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11.10.2026 15:00

Start vs Ham-Kam Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 48.9%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
48.9%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
71%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Start Win 48.9%
Draw 13.7%
Ham-Kam Win 37.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Start1.4
Ham-Kam1.69
Recent Form (Last 5)
Start Start
WWDLW
35 GF / 61 GA
Ham-Kam Ham-Kam
WLDWL
45 GF / 54 GA
Key Stats
1.13
Average Goals Scored
1.5
1.97
Average Goals Conceded
1.8
16
BTTS Yes
18
18
Over 2.5
21
3.67
Shots on Goal
3.9

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Start Start 31 matches
Ham-Kam Ham-Kam 30 matches
Start Statistic Ham-Kam
8 Wins 10
5 Draws 7
18 Losses 13
35 Goals For 45
61 Goals Against 54
1.13 Avg Goals Scored 1.5
1.97 Avg Goals Conceded 1.8
16 BTTS Yes 18
29 Over 1.5 27
18 Over 2.5 21
9 Over 3.5 13
5 Clean Sheets 7
10 Failed To Score 5
3.67 Shots On Goal 3.9
13.81 Total Shots 10.43
4.29 Corners 4.1
42.5% Ball Possession 46.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Ham-Kam.

Start Analysis

Start sit 16 with 16 points after 21 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 4 wins, 4 draws, and 13 losses, together with goals at 22:44, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through J. Cornelius (5 goals), H. Lorentzen (3 goals), O. Toure (3 goals), with creative support from E. Segberg (4 assists), H. Lorentzen (3 assists), Tom Strannegård (3 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have managed 3 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Ham-Kam Analysis

Ham-Kam approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 13 with 23 points from 21 matches. The overall return of 6 wins, 5 draws, and 10 defeats with a 29:44 goal balance points toward poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Going forward they depend heavily on Mame Alassane Niang (5 goals), Aksel Baran Potur (4 goals), H. Udahl (4 goals), with creative support from P. Metcalfe (5 assists), M. Gjone (3 assists), Viðar Ari Jónsson (2 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have managed 1 wins, 3 draws, and 7 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, Start won 3 times, Ham-Kam won 4 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:16 from Start's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 4 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (86.3%)
Predicted formations: Start 5-3-2 / Ham-Kam 5-3-2
H2H summary: Start wins 3, draws 0, Ham-Kam wins 4

Standings

Eliteserien
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 21 16 2 3 54:20 34 50
W W D W L
2 21 16 2 3 53:19 34 50
L W W W W
3 21 11 5 5 40:29 11 38
W L L D L
4 21 11 3 7 44:32 12 36
L W W W W
5 21 10 3 8 39:30 9 33
W W W L W
6 21 10 2 9 28:29 -1 32
L W W L D
7 21 9 2 10 39:32 7 29
W L L D W
8 21 8 4 9 25:32 -7 28
D D L W W
9 21 6 7 8 24:29 -5 25
L D D D L
10 21 7 4 10 25:35 -10 25
W W L L D
11 21 6 5 10 21:27 -6 23
W L D D W
12 21 6 5 10 34:43 -9 23
D L D L D
13 21 6 5 10 29:44 -15 23
L L L D L
14 21 4 9 8 33:46 -13 21
W L W L D
15 21 5 4 12 21:40 -19 19
L L W D L
16
Start Home
21 4 4 13 22:44 -22 16
L W L W L
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Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Eliteserien (Relegation)
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