SWEDEN › ETTAN - NORRA
03.10.2026 14:00
Danderyd IP
Stocksund
Match Timeline
Järfälla
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
20'
A. Khalil
Järfälla
🟨
28'
D. Bangala
Järfälla
⚽
29'
Y. Rauf
Stocksund
🟨
45'
A. Wurtz
Järfälla
🔄
46'
C. F. Danha ↔ C. Fox
Järfälla
🔄
69'
O. Ogestad ↔ A. Sabery
Järfälla
🔄
69'
A. Wurtz ↔ K. Dahir
Järfälla
🔄
69'
N. Medhin T ↔ D. Markovski
Järfälla
🔄
72'
N. Wagberg ↔ S. Badome
Stocksund
🔄
75'
E. Drugge ↔ P. Saweris
Järfälla
🔄
82'
C. Jonsson ↔ A. L. Mumuni
Stocksund
🔄
82'
K. Engstrom ↔ J. Sibeene
Stocksund

Stocksund vs Järfälla Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 58.9%
Odds 2.09
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds 1.36
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 87%
Odds 1.36
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
58.9%
2.09 ▥
BTTS Yes
78.8%
1.36 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
87%
1.36 ▥
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
1.31 ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
3.20 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
10.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Stocksund Win 58.9%
Draw 8%
Järfälla Win 33.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Stocksund1.93
Järfälla1.79
Recent Form (Last 5)
Stocksund Stocksund
WWDLW
55 GF / 80 GA
Järfälla Järfälla
WLDWL
37 GF / 63 GA
Key Stats
1.67
Average Goals Scored
1.37
2.42
Average Goals Conceded
2.33
25
BTTS Yes
17
26
Over 2.5
20
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Stocksund Stocksund 33 matches
Järfälla Järfälla 27 matches
Stocksund Statistic Järfälla
5 Wins 5
7 Draws 4
21 Losses 18
55 Goals For 37
80 Goals Against 63
1.67 Avg Goals Scored 1.37
2.42 Avg Goals Conceded 2.33
25 BTTS Yes 17
30 Over 1.5 25
26 Over 2.5 20
16 Over 3.5 16
1 Clean Sheets 3
7 Failed To Score 7
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Järfälla having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Järfälla. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.

Stocksund Analysis

Stocksund approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 16 with 14 points from 24 matches. Their record of 3 wins, 5 draws, and 16 losses, together with goals at 44:60, reflects poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. At home, the split record of 2 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses points to a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Järfälla Analysis

Järfälla approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 15 with 18 points from 23 matches. Across the season they have posted 5 wins, 3 draws, and 15 defeats, and the 30:50 goal record continues to suggest poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have managed 2 wins, 3 draws, and 7 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, Stocksund won 5 times, Järfälla won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 26:9 from Stocksund's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 5.83 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (92%)
H2H summary: Stocksund wins 5, draws 0, Järfälla wins 1

Standings

North
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 25 18 3 4 60:20 40 57
W W W W W
2 25 14 6 5 46:28 18 48
W W W W L
3 25 14 5 6 47:34 13 47
D W L W W
4 25 13 6 6 51:25 26 45
L W L D W
5 25 12 7 6 41:35 6 43
D W D D W
6 25 13 3 9 38:40 -2 42
W L D W W
7 25 11 8 6 37:25 12 41
D D D D L
8 25 9 5 11 43:45 -2 32
L L W L L
9 25 9 5 11 34:41 -7 32
W L W W L
10 25 9 5 11 33:41 -8 32
W D L L W
11 25 9 3 13 29:43 -14 30
L L W L W
12 25 7 6 12 36:52 -16 27
L W L D L
13 25 5 9 11 24:36 -12 24
L L D L L
14 25 5 7 13 30:46 -16 22
D W W L L
15 25 5 4 16 33:55 -22 19
D L L W L
16 25 3 6 16 45:61 -16 15
D L L L W