BELGIUM JUPILER PRO LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
Maurice Dufrasnestadion
Referee: J. Boterberg
Standard Liege
Match Timeline
Charleroi
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
23'
Marco Ilaimaharitra
Standard Liege
🟨
40'
Kevin Van Den Kerkhof
Charleroi
🟨
50'
Mardochee Nzita
Charleroi
🔄
67'
H. Lawrence ↔ C. Nielsen
Standard Liege
🔄
67'
M. Ilaimaharitra ↔ D. Eckert Ayensa
Standard Liege
🔄
67'
A. Abid ↔ T. Teuma
Standard Liege
🔄
68'
L. Blum ↔ J. Romsaas
Charleroi
🔄
68'
P. Pflucke ↔ P. Guiagon
Charleroi
75'
J. Romsaas · Assist: Y. Titraoui
Charleroi
🟨
76'
Etienne Camara
Charleroi
🔄
79'
T. Nkada ↔ B. Nguene
Standard Liege
🔄
79'
M. Fossey ↔ T. Mohr
Standard Liege
🔄
81'
Y. Titraoui ↔ Y. Khalifi
Charleroi
🟨
83'
Aiham Ousou
Charleroi
86'
A. Bernier · Assist: A. Scheidler
Charleroi
🟨
89'
Teddy Teuma
Standard Liege
🟨
89'
Mardochee Nzita
Charleroi
🟥
89'
Mardochee Nzita
Charleroi
🟨
90+4'
Ibrahim Karamoko
Standard Liege
🔄
90'
A. Bernier ↔ A. Colassin
Charleroi
🔄
90'
E. Camara ↔ A. Boukamir
Charleroi

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 79.1%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 45.3%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 51.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
79.1%
-
BTTS BTTS No
45.3%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
51.3%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Standard Liege Win 38.4%
Draw 20.9%
Charleroi Win 40.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Standard Liege1.19
Charleroi1.17
Recent Form (Last 5)
Standard Liege Standard Liege
WWDLW
44 GF / 44 GA
Charleroi Charleroi
WLDWL
49 GF / 52 GA
Key Stats
1.13
Average Goals Scored
1.2
1.13
Average Goals Conceded
1.27
17
BTTS Yes
22
18
Over 2.5
17
3.44
Shots on Goal
4.15

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Standard Liege Standard Liege 39 matches
Charleroi Charleroi 41 matches
Standard Liege Statistic Charleroi
16 Wins 13
9 Draws 10
14 Losses 18
44 Goals For 49
44 Goals Against 52
1.13 Avg Goals Scored 1.2
1.13 Avg Goals Conceded 1.27
17 BTTS Yes 22
28 Over 1.5 31
18 Over 2.5 17
5 Over 3.5 9
12 Clean Sheets 11
13 Failed To Score 10
3.44 Shots On Goal 4.15
9.92 Total Shots 12.37
4 Corners 5.37
44.4% Ball Possession 47.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Charleroi. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Standard Liege expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and Charleroi in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Charleroi having the stronger overall control. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.

Standard Liege Analysis

Standard Liege come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 1 place with 37 points after 39 matches. With 16 wins, 9 draws, and 14 defeats plus a goal balance of 44:44, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by R. Said (8 goals), C. Nielsen (5 goals), D. Eckert Ayensa (5 goals), with creative support from A. Abid (5 assists), R. Said (4 assists), C. Nielsen (2 assists), and at the back they have appeared quite vulnerable. At home, they have managed 5 wins, 7 draws, and 7 losses, which underlines a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Charleroi Analysis

Operating from 4 place with 31 points from 39 games, Charleroi bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. With 13 wins, 9 draws, and 17 defeats plus a goal balance of 48:50, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by P. Guiagon (9 goals), A. Bernier (6 goals), Y. Titraoui (5 goals), with creative support from P. Guiagon (5 assists), K. Van Den Kerkhof (4 assists), Etienne Camara (3 assists), and at the back they have appeared quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have managed 7 wins, 3 draws, and 9 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In stylistic terms they continue to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Standard Liege won 6 times, Charleroi won 5 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:17 from Standard Liege's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.2 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (79.1%)
Predicted formations: Standard Liege 3-4-2-1 / Charleroi 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Standard Liege wins 6, draws 4, Charleroi wins 5
Stats
Standard Liege Standard Liege
Charleroi Charleroi
Shots on Goal
3
Shots on Goal
5
Shots off Goal
4
Shots off Goal
4
Blocked Shots
0
Blocked Shots
4
6 Corner Kicks 9
10 Fouls 12
2 Offsides 2
43% Ball Possession 57%
7 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Goal 5
4 Shots off Goal 4
0 Blocked Shots 4
4 Shots insidebox 10
3 Shots outsidebox 3
3 Goalkeeper Saves 4
311 Total passes 405
235 Passes accurate 338
0.58 expected_goals 1.91
🟨 3 Yellow Cards 5 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 1 🟥

