IRELAND PREMIER DIVISION
--.--.---- --:--
Richmond Park
Referee: P. Norton
St Patrick's Athl.
Match Timeline
Sligo Rovers
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
27'
J. Redmond
St Patrick's Athl.
🔄
61'
A. Keena ↔ B. Baggley
St Patrick's Athl.
🔄
65'
S. Stewart ↔ K. Zefi
Sligo Rovers
🟨
70'
J. McManus
Sligo Rovers
🔄
76'
K. Leavy ↔ C. Forrester
St Patrick's Athl.
🔄
76'
R. Palmer ↔ M. A. Mata
St Patrick's Athl.
🔄
77'
M. Traore ↔ C. Kavanagh
Sligo Rovers
🔄
77'
D. Patton ↔ C. Cannon
Sligo Rovers
🔄
77'
R. O'Kane ↔ A. Nolan
Sligo Rovers
🟨
81'
C. Cannon
Sligo Rovers
🔄
83'
R. Edmondson ↔ S. Rooney
St Patrick's Athl.
🔄
83'
J. Brown ↔ A. Breslin
St Patrick's Athl.
90'
J. Redmond · Assist: S. Hoare
St Patrick's Athl.
90'
C. Forrester · Assist: S. Rooney
St Patrick's Athl.

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 58.4%
Odds 1.25
0 agree / 1 disagree
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds 2.20
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 58.6%
Odds 1.68
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
58.4%
1.25
BTTS Yes
71.2%
2.20
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
58.6%
1.68
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.98
HT / FT Home / Home
-
1.80
Correct Score 2-1
-
9.50
Probability Distribution
St Patrick's Athl. Win 58.4%
Draw 13.5%
Sligo Rovers Win 28.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
St Patrick's Athl.1.55
Sligo Rovers0.95
Recent Form (Last 5)
St Patrick's Athl. St Patrick's Athl.
WWDLW
37 GF / 18 GA
Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers
WLDWL
27 GF / 35 GA
Key Stats
1.68
Average Goals Scored
1.04
0.82
Average Goals Conceded
1.35
9
BTTS Yes
10
9
Over 2.5
12
5.2
Shots on Goal
2.65

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

St Patrick's Athl. St Patrick's Athl. 22 matches
Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers 26 matches
St Patrick's Athl. Statistic Sligo Rovers
11 Wins 9
6 Draws 4
5 Losses 13
37 Goals For 27
18 Goals Against 35
1.68 Avg Goals Scored 1.04
0.82 Avg Goals Conceded 1.35
9 BTTS Yes 10
15 Over 1.5 16
9 Over 2.5 12
8 Over 3.5 7
8 Clean Sheets 8
8 Failed To Score 11
5.2 Shots On Goal 2.65
16.4 Total Shots 10
5.65 Corners 3.9
53.6% Ball Possession 47.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by St Patrick's Athl.'s more proactive style and Sligo Rovers's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with St Patrick's Athl. expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Sligo Rovers in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Sligo Rovers having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. St Patrick's Athl. arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 3 with 32 points compared to Sligo Rovers in 9 on 19, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Sligo Rovers. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

St Patrick's Athl. Analysis

St Patrick's Athl. come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 3 with 32 points from 19 matches. Their overall return of 9 wins, 5 draws, and 5 losses with goals at 31:17 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by R. Edmondson (8 goals), K. Leavy (4 goals), A. Keena (3 goals), with creative support from K. Leavy (3 assists), Z. Elbouzedi (3 assists), J. Lennon (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, they have returned 6 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Sligo Rovers Analysis

So far, Sligo Rovers have built a campaign that leaves them 9 in the table on 19 points from 19 matches. The record of 5 wins, 4 draws, and 10 defeats, together with a 15:27 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through W. Fitzgerald (4 goals), A. Nolan (2 goals), Archie Meekison (2 goals), with creative support from W. Fitzgerald (3 assists), Cian Kavanagh (2 assists), J. Redmond (2 assists), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, St Patrick's Athl. won 10 times, Sligo Rovers won 4 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 27:12 from St Patrick's Athl.'s perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.6 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (86.5%)
Predicted formations: St Patrick's Athl. 4-2-3-1 / Sligo Rovers 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: St Patrick's Athl. wins 10, draws 1, Sligo Rovers wins 4

