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23.08.2026 17:00
Referee: I. O. Kristjansson
Stjarnan
Match Timeline
Thor Akureyri
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
6'
O. Eggertsson · Assist: B. Ingason
Stjarnan
⚽
41'
E. Atlason · Assist: O. Eggertsson
Stjarnan
🟨
43'
B. Ingason
Stjarnan
⚽
45'
B. Ingason · Assist: E. Atlason
Stjarnan
🔄
46'
A. Arnarsson ↔ V. Ottosson
Thor Akureyri
🔄
56'
E. Halldorsson ↔ S. Gunnarsson
Thor Akureyri
⚽
61'
E. Atlason
Stjarnan
🔄
62'
O. Eggertsson ↔ D. Matthiasson
Stjarnan
🔄
63'
A. Hauksson ↔ A. Vilhjalmsson
Stjarnan
🔄
69'
V. Bertomeu ↔ F. Gislason
Thor Akureyri
🔄
69'
A. Sigurjonsson ↔ P. Helgason
Thor Akureyri
🔄
71'
B. Hauksson ↔ D. Dankerlui
Stjarnan
🔄
71'
B. Ingason ↔ I. Turay
Stjarnan
🟨
72'
D. Matthiasson
Stjarnan
⚽
72'
S. Gunnarsson · Assist: B. Brynjolfsson
Thor Akureyri
🟨
74'
G. Gudbrandsson
Thor Akureyri
🔄
78'
E. Atlason ↔ C. Alexandersson
Stjarnan
🔄
82'
Y. Affi ↔ T. Ingolfsson
Thor Akureyri
⚽
89'
C. Jakobsen · Assist: S. Gunnarsson
Thor Akureyri

Stjarnan vs Thor Akureyri Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 86.3%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 48.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
86.3%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
58.2%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
48.9%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Stjarnan Win 86.3%
Draw 5.2%
Thor Akureyri Win 8.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Stjarnan2.04
Thor Akureyri1.48
Recent Form (Last 5)
Stjarnan Stjarnan
WWDLW
45 GF / 53 GA
Thor Akureyri Thor Akureyri
WLDWL
21 GF / 48 GA
Key Stats
1.8
Average Goals Scored
1.05
2.12
Average Goals Conceded
2.4
20
BTTS Yes
11
20
Over 2.5
12
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Stjarnan Stjarnan 25 matches
Thor Akureyri Thor Akureyri 20 matches
Stjarnan Statistic Thor Akureyri
10 Wins 5
4 Draws 3
11 Losses 12
45 Goals For 21
53 Goals Against 48
1.8 Avg Goals Scored 1.05
2.12 Avg Goals Conceded 2.4
20 BTTS Yes 11
21 Over 1.5 15
20 Over 2.5 12
17 Over 3.5 9
2 Clean Sheets 3
3 Failed To Score 7
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Thor Akureyri. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Stjarnan Analysis

Stjarnan sit 8 with 21 points after 18 league matches. Their overall return of 6 wins, 3 draws, and 9 losses with goals at 33:43 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 3 wins, 1 draws, and 5 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Thor Akureyri Analysis

Thor Akureyri sit 12 with 15 points after 19 league matches. Their overall return of 4 wins, 3 draws, and 12 losses with goals at 18:46 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. Away from home, their split return of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses fits a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, Stjarnan won 3 times, Thor Akureyri won 2 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:11 from Stjarnan's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 3.67 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.8%)
Predicted formations: Stjarnan 4-3-3 / Thor Akureyri 4-3-3
H2H summary: Stjarnan wins 3, draws 1, Thor Akureyri wins 2

Standings

Úrvalsdeild
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 22 16 5 1 67:21 46 53
W W D D W
2 22 13 6 3 56:42 14 45
D L D D W
3 22 13 5 4 74:49 25 44
L W L D W
4 22 8 6 8 43:41 2 30
L W L L L
5 22 8 6 8 39:41 -2 30
W L W D D
6 22 8 4 10 33:38 -5 28
D L L L W
7 22 8 4 10 42:50 -8 28
L W D W W
8 22 8 3 11 39:45 -6 27
D W W D L
9 22 4 9 9 27:39 -12 21
W W L W D
10 22 6 3 13 22:50 -28 21
L L W W L
11 22 5 5 12 35:48 -13 20
W L W D L
12 22 4 6 12 32:45 -13 18
D L D L L
Play-offs
Relegation Playoffs