ENGLAND CHAMPIONSHIP
--.--.---- --:--
Bet365 Stadium
Referee: O. Langford
Stoke City
Match Timeline
Swansea
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
10'
E. Bocat · Assist: T. Rigo
Stoke City
22'
J. Opoku · Assist: Z. Vipotnik
Swansea
🟨
36'
Luke Graham
Stoke City
🔄
46'
B. Lawal ↔ M. Talovierov
Stoke City
🟨
53'
Filip Lissah
Swansea
🔄
55'
F. Lissah ↔ J. Key
Swansea
🔄
65'
M. K. Yeo ↔ Eom Ji-Sung
Swansea
🔄
65'
E. Just ↔ M. Widell
Swansea
🔄
65'
Z. Vipotnik ↔ A. Idah
Swansea
66'
A. Idah · Assist: J. Tymon
Swansea
🔄
70'
S. Ingelsson ↔ D. Soumare
Stoke City
🔄
70'
T. Rigo ↔ Bae Jun-Ho
Stoke City
🔄
70'
S. Gallagher ↔ R. Bozenik
Stoke City
🔄
84'
J. Fulton ↔ L. Walta
Swansea
🟨
86'
Melker Widell
Swansea
🟨
90+1'
Josh Tymon
Swansea

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 55.9%
Odds 2.96
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.2%
Odds 1.83
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 41.9%
Odds 2.11
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
55.9%
2.96
BTTS Yes
58.2%
1.83
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
41.9%
2.11
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.19
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
6.50
Correct Score 1-2
-
12.00
Probability Distribution
Stoke City Win 37.4%
Draw 6.7%
Swansea Win 55.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Stoke City1.01
Swansea0.9
Recent Form (Last 5)
Stoke City Stoke City
WWDLW
3 GF / 3 GA
Swansea Swansea
WLDWL
5 GF / 7 GA
Key Stats
0.75
Average Goals Scored
1
0.75
Average Goals Conceded
1.4
2
BTTS Yes
1
0
Over 2.5
2
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Stoke City Stoke City 4 matches
Swansea Swansea 5 matches
Stoke City Statistic Swansea
1 Wins 2
2 Draws 1
1 Losses 2
3 Goals For 5
3 Goals Against 7
0.75 Avg Goals Scored 1
0.75 Avg Goals Conceded 1.4
2 BTTS Yes 1
2 Over 1.5 4
0 Over 2.5 2
0 Over 3.5 1
1 Clean Sheets 2
1 Failed To Score 2
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Stoke City won 7 times, Swansea won 5 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 22:18 from Stoke City's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.67 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (93.3%)
Predicted formations: Stoke City 4-2-3-1 / Swansea 4-1-4-1
Missing players: Stoke City 3, Swansea 3
H2H summary: Stoke City wins 7, draws 3, Swansea wins 5
Stats
Stoke City Stoke City
Swansea Swansea
Shots on Goal
2
Shots on Goal
3
Shots off Goal
4
Shots off Goal
3
Blocked Shots
0
Blocked Shots
1
4 Corner Kicks 5
14 Fouls 9
1 Offsides 1
41% Ball Possession 59%
6 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Goal 3
4 Shots off Goal 3
0 Blocked Shots 1
6 Shots insidebox 5
0 Shots outsidebox 2
1 Goalkeeper Saves 1
279 Total passes 421
196 Passes accurate 316
0.65 expected_goals 0.62
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 3 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Stoke City
Formation
Swansea
V. Johansson
V. Johansson
B. Wilmot
B. Wilmot
B. Lawal
B. Lawal
L. Graham
L. Graham
