BELGIUM JUPILER PRO LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
Maurice Dufrasnestadion
Referee: N. Laforge
Standard Liege
Match Timeline
Genk
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
34'
N. Adedeji-Sternberg ↔ A. Yokoyama
Genk
🟨
45+2'
Zakaria El Ouahdi
Genk
🔄
46'
I. Bangoura ↔ N. Sattlberger
Genk
🔄
63'
M. Ilaimaharitra ↔ T. Teuma
Standard Liege
🔄
63'
M. Fossey ↔ T. Mohr
Standard Liege
🟨
73'
Dennis Eckert Ayensa
Standard Liege
🟨
73'
Josue Ndenge Kongolo
Genk
🔄
73'
D. Eckert Ayensa ↔ T. Nkada
Standard Liege
🔄
80'
R. Mirisola ↔ J. Erabi
Genk
🔄
88'
J. Ito ↔ K. Nkuba
Genk

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 76.3%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 86.7%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 75.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
76.3%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
86.7%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
75.9%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Standard Liege Win 30.5%
Draw 23.7%
Genk Win 45.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Standard Liege1.25
Genk1.41
Recent Form (Last 5)
Standard Liege Standard Liege
WWDLW
42 GF / 43 GA
Genk Genk
WLDWL
80 GF / 72 GA
Key Stats
1.14
Average Goals Scored
1.57
1.16
Average Goals Conceded
1.41
16
BTTS Yes
34
17
Over 2.5
30
3.35
Shots on Goal
5.59

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Standard Liege Standard Liege 37 matches
Genk Genk 51 matches
Standard Liege Statistic Genk
15 Wins 22
8 Draws 14
14 Losses 15
42 Goals For 80
43 Goals Against 72
1.14 Avg Goals Scored 1.57
1.16 Avg Goals Conceded 1.41
16 BTTS Yes 34
27 Over 1.5 41
17 Over 2.5 30
5 Over 3.5 11
11 Clean Sheets 10
12 Failed To Score 9
3.35 Shots On Goal 5.59
9.86 Total Shots 15.25
4.05 Corners 5.33
44.4% Ball Possession 56.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and Genk's more proactive style and Standard Liege's more cautious structure points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Standard Liege expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and Genk in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Genk having the stronger overall control. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Genk.

Standard Liege Analysis

Standard Liege approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 2 on 33 points after 37 outings. The return of 15 wins, 8 draws, and 14 defeats, together with goals at 42:43, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through R. Said (7 goals), C. Nielsen (5 goals), D. Eckert Ayensa (5 goals), with creative support from A. Abid (5 assists), R. Said (4 assists), C. Nielsen (2 assists), while their defending has remained quite vulnerable. At home, they have managed 5 wins, 6 draws, and 7 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Genk Analysis

