BELGIUM JUPILER PRO LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
Maurice Dufrasnestadion
Referee: B. Van Driessche
Standard Liege
Match Timeline
OH Leuven
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
VAR
33'
Timothee Nkada
Standard Liege
🟨
34'
Kyan Vaesen
OH Leuven
40'
R. Nyakossi
OH Leuven
🟨
45'
Roggerio Nyakossi
OH Leuven
🔄
46'
I. Karamoko ↔ M. Ilaimaharitra
Standard Liege
47'
H. Lawrence
Standard Liege
🔄
63'
T. Nkada ↔ D. Eckert Ayensa
Standard Liege
69'
C. Nielsen · Assist: J. Homawoo
Standard Liege
🔄
73'
A. K. Traore ↔ W. Balikwisha
OH Leuven
🔄
73'
S. Kaba ↔ C. Ikwuemesi
OH Leuven
🔄
75'
C. Nielsen ↔ T. Teuma
Standard Liege
🔄
75'
A. Abid ↔ T. Mohr
Standard Liege
🔄
79'
W. George ↔ S. Schrijvers
OH Leuven
🔄
79'
K. Vaesen ↔ M. Maertens
OH Leuven
🔄
87'
H. Teklab ↔ B. Kayo
OH Leuven
🔄
90+3'
R. Said ↔ B. Nguene
Standard Liege

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 80.7%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 30.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 30.4%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
80.7%
-
BTTS BTTS No
30.6%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
30.4%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
67.4%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Standard Liege Win 45.8%
Draw 19.4%
OH Leuven Win 34.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Standard Liege1.28
OH Leuven1.07
Recent Form (Last 5)
Standard Liege Standard Liege
WWDLW
40 GF / 42 GA
OH Leuven OH Leuven
WLDWL
36 GF / 55 GA
Key Stats
1.11
Average Goals Scored
1
1.17
Average Goals Conceded
1.53
15
BTTS Yes
17
16
Over 2.5
16
3.33
Shots on Goal
4.17

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Standard Liege Standard Liege 36 matches
OH Leuven OH Leuven 36 matches
Standard Liege Statistic OH Leuven
14 Wins 9
8 Draws 9
14 Losses 18
40 Goals For 36
42 Goals Against 55
1.11 Avg Goals Scored 1
1.17 Avg Goals Conceded 1.53
15 BTTS Yes 17
26 Over 1.5 26
16 Over 2.5 16
5 Over 3.5 10
11 Clean Sheets 9
12 Failed To Score 13
3.33 Shots On Goal 4.17
9.78 Total Shots 12.92
4.08 Corners 4.78
44.1% Ball Possession 46.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. OH Leuven arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Standard Liege expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and OH Leuven in 3-4-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward OH Leuven having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors OH Leuven. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.

Standard Liege Analysis

Placed 1 with 30 points from 36 outings, Standard Liege continue to operate from a strong competitive position. The record of 14 wins, 8 draws, and 14 defeats, together with a 40:42 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through R. Said (7 goals), D. Eckert Ayensa (5 goals), C. Nielsen (4 goals), with creative support from A. Abid (5 assists), R. Said (4 assists), C. Nielsen (2 assists), while at the back they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, the record of 4 wins, 6 draws, and 7 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