Lineups

St Patrick's Athl.
Formation
Sligo Rovers
D. Rogers
D. Rogers
J. Redmond
J. Redmond
S. Hoare
🎯
S. Hoare
L. Turner
L. Turner
J. Brown
J. Brown
J. Lennon
J. Lennon
R. Palmer
R. Palmer
Z. Elbouzedi
Z. Elbouzedi
K. Leavy
K. Leavy
A. Keena
A. Keena
R. Edmondson
R. Edmondson
S. Sargeant
S. Sargeant
J. Esua
J. Esua
G. McElroy
G. McElroy
S. Stewart
S. Stewart
K. McDonagh
K. McDonagh
J. McManus
J. McManus
C. McHugh
C. McHugh
R. O'Kane
R. O'Kane
D. Patton
D. Patton
W. Fitzgerald
W. Fitzgerald
M. Traore
M. Traore
St Patrick's Athl. 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
D. Rogers
4
J. Redmond
⚽ 90' 🟨 27'
2
S. Hoare
🎯 90'
24
L. Turner
23
J. Brown
↓ 83'
6
J. Lennon
17
R. Palmer
↓ 76'
7
Z. Elbouzedi
10
K. Leavy
↓ 76'
9
A. Keena
↓ 61'
27
R. Edmondson
↓ 83'
Substitutes
49
S. Molloy
11
J. McClelland
19
B. Baggley
↑ 61'
35
S. Rooney
🎯 90' ↑ 83'
8
C. Forrester
⚽ 90' ↑ 76'
3
A. Breslin
↑ 83'
18
M. A. Mata
↑ 76'
16
D. Nugent
48
R. Sheridan
Sligo Rovers 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
29
S. Sargeant
33
J. Esua
52
G. McElroy
3
S. Stewart
↓ 65'
23
K. McDonagh
14
J. McManus
🟨 70'
16
C. McHugh
28
R. O'Kane
↓ 77'
71
D. Patton
↓ 77'
7
W. Fitzgerald
24
M. Traore
↓ 77'
Substitutes
1
L. Hughes
77
K. Zefi
↑ 65'
11
C. Kavanagh
↑ 77'
63
G. Priosti
61
C. Cannon
↑ 77' 🟨 81'
19
A. Nolan
↑ 77'
51
A. Gabbidon
49
O. Kelly
50
S. Maughan
Last matches: St Patrick's Athl.
12.06.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Drogheda United
2
0
W
29.05.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Shamrock Rovers
0
1
L
22.05.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Derry City
0
0
D
15.05.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Shelbourne
0
1
L
08.05.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Waterford
4
1
W
04.05.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Sligo Rovers
1
1
D
01.05.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Galway United
2
2
D
24.04.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Bohemians
3
1
W
17.04.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Drogheda United
3
1
W
10.04.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Shamrock Rovers
0
1
L
06.04.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Dundalk
0
2
L
03.04.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Sligo Rovers
4
1
W
20.03.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Waterford
2
0
W
16.03.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Derry City
0
0
D
13.03.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Drogheda United
4
1
W
06.03.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Shelbourne
3
2
W
02.03.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Galway United
1
0
W
27.02.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Dundalk
4
0
W
20.02.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Shamrock Rovers
0
2
L
08.02.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Bohemians
0
0
D
Last matches: Sligo Rovers
12.06.26
Pre
Sligo Rovers
Waterford
0
4
L
29.05.26
Pre
Sligo Rovers
Bohemians
1
3
L
22.05.26
Pre
Sligo Rovers
Shamrock Rovers
2
1
W
16.05.26
Pre
Sligo Rovers
Galway United
1
4
L
08.05.26
Pre
Sligo Rovers
Shelbourne
0
0
D
04.05.26
Pre
Sligo Rovers
St Patrick's Athl.
1
1
D
01.05.26
Pre
Sligo Rovers
Drogheda United
0
1
L
25.04.26
Pre
Sligo Rovers
Dundalk
2
0
W
18.04.26
Pre
Sligo Rovers
Waterford
2
0
W
10.04.26
Pre
Sligo Rovers
Bohemians
2
1
W
06.04.26
Pre
Sligo Rovers
