Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
58.4%
|
1.25 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
71.2%
|
2.20 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
58.6%
|
1.68 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
1.98 | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
1.80 | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
9.50 |
St Patrick's Athl.
Sligo Rovers
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
St Patrick's Athl.
22 matches
Sligo Rovers
26 matches
| St Patrick's Athl. | Statistic | Sligo Rovers |
|---|---|---|
| 11 | Wins | 9 |
| 6 | Draws | 4 |
| 5 | Losses | 13 |
| 37 | Goals For | 27 |
| 18 | Goals Against | 35 |
| 1.68 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.04 |
| 0.82 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.35 |
| 9 | BTTS Yes | 10 |
| 15 | Over 1.5 | 16 |
| 9 | Over 2.5 | 12 |
| 8 | Over 3.5 | 7 |
| 8 | Clean Sheets | 8 |
| 8 | Failed To Score | 11 |
| 5.2 | Shots On Goal | 2.65 |
| 16.4 | Total Shots | 10 |
| 5.65 | Corners | 3.9 |
| 53.6% | Ball Possession | 47.7% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by St Patrick's Athl.'s more proactive style and Sligo Rovers's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with St Patrick's Athl. expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Sligo Rovers in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Sligo Rovers having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. St Patrick's Athl. arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 3 with 32 points compared to Sligo Rovers in 9 on 19, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Sligo Rovers. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.
St Patrick's Athl. come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 3 with 32 points from 19 matches. Their overall return of 9 wins, 5 draws, and 5 losses with goals at 31:17 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by R. Edmondson (8 goals), K. Leavy (4 goals), A. Keena (3 goals), with creative support from K. Leavy (3 assists), Z. Elbouzedi (3 assists), J. Lennon (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, they have returned 6 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.
So far, Sligo Rovers have built a campaign that leaves them 9 in the table on 19 points from 19 matches. The record of 5 wins, 4 draws, and 10 defeats, together with a 15:27 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through W. Fitzgerald (4 goals), A. Nolan (2 goals), Archie Meekison (2 goals), with creative support from W. Fitzgerald (3 assists), Cian Kavanagh (2 assists), J. Redmond (2 assists), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, St Patrick's Athl. won 10 times, Sligo Rovers won 4 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 27:12 from St Patrick's Athl.'s perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.6 goals per game.
Lineups
St Patrick's Athl.
Drogheda United
St Patrick's Athl.
Shamrock Rovers
St Patrick's Athl.
Derry City
St Patrick's Athl.
Shelbourne
St Patrick's Athl.
Waterford
St Patrick's Athl.
Sligo Rovers
St Patrick's Athl.
Galway United
St Patrick's Athl.
Bohemians
St Patrick's Athl.
Drogheda United
St Patrick's Athl.
Shamrock Rovers
St Patrick's Athl.
Dundalk
St Patrick's Athl.
Sligo Rovers
St Patrick's Athl.
Waterford
St Patrick's Athl.
Derry City
St Patrick's Athl.
Drogheda United
St Patrick's Athl.
Shelbourne
St Patrick's Athl.
Galway United
St Patrick's Athl.
Dundalk
St Patrick's Athl.
Shamrock Rovers
St Patrick's Athl.
Bohemians
Sligo Rovers
Waterford
Sligo Rovers
Bohemians
Sligo Rovers
Shamrock Rovers
Sligo Rovers
Galway United
Sligo Rovers
Shelbourne
Sligo Rovers
St Patrick's Athl.
Sligo Rovers
Drogheda United
Sligo Rovers
Dundalk
Sligo Rovers
Waterford
Sligo Rovers
Bohemians
Sligo Rovers
Derry City
Sligo Rovers
St Patrick's Athl.
Sligo Rovers
Shelbourne
Sligo Rovers
Dundalk
Sligo Rovers
Shamrock Rovers
Sligo Rovers
Drogheda United
Sligo Rovers
Galway United
Sligo Rovers
Waterford
Sligo Rovers
Bohemians
Sligo Rovers
Derry City
St Patrick's Athl.
Drogheda United
St Patrick's Athl.
Shelbourne
St Patrick's Athl.
Waterford
St Patrick's Athl.
Bohemians
St Patrick's Athl.
Shamrock Rovers
St Patrick's Athl.
Sligo Rovers
St Patrick's Athl.
Derry City
St Patrick's Athl.
Drogheda United
St Patrick's Athl.
Galway United
St Patrick's Athl.
Dundalk
St Patrick's Athl.
Cork City
St Patrick's Athl.
Beşiktaş
St Patrick's Athl.
Kalju Nomme
St Patrick's Athl.
Hegelmann Litauen
Sligo Rovers
Waterford
Sligo Rovers
Shamrock Rovers
Sligo Rovers
Shelbourne
Sligo Rovers
Drogheda United
Sligo Rovers
Bohemians
Sligo Rovers
St Patrick's Athl.
Sligo Rovers
Dundalk
Sligo Rovers
Galway United
Sligo Rovers
Waterford
Sligo Rovers
Derry City
Sligo Rovers
Treaty United
Sligo Rovers
Finn Harps
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 23 | 13 | 5 | 5 | 35:20 | 15 | 44 |
D
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 2 |
St Patrick's Athl.
Home
|
21 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 35:17 | 18 | 38 |
W
W
L
D
L
|
| 3 | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 36:27 | 9 | 37 |
W
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 4 | 21 | 9 | 8 | 4 | 34:29 | 5 | 35 |
W
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 5 | 22 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 31:32 | -1 | 30 |
L
D
W
D
D
|
|
| 6 | 23 | 5 | 11 | 7 | 28:27 | 1 | 26 |
D
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 7 | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 28:31 | -3 | 24 |
W
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 8 | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 27:36 | -9 | 22 |
D
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 9 |
Sligo Rovers
Away
|
21 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 15:33 | -18 | 19 |
L
L
L
W
L
|
| 10 | 21 | 2 | 8 | 11 | 25:42 | -17 | 14 |
L
W
D
L
W
|