OH Leuven Analysis

With 19 points from 36 games and a place of 6, OH Leuven still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 9 wins, 9 draws, and 18 losses, together with goals at 36:55, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through S. Kaba (6 goals), Ewoud Pletinckx (5 goals), Chukwubuikem Ikwuemesi (4 goals), with creative support from Siebe Schrijvers (4 assists), T. Verlinden (4 assists), L. Lakomy (3 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have managed 5 wins, 4 draws, and 9 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Standard Liege won 4 times, OH Leuven won 7 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:19 from Standard Liege's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.36 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (80.7%)
Predicted formations: Standard Liege 3-4-2-1 / OH Leuven 3-4-3
H2H summary: Standard Liege wins 4, draws 3, OH Leuven wins 7
Stats
Standard Liege Standard Liege
OH Leuven OH Leuven
Shots on Goal
4
Shots on Goal
2
Shots off Goal
7
Shots off Goal
4
Blocked Shots
2
Blocked Shots
6
3 Corner Kicks 7
5 Fouls 12
3 Offsides 3
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Goal 2
7 Shots off Goal 4
2 Blocked Shots 6
8 Shots insidebox 8
5 Shots outsidebox 4
1 Goalkeeper Saves 2
477 Total passes 388
398 Passes accurate 304
1.26 expected_goals 1.19
🟨 0 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Standard Liege
Formation
OH Leuven
M. Epolo
M. Epolo
I. Hautekiet
I. Hautekiet
D. Bates
D. Bates
J. Homawoo
🎯
J. Homawoo
H. Lawrence
H. Lawrence
C. Nielsen
C. Nielsen
I. Karamoko
I. Karamoko
G. Mortensen
G. Mortensen
A. Abid
A. Abid
R. Said
R. Said
T. Nkada
T. Nkada
T. Leysen
T. Leysen
E. Pletinckx
E. Pletinckx
R. Nyakossi
R. Nyakossi
T. Akimoto
T. Akimoto
D. Opoku
D. Opoku
W. George
W. George
L. Lakomy
L. Lakomy
H. Teklab
H. Teklab
K. Vaesen
K. Vaesen
A. K. Traore
A. K. Traore
S. Kaba
S. Kaba
Standard Liege 3-4-2-1
Starting XI
1
M. Epolo
G
25
I. Hautekiet
D
4
D. Bates
D
24
J. Homawoo
🎯 69'
D
18
H. Lawrence
⚽ 47'
M
94
C. Nielsen
⚽ 69' ↓ 75'
M
20
I. Karamoko
↓ 46'
M
3
G. Mortensen
M
11
A. Abid
↓ 75'
F
17
R. Said
↓ 90+3'
F
59
T. Nkada
↓ 63'
F
Substitutes
21
L. Pirard
G
23
M. Ilaimaharitra
↑ 46'
M
10
D. Eckert Ayensa
↑ 63'
F
8
N. Mehssatou Sepulveda
D
29
D. Dierckx
D
26
B. Nguene
↑ 90+3'
F
80
T. Teuma
↑ 75'
M
7
T. Mohr
↑ 75'
M
53
S. Assengue
M
OH Leuven 3-4-2-1
Starting XI
1
T. Leysen
G
28
E. Pletinckx
D
34
R. Nyakossi
⚽ 40' 🟨 45'
D
30
T. Akimoto
D
99
D. Opoku
M
6
W. George
↓ 79'
24
L. Lakomy
M
14
H. Teklab
↓ 87'
M
17
K. Vaesen
↓ 79' 🟨 34'
F
9
A. K. Traore
↓ 73'
F
39
S. Kaba
↓ 73'
F
Substitutes
16
M. Prevot
G
77
T. Vlietinck
48
B. Kayo
↑ 87'
M
42
H. Bulut
M
8
S. Schrijvers
↑ 79'
M
33
M. Maertens
↑ 79'
M
21
W. Balikwisha
↑ 73'
F
19
C. Ikwuemesi
↑ 73'
F
63