Genk arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 1 place with 33 points after 37 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 14 wins, 12 draws, and 11 losses, while the 55:53 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on D. Heymans (10 goals), Z. El Ouahdi (8 goals), A. Bibout (6 goals), with creative support from K. Karetsas (10 assists), J. Steuckers (6 assists), J. Ito (5 assists), and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, their split return of 7 wins, 5 draws, and 6 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Standard Liege won 4 times, Genk won 6 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:17 from Standard Liege's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.2 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (76.3%)
Predicted formations: Standard Liege 3-4-2-1 / Genk 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Standard Liege wins 4, draws 5, Genk wins 6
Stats
Standard Liege Standard Liege
Genk Genk
Shots on Goal
4
Shots on Goal
5
Shots off Goal
2
Shots off Goal
10
Blocked Shots
4
Blocked Shots
7
5 Corner Kicks 4
4 Fouls 15
2 Offsides 1
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 22
4 Shots on Goal 5
2 Shots off Goal 10
4 Blocked Shots 7
8 Shots insidebox 13
2 Shots outsidebox 9
4 Goalkeeper Saves 4
462 Total passes 484
374 Passes accurate 407
0.53 expected_goals 1.58
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Standard Liege
Formation
Genk
M. Epolo
M. Epolo
I. Hautekiet
I. Hautekiet
D. Bates
D. Bates
H. Lawrence
H. Lawrence
M. Fossey
M. Fossey
I. Karamoko
I. Karamoko
M. Ilaimaharitra
M. Ilaimaharitra
G. Mortensen
G. Mortensen
A. Abid
A. Abid
R. Said
R. Said
D. Eckert Ayensa
D. Eckert Ayensa
L. Brughmans
L. Brughmans
Z. El Ouahdi
Z. El Ouahdi
M. Smets
M. Smets
J. Kongolo
J. Kongolo
J. Kayembe
J. Kayembe
J. Ito
J. Ito
B. Heynen
B. Heynen
I. Bangoura
I. Bangoura
N. Adedeji-Sternberg
N. Adedeji-Sternberg
R. Mirisola
R. Mirisola
A. Bibout
A. Bibout
Standard Liege 3-4-2-1
Starting XI
1
M. Epolo
G
25
I. Hautekiet
D
4
D. Bates
D
18
H. Lawrence
D
13
M. Fossey
↓ 63'
M
20
I. Karamoko
M
23
M. Ilaimaharitra
↓ 63'
M
3
G. Mortensen
M
11
A. Abid
F
17
R. Said
F
10
D. Eckert Ayensa
↓ 73' 🟨 73'
F
Substitutes
21
L. Pirard
G
8
N. Mehssatou Sepulveda
D
29
D. Dierckx
D
26
B. Nguene
F
80
T. Teuma
↑ 63'
M
7
T. Mohr
↑ 63'
M
59
T. Nkada
↑ 73'
F
53
S. Assengue
M
39
R. M. Alberto J.
Genk 4-4-2
Starting XI
28
L. Brughmans
G
77
Z. El Ouahdi
🟨 45+2'
D
6
M. Smets
D
44
J. Kongolo
🟨 73'
D
18
J. Kayembe
D
10
J. Ito
↓ 88'
M
8
B. Heynen
M
21
I. Bangoura
↓ 46'
M
32
N. Adedeji-Sternberg
↓ 34'
M
29
R. Mirisola
↓ 80'
F
23
A. Bibout
F
Substitutes
26