E. Bocat
E. Bocat
E. Galbraith
E. Galbraith
S. Ingelsson
S. Ingelsson
M. Manhoef
M. Manhoef
T. Rigo
🎯
T. Rigo
S. Thomas
S. Thomas
S. Gallagher
S. Gallagher
L. Vigouroux
L. Vigouroux
F. Lissah
F. Lissah
B. Cabango
B. Cabango
S. Welsh
S. Welsh
J. Tymon
🎯
J. Tymon
J. Fulton
J. Fulton
J. Opoku
J. Opoku
E. Just
E. Just
M. Stamenic
M. Stamenic
M. K. Yeo
M. K. Yeo
Z. Vipotnik
🎯
Z. Vipotnik
Stoke City 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
V. Johansson
G
16
B. Wilmot
D
18
B. Lawal
↓ 46'
5
L. Graham
🟨 36'
D
17
E. Bocat
⚽ 10'
D
8
E. Galbraith
M
6
S. Ingelsson
↓ 70'
M
42
M. Manhoef
M
19
T. Rigo
🎯 10' ↓ 70'
M
7
S. Thomas
M
20
S. Gallagher
↓ 70'
F
Substitutes
24
J. Griffiths
G
43
F. Anderson
D
23
B. Gibson
D
40
M. Talovierov
↑ 46'
D
4
B. Pearson
M
27
D. Soumare
↑ 70'
M
58
T. Martin
F
10
Bae Jun-Ho
↑ 70'
M
9
R. Bozenik
↑ 70'
F
Swansea 4-1-4-1
Starting XI
22
L. Vigouroux
G
26
F. Lissah
↓ 55' 🟨 53'
D
5
B. Cabango
D
23
S. Welsh
D
14
J. Tymon
🎯 66' 🟨 90+1'
D
4
J. Fulton
↓ 84'
M
30
J. Opoku
⚽ 22'
8
E. Just
↓ 65'
M
6
M. Stamenic
M
49
M. K. Yeo
↓ 65'
M
9
Z. Vipotnik
🎯 22' ↓ 65'
F
Substitutes
1
A. Fisher
G
50
C. Heywood
D
2
J. Key
↑ 55'
D
20
T. Parente
D
10
Eom Ji-Sung
↑ 65'
F
7
M. Widell
↑ 65' 🟨 86'
M
21
L. Walta
↑ 84'
M
33
A. Idah
⚽ 66' ↑ 65'
F
35
Ronald
F
Last matches: Stoke City
01.08.26
Fri
Stoke City
Valencia
1
1
D
28.07.26
Fri
Stoke City
Everton
1
0
W
18.07.26
Fri
Stoke City
Crewe
1
1
D
10.07.26
Fri
Stoke City
SC Braga
0
1
L
02.05.26
Cha
Stoke City
Bristol City
0
2
L
25.04.26
Cha
Stoke City
Portsmouth
1
3
L
21.04.26
Cha
Stoke City
Millwall
1
3
L
18.04.26
Cha
Stoke City
Wrexham
0
2
L
11.04.26
Cha
Stoke City
Blackburn
1
1
D
06.04.26
Cha
Stoke City
Derby
0
2
L
03.04.26
Cha
Stoke City
Sheffield Wednesday
2
0
W
20.03.26
Cha
Stoke City
Preston
1
3
L
14.03.26
Cha
Stoke City
Watford
3
1
W
10.03.26
Cha
Stoke City
Ipswich
3
3
D
07.03.26
Cha
Stoke City
Swansea
0
2
L
28.02.26
Cha
Stoke City
Coventry
1
2
L
25.02.26
Cha
Stoke City
Oxford United
2
1
W
21.02.26
Cha
Stoke City
Leicester
2
2
D
15.02.26
FA
Stoke City
Fulham
1
2
L
11.02.26
Cha
Stoke City
Charlton
0
1
L
Last matches: Swansea
01.08.26
Fri
Swansea
Leganes
1
0
W
28.07.26
Fri
Swansea
Merthyr Town
0
3
L
24.07.26
Fri
Swansea
Udinese
2
0
W
21.07.26
Fri
Swansea
VfL Bochum
0
2
L
18.07.26
Fri
Swansea
Holstein Kiel
2
2
D
02.05.26
Cha
Swansea
Charlton
3
1
W
25.04.26
Cha
Swansea
Norwich
1
1
D
21.04.26
Cha
Swansea
QPR
2
1
W
18.04.26
Cha
Swansea
Southampton
1
2
L
11.04.26
Cha
Swansea
Leicester
1
0
W
06.04.26
Cha
Swansea
Middlesbrough
2
2
D
03.04.26
Cha
Swansea
Sheffield Utd
3
3
D
21.03.26
Cha
Swansea
Coventry
0
3
L
13.03.26
Cha
Swansea
Wrexham
0
2
L
10.03.26
Cha
Swansea
Portsmouth
2
1
W
07.03.26
Cha
Swansea
Stoke City
2
0
W
28.02.26
Cha
Swansea
Ipswich
0
3
L
24.02.26
Cha
Swansea
Preston
1
1
D
21.02.26
Cha
Swansea
Bristol City
1
0
W
14.02.26
Cha
Swansea
Derby
0
2
L
H2H: Stoke City vs Swansea
15.08.26
H2H
Stoke City
Swansea
1
2
L
07.03.26
H2H
Swansea
Stoke City
2
0
L
13.12.25
H2H
Stoke City
Swansea
2
1
W
15.02.25
H2H
Stoke City
Swansea
