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LITHUANIA › A LYGA
20.07.2026 15:45
Marijampole Football Arena
Referee: O. Abramavicius
Suduva Marijampole
Match Timeline
Hegelmann Litauen
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
11'
S. M. Sanokho · Assist: F. Tangiri
Suduva Marijampole
🟨
32'
R. Sadauskas
Hegelmann Litauen
⚽
34'
A. Sabo
Suduva Marijampole
⚽
43'
H. Uzochukwu
Suduva Marijampole
🔄
46'
A. Kaulinis ↔ C. Duke
Hegelmann Litauen
🔄
46'
A. Shchedryi ↔ D. Pasilys
Hegelmann Litauen
⚽
50'
F. Tangiri
Suduva Marijampole
🔄
52'
F. Steponavicius ↔ T. Lucky
Suduva Marijampole
🔄
52'
S. M. Sanokho ↔ T. Milasius
Suduva Marijampole
⚽
52'
D. Kazlauskas
Hegelmann Litauen
🔄
55'
V. Armanavicius ↔ M. Remeikis
Hegelmann Litauen
🔄
55'
A. Puerto ↔ B. Isaac
Hegelmann Litauen
🔄
60'
F. Tangiri ↔ M. Mikulenas
Suduva Marijampole
🔄
66'
D. Slendzoka ↔ D. Sinkevicius
Hegelmann Litauen
⚽
70'
M. Mikulenas
Suduva Marijampole
🔄
79'
A. Sabo ↔ M. Chajia
Suduva Marijampole
🔄
79'
I. Seck ↔ D. Antanavicius
Suduva Marijampole
🟨
90'
D. Pasilys
Hegelmann Litauen

Suduva Marijampole vs Hegelmann Litauen Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 65.9%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 48.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
65.9%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
67.4%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
48.9%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Suduva Marijampole Win 65.9%
Draw 10%
Hegelmann Litauen Win 24.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Suduva Marijampole1.47
Hegelmann Litauen1.07
Recent Form (Last 5)
Suduva Marijampole Suduva Marijampole
WWDLW
39 GF / 26 GA
Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen
WLDWL
31 GF / 40 GA
Key Stats
1.5
Average Goals Scored
1.11
1
Average Goals Conceded
1.43
14
BTTS Yes
18
13
Over 2.5
13
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Suduva Marijampole Suduva Marijampole 26 matches
Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen 28 matches
Suduva Marijampole Statistic Hegelmann Litauen
12 Wins 7
10 Draws 12
4 Losses 9
39 Goals For 31
26 Goals Against 40
1.5 Avg Goals Scored 1.11
1 Avg Goals Conceded 1.43
14 BTTS Yes 18
18 Over 1.5 24
13 Over 2.5 13
6 Over 3.5 6
10 Clean Sheets 4
7 Failed To Score 9
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Suduva Marijampole's more proactive style and Hegelmann Litauen's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Hegelmann Litauen. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Suduva Marijampole arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 3 with 30 points compared to Hegelmann Litauen in 7 on 19, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Hegelmann Litauen having the stronger overall control.

Suduva Marijampole Analysis

Suduva Marijampole come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 3 place with 30 points after 19 matches. They have recorded 7 wins, 9 draws, and 3 losses, with a 21:16 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have managed 5 wins, 5 draws, and 0 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

Hegelmann Litauen Analysis

So far, Hegelmann Litauen have built a campaign that leaves them 7 in the table on 19 points from 19 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 3 wins, 10 draws, and 6 losses, while the 20:29 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been fairly stable. Away from home, the record of 1 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses points toward a weak split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Suduva Marijampole won 4 times, Hegelmann Litauen won 9 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:24 from Suduva Marijampole's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.87 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (90%)
H2H summary: Suduva Marijampole wins 4, draws 2, Hegelmann Litauen wins 9

Standings

A Lyga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 28 14 9 5 56:20 36 51
W L W W W
2 28 13 11 4 39:25 14 50
D D L W W
3 28 13 6 9 43:35 8 45
W W L W D
4 28 13 5 10 41:34 7 44
L W D W L
5 28 11 8 9 32:28 4 41
W L L D D
6 28 10 8 10 36:40 -4 38
L L D L L
7 28 9 5 14 29:43 -14 32
L W W W L
8 29 4 14 11 31:48 -17 26
D D L D D
9 29 3 8 18 24:58 -34 17
L D L L L
10 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
L L L L L