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ENGLAND › NATIONAL LEAGUE
09.10.2026 18:45
VBS Community Stadium

Sutton Utd vs Boreham Wood Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 69.7%
Odds 1.75
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.9%
Odds 1.67
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds 1.64
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
69.7%
1.75 ▥
BTTS Yes
78.9%
1.67 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
1.64 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
5.00 ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
8.50 ▥
Probability Distribution
Sutton Utd Win 26.7%
Draw 3.6%
Boreham Wood Win 69.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Sutton Utd1.3
Boreham Wood2.14
Recent Form (Last 5)
Sutton Utd Sutton Utd
WWDLW
27 GF / 24 GA
Boreham Wood Boreham Wood
WLDWL
49 GF / 20 GA
Key Stats
1.42
Average Goals Scored
2.72
1.26
Average Goals Conceded
1.11
10
BTTS Yes
16
9
Over 2.5
16
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Sutton Utd Sutton Utd 19 matches
Boreham Wood Boreham Wood 18 matches
Sutton Utd Statistic Boreham Wood
9 Wins 15
5 Draws 3
5 Losses 0
27 Goals For 49
24 Goals Against 20
1.42 Avg Goals Scored 2.72
1.26 Avg Goals Conceded 1.11
10 BTTS Yes 16
17 Over 1.5 18
9 Over 2.5 16
3 Over 3.5 7
5 Clean Sheets 2
4 Failed To Score 0
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Boreham Wood's more proactive style and Sutton Utd's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Boreham Wood. Boreham Wood carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 32 points while Sutton Utd sit 11 on 18, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Boreham Wood look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Boreham Wood having the stronger overall control.

Sutton Utd Analysis

Sutton Utd are currently 11 in the standings with 18 points from 12 matches. Their overall return of 5 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses with goals at 14:16 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, their split return of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

Boreham Wood Analysis

Boreham Wood approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 1 on 32 points after 12 outings. With 10 wins, 2 draws, and 0 defeats plus a goal balance of 32:13, they continue to show very strong form and are on a winning streak. Their attacking quality is driven by their main attacking players, and at the back they have appeared very solid. Away from home, their record of 5 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses points to a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Sutton Utd won 5 times, Boreham Wood won 5 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:17 from Sutton Utd's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.38 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96.4%)
H2H summary: Sutton Utd wins 5, draws 3, Boreham Wood wins 5

Standings

Conference
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 12 10 2 0 32:13 19 32
W W W W W
2 12 8 1 3 28:17 11 25
W W W L L
3 12 7 3 2 29:18 11 24
W D L W W
4 12 6 4 2 26:15 11 22
W D W W D
5 12 6 3 3 22:18 4 21
W D W W W
6 12 7 0 5 17:18 -1 21
L W W W W
7 12 6 2 4 22:18 4 20
L L W L W
8 12 5 4 3 15:12 3 19
D L L D W
9 12 5 3 4 20:15 5 18
W W W W L
10 12 5 3 4 17:13 4 18
L L W L D
11 12 5 3 4 14:16 -2 18
D L D D W
12 12 6 0 6 13:19 -6 18
L W L W L
13 12 5 2 5 18:14 4 17
W D L D W
14 12 4 4 4 23:20 3 16
W W L L D
15 12 4 3 5 20:19 1 15
W L W D D
16 11 4 3 4 17:18 -1 15
D D L D W
17 12 4 3 5 14:18 -4 15
L D L W L
18 12 4 2 6 20:28 -8 14
W W L W L
19 12 3 3 6 17:18 -1 12
L D W L L
20 12 3 3 6 14:21 -7 12
L D L W D
21 11 3 1 7 15:19 -4 10
L W L L W
22 12 3 0 9 8:17 -9 9
L L L L L
23 12 2 1 9 13:30 -17 7
L W L L W
24 12 1 1 10 7:27 -20 4
L L L L L
Promotion - League Two
Promotion - National League (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - National League (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Relegation