3
1
W
05.10.24
H2H
Swansea
Stoke City
0
0
D
10.04.24
H2H
Swansea
Stoke City
3
0
L
12.12.23
H2H
Stoke City
Swansea
1
1
D
21.02.23
H2H
Swansea
Stoke City
1
3
W
31.08.22
H2H
Stoke City
Swansea
1
1
D
08.02.22
H2H
Stoke City
Swansea
3
0
W
17.08.21
H2H
Swansea
Stoke City
1
3
W
03.03.21
H2H
Stoke City
Swansea
1
2
L
27.10.20
H2H
Swansea
Stoke City
2
0
L
25.01.20
H2H
Stoke City
Swansea
2
0
W
05.10.19
H2H
Swansea
Stoke City
1
2
W
Last matches: Stoke City
01.08.26
Fri
Stoke City
Valencia
1
1
D
28.07.26
Fri
Stoke City
Everton
1
0
W
10.07.26
Fri
Stoke City
SC Braga
0
1
L
25.04.26
Cha
Stoke City
Portsmouth
1
3
L
21.04.26
Cha
Stoke City
Millwall
1
3
L
11.04.26
Cha
Stoke City
Blackburn
1
1
D
03.04.26
Cha
Stoke City
Sheffield Wednesday
2
0
W
14.03.26
Cha
Stoke City
Watford
3
1
W
10.03.26
Cha
Stoke City
Ipswich
3
3
D
25.02.26
Cha
Stoke City
Oxford United
2
1
W
21.02.26
Cha
Stoke City
Leicester
2
2
D
15.02.26
FA
Stoke City
Fulham
1
2
L
31.01.26
Cha
Stoke City
Southampton
0
2
L
21.01.26
Cha
Stoke City
Middlesbrough
1
2
L
17.01.26
Cha
Stoke City
QPR
0
0
D
10.01.26
FA
Stoke City
Coventry
1
0
W
29.12.25
Cha
Stoke City
Sheffield Utd
1
2
L
26.12.25
Cha
Stoke City
Preston
0
0
D
13.12.25
Cha
Stoke City
Swansea
2
1
W
29.11.25
Cha
Stoke City
Hull City
1
2
L
H2H at home: Stoke City
15.08.26
H2H
Stoke City
Swansea
1
2
L
13.12.25
H2H
Stoke City
Swansea
2
1
W
15.02.25
H2H
Stoke City
Swansea
3
1
W
12.12.23
H2H
Stoke City
Swansea
1
1
D
31.08.22
H2H
Stoke City
Swansea
1
1
D
08.02.22
H2H
Stoke City
Swansea
3
0
W
03.03.21
H2H
Stoke City
Swansea
1
2
L
25.01.20
H2H
Stoke City
Swansea
2
0
W
Last matches: Swansea
28.07.26
Fri
Swansea
Merthyr Town
0
3
L
25.04.26
Cha
Swansea
Norwich
1
1
D
21.04.26
Cha
Swansea
QPR
2
1
W
11.04.26
Cha
Swansea
Leicester
1
0
W
03.04.26
Cha
Swansea
Sheffield Utd
3
3
D
13.03.26
Cha
Swansea
Wrexham
0
2
L
10.03.26
Cha
Swansea
Portsmouth
2
1
W
28.02.26
Cha
Swansea
Ipswich
0
3
L
14.02.26
Cha
Swansea
Derby
0
2
L
31.01.26
Cha
Swansea
Watford
2
0
W
24.01.26
Cha
Swansea
Hull City
1
2
L
04.01.26
Cha
Swansea
Millwall
1
2
L
29.12.25
Cha
Swansea
Oxford United
1
0
W
26.12.25
Cha
Swansea
Coventry
0
1
L
13.12.25
Cha
Swansea
Stoke City
1
2
L
29.11.25
Cha
Swansea
West Brom
2
3
L
22.11.25
Cha
Swansea
Bristol City
0
3
L
05.11.25
Cha
Swansea
Preston
1
2
L
01.11.25
Cha
Swansea
Charlton
1
1
D
18.10.25
Cha
Swansea
Southampton
0
0
D
H2H away: Swansea
15.08.26
H2H
Stoke City
Swansea
1
2
W
13.12.25
H2H
Stoke City
Swansea
2
1
L
15.02.25
H2H
Stoke City
Swansea
3
1
L
12.12.23
H2H
Stoke City
Swansea
1
1
D
31.08.22
H2H
Stoke City
Swansea
1
1
D
08.02.22
H2H
Stoke City
Swansea
3
0
L
03.03.21
H2H
Stoke City
Swansea
1
2
W
25.01.20
H2H
Stoke City
Swansea
2
0
L
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.96
Draw 3.31
Home 2.44
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.67
Draw 2.17
Home 3.11
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.34
Over 1.75 1.43
Over 2.0 1.56
Over 2.25 1.85
Over 2.5 2.11
Over 2.75 2.43
Over 3.5 3.75
Under 1.5 3.27
Under 1.75 2.89
Under 2.0 2.48
Under 2.25 2.01