T. Lawal
G
27
K. Nkuba
↑ 88'
D
24
N. Sattlberger
↑ 46'
M
56
A. De Wannemacker
M
3
M. Sadick
D
99
J. Erabi
↑ 80'
F
7
J. Steuckers
F
30
A. Yokoyama
↑ 34'
F
34
A. Palacios
D
Last matches: Standard Liege
23.05.26
Jup
Standard Liege
Charleroi
0
2
L
19.05.26
Jup
Standard Liege
KVC Westerlo
2
1
W
08.05.26
Jup
Standard Liege
OH Leuven
2
1
W
03.05.26
Jup
Standard Liege
Antwerp
5
0
W
25.04.26
Jup
Standard Liege
Genk
1
1
D
21.04.26
Jup
Standard Liege
Antwerp
1
2
L
18.04.26
Jup
Standard Liege
Charleroi
2
1
W
11.04.26
Jup
Standard Liege
KVC Westerlo
1
2
L
04.04.26
Jup
Standard Liege
OH Leuven
3
1
W
22.03.26
Jup
Standard Liege
KVC Westerlo
0
0
D
15.03.26
Jup
Standard Liege
Antwerp
1
1
D
08.03.26
Jup
Standard Liege
Zulte Waregem
1
0
W
27.02.26
Jup
Standard Liege
RAAL La Louvière
1
1
D
22.02.26
Jup
Standard Liege
Genk
3
0
W
14.02.26
Jup
Standard Liege
Union St. Gilloise
1
1
D
08.02.26
Jup
Standard Liege
Club Brugge KV
0
3
L
01.02.26
Jup
Standard Liege
Anderlecht
2
0
W
23.01.26
Jup
Standard Liege
Gent
0
4
L
18.01.26
Jup
Standard Liege
Charleroi
0
2
L
09.01.26
Fri
Standard Liege
Hertha BSC
3
2
W
Last matches: Genk
31.05.26
Jup
Genk
Gent
0
0
D
23.05.26
Jup
Genk
OH Leuven
2
0
W
19.05.26
Jup
Genk
Antwerp
0
0
D
10.05.26
Jup
Genk
KVC Westerlo
3
0
W
02.05.26
Jup
Genk
Charleroi
0
2
L
25.04.26
Jup
Genk
Standard Liege
1
1
D
21.04.26
Jup
Genk
Charleroi
1
1
D
18.04.26
Jup
Genk
KVC Westerlo
2
1
W
12.04.26
Jup
Genk
OH Leuven
0
0
D
03.04.26
Jup
Genk
Antwerp
2
1
W
22.03.26
Jup
Genk
RAAL La Louvière
5
5
D
19.03.26
UEF
Genk
SC Freiburg
1
5
L
15.03.26
Jup
Genk
St. Truiden
1
0
W
12.03.26
UEF
Genk
SC Freiburg
1
0
W
07.03.26
Jup
Genk
Union St. Gilloise
1
2
L
01.03.26
Jup
Genk
Gent
3
0
W
26.02.26
UEF
Genk
Dinamo Zagreb
3
3
D
22.02.26
Jup
Genk
Standard Liege
0
3
L
19.02.26
UEF
Genk
Dinamo Zagreb
3
1
W
13.02.26
Jup
Genk
KV Mechelen
3
2
W
H2H: Standard Liege vs Genk
16.05.26
H2H
Standard Liege
Genk
0
0
D
25.04.26
H2H
Genk
Standard Liege
1
1
D
22.02.26
H2H
Genk
Standard Liege
0
3
W
10.08.25
H2H
Standard Liege
Genk
2
1
W
14.02.25
H2H
Standard Liege
Genk
1
2
L
04.12.24
H2H
Genk
Standard Liege
2
1
L
28.07.24
H2H
Genk
Standard Liege
0
0
D
10.03.24
H2H
Genk
Standard Liege
1
0
L
25.11.23
H2H
Standard Liege
Genk
1
0
W
09.04.23
H2H
Standard Liege
Genk
2
0
W
31.07.22
H2H
Genk
Standard Liege
3
1
L
13.02.22
H2H
Genk
Standard Liege
2
0
L
23.07.21
H2H
Standard Liege
Genk
1
1
D
25.04.21
H2H
Standard Liege
Genk
1
2
L
19.03.21
H2H
Genk
Standard Liege
2
2
D
Last matches: Standard Liege
23.05.26
Jup
Standard Liege
Charleroi
0
2
L
08.05.26
Jup
Standard Liege
OH Leuven
2
1
W
21.04.26
Jup
Standard Liege
Antwerp
1
2
L
11.04.26
Jup
Standard Liege
KVC Westerlo
1
2
L
22.03.26
Jup