Lineups

Standard Liege
Formation
Charleroi
M. Epolo
M. Epolo
M. Fossey
M. Fossey
I. Hautekiet
I. Hautekiet
D. Bates
D. Bates
H. Lawrence
H. Lawrence
G. Mortensen
G. Mortensen
A. Abid
A. Abid
I. Karamoko
I. Karamoko
M. Ilaimaharitra
M. Ilaimaharitra
R. Said
R. Said
T. Nkada
T. Nkada
M. Kone
M. Kone
L. Blum
L. Blum
A. Ousou
A. Ousou
C. Keita
C. Keita
M. Nzita
M. Nzita
Y. Titraoui
🎯
Y. Titraoui
E. Camara
E. Camara
K. Van Den Kerkhof
K. Van Den Kerkhof
P. Pflucke
P. Pflucke
A. Bernier
A. Bernier
A. Scheidler
🎯
A. Scheidler
Standard Liege 5-4-1
Starting XI
1
M. Epolo
G
13
M. Fossey
↓ 79'
D
25
I. Hautekiet
D
4
D. Bates
D
18
H. Lawrence
↓ 67'
D
3
G. Mortensen
D
11
A. Abid
↓ 67'
M
20
I. Karamoko
🟨 90+4'
M
23
M. Ilaimaharitra
↓ 67' 🟨 23'
M
17
R. Said
M
59
T. Nkada
↓ 79'
F
Substitutes
21
L. Pirard
G
94
C. Nielsen
↑ 67'
M
10
D. Eckert Ayensa
↑ 67'
F
8
N. Mehssatou Sepulveda
D
29
D. Dierckx
D
19
R. Mitongo
F
26
B. Nguene
↑ 79'
F
80
T. Teuma
↑ 67' 🟨 89'
M
7
T. Mohr
↑ 79'
M
Charleroi 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
30
M. Kone
G
27
L. Blum
↓ 68'
D
4
A. Ousou
🟨 83'
D
95
C. Keita
D
24
M. Nzita
🟨 50' 🟨 89' 🟥 89'
D
22
Y. Titraoui
🎯 75' ↓ 81'
M
5
E. Camara
↓ 90' 🟨 76'
M
3
K. Van Den Kerkhof
🟨 40'
M
14
P. Pflucke
↓ 68'
M
17
A. Bernier
⚽ 86' ↓ 90'
M
21
A. Scheidler
🎯 86'
F
Substitutes
55
M. Delavallee
25
A. Colassin
↑ 90'
F
8
J. Romsaas
⚽ 75' ↑ 68'
M
40
Y. Khalifi
↑ 81'
M
10
P. Guiagon
↑ 68'
F
23
J. Gaudin
D
32
M. Boukamir
D
56
A. Boukamir
↑ 90'
M
45
Y. Cisse
M
Last matches: Standard Liege
19.05.26
Jup
Standard Liege
KVC Westerlo
2
1
W
16.05.26
Jup
Standard Liege
Genk
0
0
D
08.05.26
Jup
Standard Liege
OH Leuven
2
1
W
03.05.26
Jup
Standard Liege
Antwerp
5
0
W
25.04.26
Jup
Standard Liege
Genk
1
1
D
21.04.26
Jup
Standard Liege
Antwerp
1
2
L
18.04.26
Jup
Standard Liege
Charleroi
2
1
W
11.04.26
Jup
Standard Liege
KVC Westerlo
1
2
L
04.04.26
Jup
Standard Liege
OH Leuven
3
1
W
22.03.26
Jup
Standard Liege
KVC Westerlo
0
0
D
15.03.26
Jup
Standard Liege
Antwerp
1
1
D
08.03.26
Jup
Standard Liege
Zulte Waregem
1
0
W
27.02.26
Jup
Standard Liege
RAAL La Louvière
1
1
D
22.02.26
Jup
Standard Liege
Genk
3
0
W
14.02.26
Jup
Standard Liege
Union St. Gilloise
1
1
D
08.02.26
Jup
Standard Liege
Club Brugge KV
0
3
L
01.02.26
Jup
Standard Liege
Anderlecht
2
0
W
23.01.26
Jup
Standard Liege
Gent
0
4
L
18.01.26
Jup
Standard Liege
Charleroi