Under 2.5 1.76
Under 2.75 1.58
Under 3.5 1.28
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.10
Draw 3.20
Home 2.38
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.60
Draw 2.10
Home 3.10
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 3.20
Draw 2.30
Home 2.75
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.07
Over 1.5 1.36
Over 2.5 2.10
Over 3.5 4.00
Over 4.5 8.00
Over 5.5 17.00
Over 6.5 34.00
Under 0.5 8.50
Under 1.5 3.20
Under 2.5 1.73
Under 3.5 1.25
Under 4.5 1.08
Under 5.5 1.02
Under 6.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.91
Draw 3.25
Home 2.40
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.70
Draw 2.02
Home 3.04
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 3.30
Draw 2.36
Home 2.72
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.01
Over 0.75 1.02
Over 1.0 1.04
Over 1.25 1.17
Over 1.5 1.30
Over 1.75 1.40
Over 2.0 1.52
Over 2.25 1.83
Over 2.5 2.07
Over 2.75 2.33
Over 3.0 2.90
Over 3.25 3.22
Over 3.5 3.54
Over 3.75 4.44
Over 4.0 6.25
Over 4.25 6.60
Over 4.5 7.00
Over 5.0 10.00
Over 5.5 13.00
Over 6.5 34.00
Under 0.5 8.30
Under 0.75 7.65
Under 1.0 7.00
Under 1.25 4.00
Under 1.5 2.99
Under 1.75 2.66
Under 2.0 2.31
Under 2.25 1.94
Under 2.5 1.73
Under 2.75 1.51
Under 3.0 1.34
Under 3.25 1.26
Under 3.5 1.22
Under 3.75 1.14
Under 4.0 1.06
Under 4.25 1.05
Under 4.5 1.04
Under 5.0 1.01
Under 5.5 1.02
Under 6.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.90
Draw 3.25
Home 2.38
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.50
Draw 2.10
Home 3.00
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 3.15
Draw 2.45
Home 2.70
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.04
Over 1.5 1.32
Over 1.75 1.42
Over 2.0 1.55
Over 2.25 1.81
Over 2.5 2.07
Over 2.75 2.40
Over 3.0 3.00
Over 3.25 3.35
Over 3.5 3.75
Over 4.5 7.50
Under 0.5 9.00
Under 1.5 3.15
Under 1.75 2.75
Under 2.0 2.38
Under 2.25 1.94
Under 2.5 1.71
Under 2.75 1.54
Under 3.0 1.36
Under 3.25 1.30
Under 3.5 1.24
Under 4.5 1.06

Standings

Championship
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 1 1 0 0 3:1 2 3
W
2 1 1 0 0 2:0 2 3
W
3 1 1 0 0 2:1 1 3
W
4 1 1 0 0 2:1 1 3
W
5 1 1 0 0 2:1 1 3
W
6 1 1 0 0 2:1 1 3
W
7 1 1 0 0 2:1 1 3
W
8 1 1 0 0 2:1 1 3
W
9 1 0 1 0 2:2 0 1
D
10 1 0 1 0 2:2 0 1
D
11 1 0 1 0 2:2 0 1
D
12 1 0 1 0 2:2 0 1
D
13 1 0 1 0 1:1 0 1
D
14 1 0 1 0 1:1 0 1
D
15 1 0 1 0 0:0 0 1
D
16 1 0 1 0 0:0 0 1
D
17 1 0 0 1 1:2 -1 0
L
18 1 0 0 1 1:2 -1 0
L
19 1 0 0 1 1:2 -1 0
L
20 1 0 0 1 1:2 -1 0
L
21 1 0 0 1 1:2 -1 0
L
22 1 0 0 1 1:3 -2 0
L
23 1 0 0 1 0:2 -2 0
L
24 1 0 0 1 1:2 -1 -4
L
Promotion - Premier League
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Relegation - League One

Missing Players

Stoke City 3 missing
-
M. Talovierov
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
J. Tchamadeu
Questionable Knee Injury
OUT
-
A. Ampah
Missing Fixture Hamstring Injury
OUT
Swansea 3 missing
-
R. Stewart
Questionable Injury
OUT
-
C. Burgess
Missing Fixture Achilles Tendon Injury
OUT
-
G. Franco
Missing Fixture Injury
OUT