C. Souanga
Last matches: Standard Liege
23.05.26
Jup
Standard Liege
Charleroi
0
2
L
19.05.26
Jup
Standard Liege
KVC Westerlo
2
1
W
16.05.26
Jup
Standard Liege
Genk
0
0
D
03.05.26
Jup
Standard Liege
Antwerp
5
0
W
25.04.26
Jup
Standard Liege
Genk
1
1
D
21.04.26
Jup
Standard Liege
Antwerp
1
2
L
18.04.26
Jup
Standard Liege
Charleroi
2
1
W
11.04.26
Jup
Standard Liege
KVC Westerlo
1
2
L
04.04.26
Jup
Standard Liege
OH Leuven
3
1
W
22.03.26
Jup
Standard Liege
KVC Westerlo
0
0
D
15.03.26
Jup
Standard Liege
Antwerp
1
1
D
08.03.26
Jup
Standard Liege
Zulte Waregem
1
0
W
27.02.26
Jup
Standard Liege
RAAL La Louvière
1
1
D
22.02.26
Jup
Standard Liege
Genk
3
0
W
14.02.26
Jup
Standard Liege
Union St. Gilloise
1
1
D
08.02.26
Jup
Standard Liege
Club Brugge KV
0
3
L
01.02.26
Jup
Standard Liege
Anderlecht
2
0
W
23.01.26
Jup
Standard Liege
Gent
0
4
L
18.01.26
Jup
Standard Liege
Charleroi
0
2
L
09.01.26
Fri
Standard Liege
Hertha BSC
3
2
W
Last matches: OH Leuven
23.05.26
Jup
OH Leuven
Genk
0
2
L
19.05.26
Jup
OH Leuven
Charleroi
1
1
D
15.05.26
Jup
OH Leuven
Antwerp
3
0
W
02.05.26
Jup
OH Leuven
KVC Westerlo
3
3
D
25.04.26
Jup
OH Leuven
Charleroi
0
2
L
21.04.26
Jup
OH Leuven
KVC Westerlo
0
2
L
18.04.26
Jup
OH Leuven
Antwerp
0
2
L
12.04.26
Jup
OH Leuven
Genk
0
0
D
04.04.26
Jup
OH Leuven
Standard Liege
1
3
L
22.03.26
Jup
OH Leuven
Antwerp
1
0
W
14.03.26
Jup
OH Leuven
Charleroi
2
0
W
07.03.26
Jup
OH Leuven
KVC Westerlo
0
1
L
28.02.26
Jup
OH Leuven
Anderlecht
1
5
L
21.02.26
Jup
OH Leuven
Club Brugge KV
1
2
L
14.02.26
Jup
OH Leuven
Dender
3
2
W
07.02.26
Jup
OH Leuven
Gent
3
1
W
01.02.26
Jup
OH Leuven
KV Mechelen
2
2
D
24.01.26
Jup
OH Leuven
Union St. Gilloise
0
0
D
18.01.26
Jup
OH Leuven
St. Truiden
0
1
L
08.01.26
Fri
OH Leuven
Preußen Münster
1
2
L
H2H: Standard Liege vs OH Leuven
08.05.26
H2H
Standard Liege
OH Leuven
2
1
W
04.04.26
H2H
OH Leuven
Standard Liege
1
3
W
12.12.25
H2H
Standard Liege
OH Leuven
0
1
L
31.08.25
H2H
OH Leuven
Standard Liege
1
0
L
26.04.25
H2H
OH Leuven
Standard Liege
1
1
D
22.04.25
H2H
Standard Liege
OH Leuven
0
1
L
07.12.24
H2H
Standard Liege
OH Leuven
1
1
D
31.08.24
H2H
OH Leuven
Standard Liege
2
0
L
05.05.24
H2H
OH Leuven
Standard Liege
3
1
L
06.04.24
H2H
Standard Liege
OH Leuven
0
0
D
10.02.24
H2H
Standard Liege
OH Leuven
1
0
W
30.09.23
H2H
OH Leuven
Standard Liege
1
2
W
19.07.23
H2H
Standard Liege
OH Leuven
0
0
D
23.04.23
H2H
OH Leuven
Standard Liege
3
2
L
21.08.22
H2H
Standard Liege
OH Leuven
1
3
L
Last matches: Standard Liege
23.05.26
Jup
Standard Liege
Charleroi
0
2
L
16.05.26
Jup
Standard Liege
Genk
0
0
D
21.04.26
Jup
Standard Liege
Antwerp
1
2
L
11.04.26
Jup
Standard Liege
KVC Westerlo
1
2
L
22.03.26
Jup
Standard Liege
KVC Westerlo
0
0
D
27.02.26
Jup
Standard Liege
RAAL La Louvière
1
1
D
14.02.26
Jup
Standard Liege
Union St. Gilloise
1
1
D
