
2
1
W
03.10.25
2.
SC Paderborn 07
Eintracht Braunschweig
2
1
W
20.09.25
2.
SC Paderborn 07
Hertha BSC
2
0
W
29.08.25
2.
SC Paderborn 07
1. FC Nürnberg
0
0
D
08.08.25
2.
SC Paderborn 07
Preußen Münster
1
1
D
18.05.25
2.
SC Paderborn 07
Karlsruher SC
0
3
L
02.05.25
2.
SC Paderborn 07
FC Schalke 04
2
0
W
19.04.25
2.
SC Paderborn 07
1. FC Nürnberg
3
2
W
H2H away: SC Paderborn 07
17.05.26
H2H
SV Darmstadt 98
SC Paderborn 07
0
2
W
26.01.25
H2H
SV Darmstadt 98
SC Paderborn 07
0
1
W
09.04.23
H2H
SV Darmstadt 98
SC Paderborn 07
2
1
L
15.05.22
H2H
SV Darmstadt 98
SC Paderborn 07
3
0
L
08.11.20
H2H
SV Darmstadt 98
SC Paderborn 07
0
4
W
05.08.18
H2H
SV Darmstadt 98
SC Paderborn 07
1
0
L

Standings

2. Bundesliga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 21 7 6 50:31 19 70
W L W W W
2 34 18 8 8 64:39 25 62
W L W D W
3 34 18 8 8 59:45 14 62
W D L L D
4 34 16 12 6 60:44 16 60
D D D W D
5 34 13 13 8 57:45 12 52
L D L D L
6 34 16 4 14 52:47 5 52
W W L L L
7 34 14 9 11 47:44 3 51
L W L L D
8 34 12 10 12 47:45 2 46
D W D W D
9 34 11 11 12 49:47 2 44
W D D W L
10 34 12 8 14 53:64 -11 44
L D W L L
11 34 11 8 15 54:53 1 41
W L W L W
12 34 11 8 15 44:48 -4 41
L L W W W
13 34 10 9 15 53:51 2 39
W L D W D
14 34 12 3 19 52:58 -6 39
L W W L W
15 34 10 7 17 36:54 -18 37
L W L W D
16 34 10 7 17 49:68 -19 37
W L D L W
17 34 11 4 19 33:53 -20 37
L W L W L
18 34 6 12 16 38:61 -23 30
L D D L L
Promotion - Bundesliga
Promotion - Bundesliga (Promotion)
2. Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation - 3. Liga