CANADA CANADIAN PREMIER LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
CEPSUM Stadium
Referee: M. Venne
Supra du Quebec
Match Timeline
Vancouver FC
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
11'
Damiano Pecile
Vancouver FC
🟨
12'
Alessandro Biello
Supra du Quebec
21'
D. Pecile · Assist: L. Mousset
Vancouver FC
32'
M. Campagna · Assist: D. Pecile
Vancouver FC
🔄
40'
A. Biello ↔ S. Mlah
Supra du Quebec
🔄
40'
A. Sissoko ↔ O. El Kalkouli
Supra du Quebec
46'
C. Bayiha · Assist: D. Abzi
Supra du Quebec
53'
L. Mousset
Vancouver FC
🔄
62'
D. Pecile ↔ I. Ssewankambo
Vancouver FC
🔄
63'
S. Deslandes ↔ K. Ferdinand
Supra du Quebec
🔄
63'
D. Choiniere ↔ R. Bey
Supra du Quebec
🔄
63'
C. Bayiha ↔ I. Conde
Supra du Quebec
🔄
63'
P. Gee ↔ A. Traore
Vancouver FC
🔄
74'
E. Fotsing ↔ N. Mezquida
Vancouver FC
🔄
74'
L. Mousset ↔ T. Campbell
Vancouver FC
VAR
79'
Abzi Diyaeddine
Supra du Quebec
82'
T. Campbell · Assist: I. Ssewankambo
Vancouver FC
86'
A. Traore · Assist: I. Ssewankambo
Vancouver FC
🔄
88'
E. Bah ↔ L. Toomey
Vancouver FC
🟥
90'
Riad Bey
Supra du Quebec

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 46.9%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
46.9%
-
BTTS Yes
86%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
-
Corners O/U Under 8.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Supra du Quebec Win 46.9%
Draw 17.9%
Vancouver FC Win 35.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Supra du Quebec1.47
Vancouver FC1.28
Recent Form (Last 5)
Supra du Quebec Supra du Quebec
WWDLW
14 GF / 16 GA
Vancouver FC Vancouver FC
WLDWL
15 GF / 22 GA
Key Stats
1.4
Average Goals Scored
1.07
1.6
Average Goals Conceded
1.57
7
BTTS Yes
6
5
Over 2.5
7
1.1
Shots on Goal
1.64

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Supra du Quebec Supra du Quebec 10 matches
Vancouver FC Vancouver FC 14 matches
Supra du Quebec Statistic Vancouver FC
3 Wins 4
2 Draws 2
5 Losses 8
14 Goals For 15
16 Goals Against 22
1.4 Avg Goals Scored 1.07
1.6 Avg Goals Conceded 1.57
7 BTTS Yes 6
7 Over 1.5 10
5 Over 2.5 7
3 Over 3.5 4
0 Clean Sheets 1
3 Failed To Score 7
1.1 Shots On Goal 1.64
5.4 Total Shots 5.5
1.9 Corners 1.93
21.9% Ball Possession 19.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and Vancouver FC's more proactive style and Supra du Quebec's more cautious structure points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Vancouver FC having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Vancouver FC. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Supra du Quebec Analysis

Supra du Quebec are currently 7 in the standings with 11 points from 10 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 3 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses, while the 14:16 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. At home, their split return of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