0
2
L
09.01.26
Fri
Standard Liege
Hertha BSC
3
2
W
Last matches: Charleroi
19.05.26
Jup
Charleroi
OH Leuven
1
1
D
16.05.26
Jup
Charleroi
KVC Westerlo
0
1
L
10.05.26
Jup
Charleroi
Antwerp
1
0
W
02.05.26
Jup
Charleroi
Genk
2
0
W
25.04.26
Jup
Charleroi
OH Leuven
2
0
W
21.04.26
Jup
Charleroi
Genk
1
1
D
18.04.26
Jup
Charleroi
Standard Liege
1
2
L
10.04.26
Jup
Charleroi
Antwerp
2
1
W
05.04.26
Jup
Charleroi
KVC Westerlo
0
2
L
22.03.26
Jup
Charleroi
Zulte Waregem
0
1
L
14.03.26
Jup
Charleroi
OH Leuven
0
2
L
07.03.26
Jup
Charleroi
Dender
2
2
D
01.03.26
Jup
Charleroi
Club Brugge KV
1
2
L
22.02.26
Jup
Charleroi
KVC Westerlo
1
2
L
14.02.26
Jup
Charleroi
Gent
2
3
L
07.02.26
Jup
Charleroi
Cercle Brugge
3
4
L
31.01.26
Jup
Charleroi
St. Truiden
2
0
W
25.01.26
Jup
Charleroi
Antwerp
2
0
W
18.01.26
Jup
Charleroi
Standard Liege
2
0
W
08.01.26
Fri
Charleroi
SC Paderborn 07
2
3
L
H2H: Standard Liege vs Charleroi
23.05.26
H2H
Standard Liege
Charleroi
0
2
L
18.04.26
H2H
Charleroi
Standard Liege
1
2
W
18.01.26
H2H
Charleroi
Standard Liege
2
0
L
31.10.25
H2H
Standard Liege
Charleroi
3
1
W
04.05.25
H2H
Standard Liege
Charleroi
0
1
L
06.04.25
H2H
Charleroi
Standard Liege
1
0
L
30.11.24
H2H
Charleroi
Standard Liege
1
1
D
20.10.24
H2H
Standard Liege
Charleroi
2
1
W
16.12.23
H2H
Standard Liege
Charleroi
0
0
D
13.08.23
H2H
Charleroi
Standard Liege
1
1
D
14.04.23
H2H
Standard Liege
Charleroi
3
1
W
09.10.22
H2H
Charleroi
Standard Liege
0
1
W
06.03.22
H2H
Charleroi
Standard Liege
0
0
D
05.12.21
H2H
Standard Liege
Charleroi
0
3
L
24.01.21
H2H
Standard Liege
Charleroi
3
2
W
Last matches: Standard Liege
16.05.26
Jup
Standard Liege
Genk
0
0
D
08.05.26
Jup
Standard Liege
OH Leuven
2
1
W
21.04.26
Jup
Standard Liege
Antwerp
1
2
L
11.04.26
Jup
Standard Liege
KVC Westerlo
1
2
L
22.03.26
Jup
Standard Liege
KVC Westerlo
0
0
D
27.02.26
Jup
Standard Liege
RAAL La Louvière
1
1
D
14.02.26
Jup
Standard Liege
Union St. Gilloise
1
1
D
01.02.26
Jup
Standard Liege
Anderlecht
2
0
W
23.01.26
Jup
Standard Liege
Gent
0
4
L
26.12.25
Jup
Standard Liege
St. Truiden
1
2
L
12.12.25
Jup
Standard Liege
OH Leuven
0
1
L
21.11.25
Jup
Standard Liege
Zulte Waregem
0
0
D
31.10.25
Jup
Standard Liege
Charleroi
3
1
W
20.10.25
Jup
Standard Liege
Antwerp
1
0
W
27.09.25
Jup
Standard Liege
Club Brugge KV
1
2
L
12.09.25
Jup
Standard Liege
KV Mechelen
1
1
D
23.08.25
Jup
Standard Liege
Cercle Brugge
