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FRANCE › LIGUE 1
29.08.2026 18:45
Stade Francis-Le-Blé
Referee: Jérôme Brisard, France
Stade Brestois 29
Match Timeline
Toulouse
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
9'
J. Russell-Rowe · Assist: Y. Gboho
Toulouse
⚽
18'
K. Doumbia · Assist: M. Diambou
Stade Brestois 29
🟨
31'
Bradley Locko
Stade Brestois 29
🟨
44'
Pathé Mboup
Stade Brestois 29
🟨
45+3'
Cristian Cásseres Jr.
Toulouse
🔄
46'
I. Diallo ↔ R. Messali
Toulouse
🔄
60'
A. Vossah ↔ N. Schmidt
Toulouse
⚽
62'
C. Tape · Assist: C. Casseres
Toulouse
🔄
67'
R. Del Castillo ↔ M. Balde
Stade Brestois 29
🔄
67'
J. Vignolo ↔ S. Oppong
Toulouse
🔄
75'
M. Diambou ↔ H. Magnetti
Stade Brestois 29
🔄
75'
K. Doumbia ↔ J. Nonge
Stade Brestois 29
🔄
78'
T. Jorgensen ↔ S. Koumbassa
Toulouse
🔄
78'
J. Russell-Rowe ↔ S. Hidalgo
Toulouse
🔄
83'
G. Lloris ↔ L. Tousart
Stade Brestois 29
🔄
83'
P. Mboup ↔ L. C. Laine M.
Stade Brestois 29
🟨
89'
Niklas Schmidt
Toulouse
🟨
90+4'
Rasmus Nicolaisen
Toulouse
⚽
90'
L. Ajorque · Assist: H. Magnetti
Stade Brestois 29

Stade Brestois 29 vs Toulouse Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 68.1%
Odds 1.44
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds 1.75
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds 2.00
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
68.1%
1.44 ▥
BTTS Yes
86%
1.75 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
2.00 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.27 ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
6.00 ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
10.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Stade Brestois 29 Win 31.9%
Draw 21%
Toulouse Win 47%
Expected Goals (xG)
Stade Brestois 291.54
Toulouse1.4
Recent Form (Last 5)
Stade Brestois 29 Stade Brestois 29
WWDLW
11 GF / 14 GA
Toulouse Toulouse
WLDWL
4 GF / 6 GA
Key Stats
1.57
Average Goals Scored
1
2
Average Goals Conceded
1.5
5
BTTS Yes
3
5
Over 2.5
2
7
Shots on Goal
2

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Stade Brestois 29 Stade Brestois 29 7 matches
Toulouse Toulouse 4 matches
Stade Brestois 29 Statistic Toulouse
1 Wins 1
4 Draws 1
2 Losses 2
11 Goals For 4
14 Goals Against 6
1.57 Avg Goals Scored 1
2 Avg Goals Conceded 1.5
5 BTTS Yes 3
7 Over 1.5 4
5 Over 2.5 2
4 Over 3.5 0
0 Clean Sheets 0
2 Failed To Score 1
7 Shots On Goal 2
26 Total Shots 17
10 Corners 6
50% Ball Possession 48%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Stade Brestois 29 won 5 times, Toulouse won 5 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 21:18 from Stade Brestois 29's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.6 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (79%)
Predicted formations: Stade Brestois 29 4-2-3-1 / Toulouse 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Stade Brestois 29 2, Toulouse 2
H2H summary: Stade Brestois 29 wins 5, draws 5, Toulouse wins 5

Standings

Ligue 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 6 4 2 0 10:5 5 14
D W D W W
2 6 4 1 1 9:4 5 13
W L W W D
3 6 3 2 1 11:4 7 11
L W D W D
4 6 3 2 1 8:4 4 11
L W D W W
5 6 3 2 1 11:8 3 11
W W W L D
6 5 3 1 1 8:9 -1 10
L W W W D
7 6 2 2 2 12:9 3 8
W L L W D
8 6 2 2 2 6:6 0 8
W L D W L
9 6 2 1 3 11:10 1 7
W L D L L
10 5 2 1 2 10:10 0 7
L D W W L
11 6 2 1 3 7:10 -3 7
L W D L W
12 6 1 3 2 10:12 -2 6
L W D D L
13 6 1 3 2 9:11 -2 6
D W D L D
14 5 2 0 3 7:12 -5 6
W W L L L
15 5 1 2 2 3:6 -3 5
W L D L D
16 5 1 1 3 4:11 -7 4
L L L W D
17 5 1 0 4 7:8 -1 3
L L L L W
18 6 0 2 4 4:8 -4 2
L L D L D
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Qualifying
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Play-offs
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Relegation