Vancouver FC Analysis

Operating from 5 place with 14 points from 12 games, Vancouver FC bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. The return of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 6 defeats, together with goals at 15:14, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through their main attacking players, while their defending has remained very solid. Away from home, their record of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Supra du Quebec won 0 times, Vancouver FC won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:6 from Supra du Quebec's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 4 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (82.1%)
Predicted formations: Supra du Quebec 4-2-3-1 / Vancouver FC 3-4-3
H2H summary: Supra du Quebec wins 0, draws 1, Vancouver FC wins 1
Stats
Supra du Quebec Supra du Quebec
Vancouver FC Vancouver FC
Shots on Goal
3
Shots on Goal
8
Shots off Goal
7
Shots off Goal
2
Blocked Shots
3
Blocked Shots
2
5 Corner Kicks 6
14 Fouls 12
0 Offsides 1
65% Ball Possession 35%
13 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Goal 8
7 Shots off Goal 2
3 Blocked Shots 2
8 Shots insidebox 9
5 Shots outsidebox 3
3 Goalkeeper Saves 2
569 Total passes 296
507 Passes accurate 240
1.70 expected_goals 2.69
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 1 🟨
🟥 1 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Vancouver FC
Formation
Supra du Quebec
C. Irving
C. Irving
M. Doner
M. Doner
M. Campagna
M. Campagna
T. Field
T. Field
K. Proctor
K. Proctor
M. Polisi
M. Polisi
D. Pecile
🎯
D. Pecile
E. Bah
E. Bah
E. Fotsing
E. Fotsing
P. Gee
P. Gee
L. Mousset
🎯
L. Mousset
J. Milli
J. Milli
C. Auguste
C. Auguste
S. Deslandes
S. Deslandes
M. Chretien
M. Chretien
D. Abzi
🎯
D. Abzi
A. Sissoko
A. Sissoko
A. Biello
A. Biello
C. Bayiha
C. Bayiha
S. Rea
S. Rea
D. Choiniere
D. Choiniere
L. A. Kwemi
L. A. Kwemi
Vancouver FC 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
C. Irving
G
3
M. Doner
D
5
M. Campagna
⚽ 32'
D
30
T. Field
D
23
K. Proctor
D
21
M. Polisi
M
6
D. Pecile
⚽ 21' 🎯 32' ↓ 62' 🟨 11'
M
7
E. Bah
↓ 88'
17
E. Fotsing
↓ 74'
2
P. Gee
↓ 63'
M
9
L. Mousset
⚽ 53' 🎯 21' ↓ 74'
F
Substitutes
33
H. Regitnig
G
20
N. Mezquida
↑ 74'
M
14
T. Campbell
⚽ 82' ↑ 74'
F
8
L. Toomey
↑ 88'
4
I. Ssewankambo
🎯 82' 🎯 86' ↑ 62'
D
15
A. Ouattara
11
A. Traore
⚽ 86' ↑ 63'
F
Supra du Quebec 4-5-1 (estimated)
Starting XI
32
J. Milli
G
2
C. Auguste
D
37
S. Deslandes
↓ 63'
D
4
M. Chretien
D
11
D. Abzi
🎯 46'
D
33
A. Sissoko
↓ 40'
M
6
A. Biello
↓ 40' 🟨 12'
M
12
C. Bayiha
⚽ 46' ↓ 63'
M
10
S. Rea
M
7
D. Choiniere
↓ 63'
M
9
L. A. Kwemi
F
Substitutes
80
M. Diop
G
5
K. Ferdinand
↑ 63'
77
R. Bey
↑ 63' 🟥 90'
F
64
Y. W. Wandje Djomze
M
24
S. Mlah
↑ 40'
M
99
I. Conde
↑ 63'
F
8
O. El Kalkouli
↑ 40'
M
Last matches: Supra du Quebec
19.08.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
Forge
2
3
L
16.08.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
Atlético Ottawa
1
2
L
09.08.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
Cavalry FC
1
1
D
01.08.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
Pacific FC
2
1
W
29.07.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
Cavalry FC
1
2
L
24.07.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
HFX Wanderers FC
3
2
W
05.07.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
Forge
1
2
L
09.06.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
Atlético Ottawa
3
5
L
06.06.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
Pacific FC
1
1
D
29.05.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
York United
3
1
W
23.05.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
Vancouver FC
1
1
D
13.05.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
Forge
0
1
L
03.05.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
Cavalry FC
0
1
L
24.04.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
HFX Wanderers FC
2
1
W
19.04.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
Atlético Ottawa
0
1
L
11.04.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
Pacific FC
3
2
W
Last matches: Vancouver FC
19.08.26
Can
Vancouver FC
Atlético Ottawa
0
4
L
15.08.26
Can
Vancouver FC
Pacific FC
1
1
D
07.08.26
Can
Vancouver FC
Forge
1
0
W
01.08.26
Can
Vancouver FC
Atlético Ottawa
3
1
W
25.07.26
Can
Vancouver FC
Cavalry FC
1
0
W
04.07.26
Can
Vancouver FC
York United
4
0
W
01.07.26
Can
Vancouver FC
Forge
2
3
L
14.06.26
Can
Vancouver FC
Pacific FC
2
1
W
06.06.26
Can
Vancouver FC
Atlético Ottawa
2
1
W
30.05.26
Can
Vancouver FC
HFX Wanderers FC
0
1
L
23.05.26
Can
Vancouver FC
Supra du Quebec
1
1
D
18.05.26
Can
Vancouver FC
Cavalry FC
0
2
L
03.05.26
Can
Vancouver FC
Pacific FC
3
1
W
26.04.26
Can
Vancouver FC
Atlético Ottawa
1
1
D
19.04.26
Can
Vancouver FC
York United
0
1
L
12.04.26
Can
Vancouver FC
Forge
0
1
L
04.04.26
Can
Vancouver FC
HFX Wanderers FC
0
1
L
13.02.26
CON
Vancouver FC
Cruz Azul
0
5
L
05.02.26
CON
Vancouver FC
Cruz Azul
0
3
L
H2H: Supra du Quebec vs Vancouver FC
17.07.26
H2H
Supra du Quebec
Vancouver FC
1
5
L
23.05.26
H2H
Vancouver FC
Supra du Quebec
1
1
D
Last matches: Supra du Quebec
16.08.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
Atlético Ottawa
1
2
L
09.08.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
Cavalry FC
1
1
D
05.07.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
Forge
1
2
L
06.06.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
Pacific FC
1
1
D
29.05.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
York United
3
1
W
03.05.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
Cavalry FC
0
1
L
24.04.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
HFX Wanderers FC
2
1
W
19.04.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
Atlético Ottawa
0
1
L
H2H at home: Supra du Quebec
17.07.26
H2H
Supra du Quebec
Vancouver FC
1
5
L
Last matches: Vancouver FC
19.08.26
Can
Vancouver FC
Atlético Ottawa
0
4
L
07.08.26
Can
Vancouver FC
Forge
1
0
W
01.07.26
Can
Vancouver FC
Forge
2
3
L
30.05.26
Can
Vancouver FC
HFX Wanderers FC
0
1
L
03.05.26
Can
Vancouver FC
Pacific FC
3
1
W
26.04.26
Can
Vancouver FC
Atlético Ottawa
1
1
D
19.04.26
Can
Vancouver FC
York United
0
1
L
13.02.26
CON
Vancouver FC
Cruz Azul
0
5
L
H2H away: Vancouver FC
17.07.26
H2H
Supra du Quebec
Vancouver FC
1
5
W

Standings

Canadian Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 17 12 2 3 27:13 14 38
W L L D W
2 17 11 4 2 33:10 23 37
W D W W L
3 18 9 3 6 31:30 1 30
W W W L W
4 18 8 3 7 26:21 5 27
L D W W W
5 17 5 3 9 25:32 -7 18
L L D W L
6 18 4 5 9 24:30 -6 17
L L D L D
7 15 4 5 6 20:34 -14 17
W D L L D
8 16 0 5 11 18:34 -16 5
D D L L L