0
3
L
10.08.25
Jup
Standard Liege
Genk
2
1
W
02.08.25
Jup
Standard Liege
Dender
1
1
D
H2H at home: Standard Liege
23.05.26
H2H
Standard Liege
Charleroi
0
2
L
31.10.25
H2H
Standard Liege
Charleroi
3
1
W
04.05.25
H2H
Standard Liege
Charleroi
0
1
L
20.10.24
H2H
Standard Liege
Charleroi
2
1
W
16.12.23
H2H
Standard Liege
Charleroi
0
0
D
14.04.23
H2H
Standard Liege
Charleroi
3
1
W
05.12.21
H2H
Standard Liege
Charleroi
0
3
L
24.01.21
H2H
Standard Liege
Charleroi
3
2
W
Last matches: Charleroi
10.05.26
Jup
Charleroi
Antwerp
1
0
W
25.04.26
Jup
Charleroi
OH Leuven
2
0
W
21.04.26
Jup
Charleroi
Genk
1
1
D
05.04.26
Jup
Charleroi
KVC Westerlo
0
2
L
22.03.26
Jup
Charleroi
Zulte Waregem
0
1
L
07.03.26
Jup
Charleroi
Dender
2
2
D
22.02.26
Jup
Charleroi
KVC Westerlo
1
2
L
31.01.26
Jup
Charleroi
St. Truiden
2
0
W
25.01.26
Jup
Charleroi
Antwerp
2
0
W
08.01.26
Fri
Charleroi
SC Paderborn 07
2
3
L
26.12.25
Jup
Charleroi
Anderlecht
2
1
W
07.12.25
Jup
Charleroi
KV Mechelen
0
1
L
22.11.25
Jup
Charleroi
Club Brugge KV
0
1
L
31.10.25
Jup
Charleroi
Standard Liege
1
3
L
18.10.25
Jup
Charleroi
Union St. Gilloise
1
3
L
03.10.25
Jup
Charleroi
Gent
1
2
L
17.09.25
Jup
Charleroi
Genk
1
0
W
14.09.25
Jup
Charleroi
Cercle Brugge
3
2
W
10.08.25
Jup
Charleroi
RAAL La Louvière
0
1
L
27.07.25
Jup
Charleroi
OH Leuven
2
2
D
H2H away: Charleroi
23.05.26
H2H
Standard Liege
Charleroi
0
2
W
31.10.25
H2H
Standard Liege
Charleroi
3
1
L
04.05.25
H2H
Standard Liege
Charleroi
0
1
W
20.10.24
H2H
Standard Liege
Charleroi
2
1
L
16.12.23
H2H
Standard Liege
Charleroi
0
0
D
14.04.23
H2H
Standard Liege
Charleroi
3
1
L
05.12.21
H2H
Standard Liege
Charleroi
0
3
W
24.01.21
H2H
Standard Liege
Charleroi
3
2
L

Standings

Pro League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 19 9 2 50:17 33 66
W D L W L
2 30 20 3 7 59:36 23 63
W D W W W
3 30 18 3 9 47:35 12 57
W L D L W
4 30 13 6 11 49:43 6 45
W L D D D
5 30 12 9 9 39:37 2 45
L D D L W
6 30 12 8 10 43:39 4 44
L W D D L
7 30 11 9 10 46:47 -1 42
L W D D W
8 30 11 7 12 27:35 -8 40
L W D W W
9 30 10 9 11 36:40 -4 39
L L W L D
10 30 9 8 13 31:32 -1 35
W D L L L
11 30 9 7 14 38:42 -4 34
W D L W W
12 30 9 7 14 32:43 -11 34
L D W L D
13 30 8 8 14 38:47 -9 32
W W W W W
14 30 7 10 13 39:47 -8 31
L L W W W
15 30 6 13 11 30:37 -7 31
W L L L L
16 30 3 10 17 24:51 -27 19
D L L W L
Championship round
Qualifying round
Relegation Round