01.02.26
Jup
Standard Liege
Anderlecht
2
0
W
23.01.26
Jup
Standard Liege
Gent
0
4
L
26.12.25
Jup
Standard Liege
St. Truiden
1
2
L
12.12.25
Jup
Standard Liege
OH Leuven
0
1
L
21.11.25
Jup
Standard Liege
Zulte Waregem
0
0
D
31.10.25
Jup
Standard Liege
Charleroi
3
1
W
20.10.25
Jup
Standard Liege
Antwerp
1
0
W
27.09.25
Jup
Standard Liege
Club Brugge KV
1
2
L
12.09.25
Jup
Standard Liege
KV Mechelen
1
1
D
23.08.25
Jup
Standard Liege
Cercle Brugge
0
3
L
10.08.25
Jup
Standard Liege
Genk
2
1
W
02.08.25
Jup
Standard Liege
Dender
1
1
D
H2H at home: Standard Liege
08.05.26
H2H
Standard Liege
OH Leuven
2
1
W
12.12.25
H2H
Standard Liege
OH Leuven
0
1
L
22.04.25
H2H
Standard Liege
OH Leuven
0
1
L
07.12.24
H2H
Standard Liege
OH Leuven
1
1
D
06.04.24
H2H
Standard Liege
OH Leuven
0
0
D
10.02.24
H2H
Standard Liege
OH Leuven
1
0
W
19.07.23
H2H
Standard Liege
OH Leuven
0
0
D
21.08.22
H2H
Standard Liege
OH Leuven
1
3
L
Last matches: OH Leuven
19.05.26
Jup
OH Leuven
Charleroi
1
1
D
02.05.26
Jup
OH Leuven
KVC Westerlo
3
3
D
18.04.26
Jup
OH Leuven
Antwerp
0
2
L
12.04.26
Jup
OH Leuven
Genk
0
0
D
14.03.26
Jup
OH Leuven
Charleroi
2
0
W
28.02.26
Jup
OH Leuven
Anderlecht
1
5
L
21.02.26
Jup
OH Leuven
Club Brugge KV
1
2
L
07.02.26
Jup
OH Leuven
Gent
3
1
W
18.01.26
Jup
OH Leuven
St. Truiden
0
1
L
08.01.26
Fri
OH Leuven
Preußen Münster
1
2
L
27.12.25
Jup
OH Leuven
RAAL La Louvière
0
0
D
12.12.25
Jup
OH Leuven
Standard Liege
1
0
W
30.11.25
Jup
OH Leuven
Genk
1
2
L
08.11.25
Jup
OH Leuven
Cercle Brugge
2
1
W
25.10.25
Jup
OH Leuven
KV Mechelen
1
1
D
05.10.25
Jup
OH Leuven
KVC Westerlo
0
2
L
13.09.25
Jup
OH Leuven
Zulte Waregem
0
2
L
24.08.25
Jup
OH Leuven
Dender
1
0
W
10.08.25
Jup
OH Leuven
Antwerp
1
3
L
03.08.25
Jup
OH Leuven
Union St. Gilloise
0
5
L
H2H away: OH Leuven
08.05.26
H2H
Standard Liege
OH Leuven
2
1
L
12.12.25
H2H
Standard Liege
OH Leuven
0
1
W
22.04.25
H2H
Standard Liege
OH Leuven
0
1
W
07.12.24
H2H
Standard Liege
OH Leuven
1
1
D
06.04.24
H2H
Standard Liege
OH Leuven
0
0
D
10.02.24
H2H
Standard Liege
OH Leuven
1
0
L
19.07.23
H2H
Standard Liege
OH Leuven
0
0
D
21.08.22
H2H
Standard Liege
OH Leuven
1
3
W

Standings

Pro League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 19 9 2 50:17 33 66
W D L W L
2 30 20 3 7 59:36 23 63
W D W W W
3 30 18 3 9 47:35 12 57
W L D L W
4 30 13 6 11 49:43 6 45
W L D D D
5 30 12 9 9 39:37 2 45
L D D L W
6 30 12 8 10 43:39 4 44
L W D D L
7 30 11 9 10 46:47 -1 42
L W D D W
8 30 11 7 12 27:35 -8 40
L W D W W
9 30 10 9 11 36:40 -4 39
L L W L D
10 30 9 8 13 31:32 -1 35
W D L L L
11 30 9 7 14 38:42 -4 34
W D L W W
12 30 9 7 14 32:43 -11 34
L D W L D
13 30 8 8 14 38:47 -9 32
W W W W W
14 30 7 10 13 39:47 -8 31
L L W W W
15 30 6 13 11 30:37 -7 31
W L L L L
16 30 3 10 17 24:51 -27 19
D L L W L
Championship round
Qualifying round
Relegation Round