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ENGLAND › CHAMPIONSHIP
15.08.2026 14:00
bet365 Stadium
Referee: Oliver Langford, England
Stoke City
Match Timeline
Swansea
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
10'
E. Bocat · Assist: T. Rigo
Stoke City
⚽
22'
J. Opoku · Assist: Z. Vipotnik
Swansea
🟨
36'
Luke Graham
Stoke City
🔄
46'
B. Lawal ↔ M. Talovierov
Stoke City
🟨
53'
Filip Lissah
Swansea
🔄
55'
F. Lissah ↔ J. Key
Swansea
🔄
65'
M. K. Yeo ↔ Eom Ji-Sung
Swansea
🔄
65'
E. Just ↔ M. Widell
Swansea
🔄
65'
Z. Vipotnik ↔ A. Idah
Swansea
⚽
66'
A. Idah · Assist: J. Tymon
Swansea
🔄
70'
S. Ingelsson ↔ D. Soumare
Stoke City
🔄
70'
T. Rigo ↔ Bae Jun-Ho
Stoke City
🔄
70'
S. Gallagher ↔ R. Bozenik
Stoke City
🔄
84'
J. Fulton ↔ L. Walta
Swansea
🟨
86'
Melker Widell
Swansea
🟨
90+1'
Josh Tymon
Swansea

Stoke City vs Swansea Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 55.9%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 41.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
55.9%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
58.2%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
41.9%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Stoke City Win 37.4%
Draw 6.7%
Swansea Win 55.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Stoke City1.01
Swansea0.9
Recent Form (Last 5)
Stoke City Stoke City
WWDLW
3 GF / 3 GA
Swansea Swansea
WLDWL
5 GF / 7 GA
Key Stats
0.75
Average Goals Scored
1
0.75
Average Goals Conceded
1.4
2
BTTS Yes
1
0
Over 2.5
2
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Stoke City Stoke City 4 matches
Swansea Swansea 5 matches
Stoke City Statistic Swansea
1 Wins 2
2 Draws 1
1 Losses 2
3 Goals For 5
3 Goals Against 7
0.75 Avg Goals Scored 1
0.75 Avg Goals Conceded 1.4
2 BTTS Yes 1
2 Over 1.5 4
0 Over 2.5 2
0 Over 3.5 1
1 Clean Sheets 2
1 Failed To Score 2
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Stoke City won 7 times, Swansea won 5 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 22:18 from Stoke City's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.67 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (93.3%)
Predicted formations: Stoke City 4-2-3-1 / Swansea 4-1-4-1
Missing players: Stoke City 3, Swansea 3
H2H summary: Stoke City wins 7, draws 3, Swansea wins 5

Standings

Championship
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 8 5 2 1 13:6 7 17
W W L D W
2 8 4 3 1 22:11 11 15
D W W W W
3 8 4 3 1 16:12 4 15
D D W W D
4 7 4 2 1 15:10 5 14
W W D L W
5 8 4 2 2 10:8 2 14
L D W W D
6 8 3 4 1 10:7 3 13
D D D L W
7 8 4 1 3 13:12 1 13
W W D W W
8 8 4 1 3 11:12 -1 13
W L L W W
9 8 3 3 2 7:10 -3 12
L D D L D
10 8 2 5 1 12:11 1 11
D W L D D
11 8 3 2 3 15:15 0 11
D D L W L
12 8 3 2 3 7:8 -1 11
L W W D D
13 8 4 2 2 19:10 9 10
L W W D D
14 8 2 4 2 9:12 -3 10
W L D D W
15 8 3 1 4 11:15 -4 10
W W L L L
16 8 2 3 3 12:12 0 9
D W L L D
17 8 3 0 5 16:17 -1 9
L L W W L
18 8 2 3 3 9:11 -2 9
L L W L W
19 7 2 2 3 9:10 -1 8
D D W L L
20 8 2 2 4 7:10 -3 8
L L W L L
21 8 1 4 3 10:12 -2 7
W L D L L
22 8 1 2 5 7:14 -7 5
D L L L W
23 8 1 1 6 8:15 -7 4
D L L W L
24 8 0 4 4 9:17 -8 4
D L D L D
Promotion - Premier League
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Relegation - League One