Standard Liege
KVC Westerlo
0
0
D
27.02.26
Jup
Standard Liege
RAAL La Louvière
1
1
D
14.02.26
Jup
Standard Liege
Union St. Gilloise
1
1
D
01.02.26
Jup
Standard Liege
Anderlecht
2
0
W
23.01.26
Jup
Standard Liege
Gent
0
4
L
26.12.25
Jup
Standard Liege
St. Truiden
1
2
L
12.12.25
Jup
Standard Liege
OH Leuven
0
1
L
21.11.25
Jup
Standard Liege
Zulte Waregem
0
0
D
31.10.25
Jup
Standard Liege
Charleroi
3
1
W
20.10.25
Jup
Standard Liege
Antwerp
1
0
W
27.09.25
Jup
Standard Liege
Club Brugge KV
1
2
L
12.09.25
Jup
Standard Liege
KV Mechelen
1
1
D
23.08.25
Jup
Standard Liege
Cercle Brugge
0
3
L
10.08.25
Jup
Standard Liege
Genk
2
1
W
02.08.25
Jup
Standard Liege
Dender
1
1
D
H2H at home: Standard Liege
16.05.26
H2H
Standard Liege
Genk
0
0
D
10.08.25
H2H
Standard Liege
Genk
2
1
W
14.02.25
H2H
Standard Liege
Genk
1
2
L
25.11.23
H2H
Standard Liege
Genk
1
0
W
09.04.23
H2H
Standard Liege
Genk
2
0
W
23.07.21
H2H
Standard Liege
Genk
1
1
D
25.04.21
H2H
Standard Liege
Genk
1
2
L
Last matches: Genk
31.05.26
Jup
Genk
Gent
0
0
D
23.05.26
Jup
Genk
OH Leuven
2
0
W
02.05.26
Jup
Genk
Charleroi
0
2
L
18.04.26
Jup
Genk
KVC Westerlo
2
1
W
03.04.26
Jup
Genk
Antwerp
2
1
W
22.03.26
Jup
Genk
RAAL La Louvière
5
5
D
19.03.26
UEF
Genk
SC Freiburg
1
5
L
07.03.26
Jup
Genk
Union St. Gilloise
1
2
L
19.02.26
UEF
Genk
Dinamo Zagreb
3
1
W
13.02.26
Jup
Genk
KV Mechelen
3
2
W
01.02.26
Jup
Genk
Dender
2
1
W
22.01.26
UEF
Genk
Utrecht
2
0
W
17.01.26
Jup
Genk
Zulte Waregem
1
2
L
09.01.26
Fri
Genk
Puskas Academy
1
0
W
19.12.25
Jup
Genk
Charleroi
2
2
D
11.12.25
UEF
Genk
FC Midtjylland
0
1
L
07.12.25
Jup
Genk
Antwerp
0
3
L
09.11.25
Jup
Genk
Gent
1
1
D
06.11.25
UEF
Genk
SC Braga
4
3
W
02.11.25
Jup
Genk
KVC Westerlo
1
0
W
H2H away: Genk
16.05.26
H2H
Standard Liege
Genk
0
0
D
10.08.25
H2H
Standard Liege
Genk
2
1
L
14.02.25
H2H
Standard Liege
Genk
1
2
W
25.11.23
H2H
Standard Liege
Genk
1
0
L
09.04.23
H2H
Standard Liege
Genk
2
0
L
23.07.21
H2H
Standard Liege
Genk
1
1
D
25.04.21
H2H
Standard Liege
Genk
1
2
W

Standings

Pro League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 19 9 2 50:17 33 66
W D L W L
2 30 20 3 7 59:36 23 63
W D W W W
3 30 18 3 9 47:35 12 57
W L D L W
4 30 13 6 11 49:43 6 45
W L D D D
5 30 12 9 9 39:37 2 45
L D D L W
6 30 12 8 10 43:39 4 44
L W D D L
7
Genk Away
30 11 9 10 46:47 -1 42
L W D D W
8 30 11 7 12 27:35 -8 40
L W D W W
9 30 10 9 11 36:40 -4 39
L L W L D
10 30 9 8 13 31:32 -1 35
W D L L L
11 30 9 7 14 38:42 -4 34
W D L W W
12 30 9 7 14 32:43 -11 34
L D W L D
13 30 8 8 14 38:47 -9 32
W W W W W
14 30 7 10 13 39:47 -8 31
L L W W W
15 30 6 13 11 30:37 -7 31
W L L L L
16 30 3 10 17 24:51 -27 19
D L L W L
Championship round
Qualifying round
Relegation Round