Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away or Draw |
78%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
71.2%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
77.2%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Under 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 1-2 |
-
|
- |
Super Nova
BFC Daugavpils
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Super Nova
28 matches
BFC Daugavpils
34 matches
| Super Nova | Statistic | BFC Daugavpils |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | Wins | 12 |
| 4 | Draws | 6 |
| 15 | Losses | 16 |
| 32 | Goals For | 40 |
| 45 | Goals Against | 46 |
| 1.14 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.18 |
| 1.61 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.35 |
| 18 | BTTS Yes | 17 |
| 23 | Over 1.5 | 21 |
| 16 | Over 2.5 | 15 |
| 5 | Over 3.5 | 10 |
| 5 | Clean Sheets | 8 |
| 6 | Failed To Score | 11 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From a tactical perspective, this fixture features BFC Daugavpils's more proactive style and Super Nova's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward BFC Daugavpils having the stronger overall control. BFC Daugavpils look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring BFC Daugavpils.
Super Nova sit 6 with 27 points after 24 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 8 wins, 3 draws, and 13 defeats, and the 26:37 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been fairly stable. At home, they have returned 2 wins, 2 draws, and 8 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
BFC Daugavpils approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 4 on 36 points after 26 outings. They have recorded 10 wins, 6 draws, and 10 losses, with a 33:31 goal return and very strong form with results showing strong momentum. In attack they lean heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, the split of 2 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Super Nova won 4 times, BFC Daugavpils won 5 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:18 from Super Nova's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.2 goals per game.
Super Nova
FK Liepaja
Super Nova
Grobiņa
Super Nova
Ogre United
Super Nova
Tukums
Super Nova
FS Jelgava
Super Nova
Auda
Super Nova
BFC Daugavpils
Super Nova
FK Liepaja
Super Nova
Rīgas FS
Super Nova
Riga
Super Nova
Grobiņa
Super Nova
Ogre United
Super Nova
Tukums
Super Nova
FS Jelgava
Super Nova
Auda
Super Nova
BFC Daugavpils
Super Nova
FK Liepaja
Super Nova
Rīgas FS
Super Nova
Riga
Super Nova
Grobiņa
BFC Daugavpils
Tukums
BFC Daugavpils
FS Jelgava
BFC Daugavpils
Auda
BFC Daugavpils
Ogre United
BFC Daugavpils
FK Liepaja
BFC Daugavpils
Rīgas FS
BFC Daugavpils
Riga
BFC Daugavpils
Grobiņa
BFC Daugavpils
Super Nova
BFC Daugavpils
Tukums
BFC Daugavpils
FS Jelgava
BFC Daugavpils
Auda
BFC Daugavpils
Ogre United
BFC Daugavpils
FK Liepaja
BFC Daugavpils
Rīgas FS
BFC Daugavpils
Riga
BFC Daugavpils
Grobiņa
BFC Daugavpils
Super Nova
BFC Daugavpils
Tukums
BFC Daugavpils
FS Jelgava
Super Nova
FK Liepaja
Super Nova
Grobiņa
Super Nova
Ogre United
Super Nova
FS Jelgava
Super Nova
Auda
Super Nova
Rīgas FS
Super Nova
Ogre United
Super Nova
Tukums
Super Nova
Auda
Super Nova
FK Liepaja
Super Nova
Riga
Super Nova
FS Jelgava
BFC Daugavpils
Auda
BFC Daugavpils
Ogre United
BFC Daugavpils
Rīgas FS
BFC Daugavpils
Tukums
BFC Daugavpils
FS Jelgava
BFC Daugavpils
FK Liepaja
BFC Daugavpils
Grobiņa
BFC Daugavpils
Tukums
BFC Daugavpils
Auda
BFC Daugavpils
Rīgas FS
BFC Daugavpils
Riga
BFC Daugavpils
Rīgas FS
BFC Daugavpils
Suduva Marijampole
BFC Daugavpils
Šiauliai
BFC Daugavpils
Flora Tallinn
BFC Daugavpils
FK Trakai
BFC Daugavpils
TransINVEST Vilnius
BFC Daugavpils
Panevėžys
BFC Daugavpils
Vllaznia Shkodër
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 25 | 21 | 2 | 2 | 62:17 | 45 | 65 |
W
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 2 | 25 | 20 | 4 | 1 | 76:21 | 55 | 64 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 24 | 14 | 4 | 6 | 39:26 | 13 | 46 |
W
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 4 |
BFC Daugavpils
Away
|
26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 33:31 | 2 | 36 |
W
W
L
W
W
|
| 5 | 25 | 10 | 4 | 11 | 33:37 | -4 | 34 |
W
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 6 |
Super Nova
Home
|
24 | 8 | 3 | 13 | 26:37 | -11 | 27 |
L
W
L
W
L
|
| 7 | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 25:44 | -19 | 25 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 8 | 26 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 18:47 | -29 | 21 |
L
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 9 | 26 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 40:51 | -11 | 20 |
L
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 10 | 25 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 24:65 | -41 | 14 |
L
D
L
W
L
|