Derry City
0
0
D
03.04.26
Pre
Sligo Rovers
St Patrick's Athl.
1
4
L
21.03.26
Pre
Sligo Rovers
Shelbourne
0
1
L
16.03.26
Pre
Sligo Rovers
Dundalk
0
1
L
13.03.26
Pre
Sligo Rovers
Shamrock Rovers
0
2
L
07.03.26
Pre
Sligo Rovers
Drogheda United
2
1
W
27.02.26
Pre
Sligo Rovers
Galway United
0
1
L
20.02.26
Pre
Sligo Rovers
Waterford
0
0
D
14.02.26
Pre
Sligo Rovers
Bohemians
0
4
L
06.02.26
Pre
Sligo Rovers
Derry City
1
2
L
H2H: St Patrick's Athl. vs Sligo Rovers
19.06.26
H2H
St Patrick's Athl.
Sligo Rovers
2
0
W
04.05.26
H2H
Sligo Rovers
St Patrick's Athl.
1
1
D
03.04.26
H2H
St Patrick's Athl.
Sligo Rovers
4
1
W
27.09.25
H2H
Sligo Rovers
St Patrick's Athl.
1
0
L
10.08.25
H2H
St Patrick's Athl.
Sligo Rovers
3
0
W
30.05.25
H2H
Sligo Rovers
St Patrick's Athl.
0
1
W
28.02.25
H2H
St Patrick's Athl.
Sligo Rovers
4
3
W
01.11.24
H2H
Sligo Rovers
St Patrick's Athl.
0
2
W
04.08.24
H2H
St Patrick's Athl.
Sligo Rovers
3
2
W
06.05.24
H2H
Sligo Rovers
St Patrick's Athl.
1
0
L
01.04.24
H2H
St Patrick's Athl.
Sligo Rovers
3
0
W
23.10.23
H2H
St Patrick's Athl.
Sligo Rovers
1
0
W
04.08.23
H2H
Sligo Rovers
St Patrick's Athl.
0
2
W
01.05.23
H2H
St Patrick's Athl.
Sligo Rovers
0
1
L
06.03.23
H2H
Sligo Rovers
St Patrick's Athl.
2
1
L
Last matches: St Patrick's Athl.
12.06.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Drogheda United
2
0
W
15.05.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Shelbourne
0
1
L
08.05.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Waterford
4
1
W
24.04.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Bohemians
3
1
W
10.04.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Shamrock Rovers
0
1
L
03.04.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Sligo Rovers
4
1
W
16.03.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Derry City
0
0
D
13.03.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Drogheda United
4
1
W
02.03.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Galway United
1
0
W
27.02.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Dundalk
4
0
W
23.01.26
Fri
St Patrick's Athl.
Cork City
1
1
D
07.08.25
UEF
St Patrick's Athl.
Beşiktaş
1
4
L
24.07.25
UEF
St Patrick's Athl.
Kalju Nomme
1
0
W
10.07.25
UEF
St Patrick's Athl.
Hegelmann Litauen
1
0
W
H2H at home: St Patrick's Athl.
19.06.26
H2H
St Patrick's Athl.
Sligo Rovers
2
0
W
03.04.26
H2H
St Patrick's Athl.
Sligo Rovers
4
1
W
10.08.25
H2H
St Patrick's Athl.
Sligo Rovers
3
0
W
28.02.25
H2H
St Patrick's Athl.
Sligo Rovers
4
3
W
04.08.24
H2H
St Patrick's Athl.
Sligo Rovers
3
2
W
01.04.24
H2H
St Patrick's Athl.
Sligo Rovers
3
0
W
23.10.23
H2H
St Patrick's Athl.
Sligo Rovers
1
0
W
01.05.23
H2H
St Patrick's Athl.
Sligo Rovers
0
1
L
Last matches: Sligo Rovers
12.06.26
Pre
Sligo Rovers
Waterford
0
4
L
22.05.26
Pre
Sligo Rovers
Shamrock Rovers
2
1
W
08.05.26
Pre
Sligo Rovers
Shelbourne
0
0
D
01.05.26
Pre
Sligo Rovers
Drogheda United
0
1
L
10.04.26
Pre
Sligo Rovers
Bohemians
2
1
W
03.04.26
Pre
Sligo Rovers
St Patrick's Athl.
1
4
L
16.03.26
Pre
Sligo Rovers
Dundalk
0
1
L
27.02.26
Pre
Sligo Rovers
Galway United
0
1
L
20.02.26
Pre
Sligo Rovers
Waterford
0
0
D
06.02.26
Pre
Sligo Rovers
Derry City
1
2
L
17.01.26
Fri
Sligo Rovers
Treaty United
1
2
L
13.01.26
Fri
Sligo Rovers
Finn Harps
0
1
L
H2H away: Sligo Rovers
19.06.26
H2H
St Patrick's Athl.
Sligo Rovers
2
0
L
03.04.26
H2H
St Patrick's Athl.
Sligo Rovers
4
1
L
10.08.25
H2H
St Patrick's Athl.
Sligo Rovers
3
0
L
28.02.25
H2H
St Patrick's Athl.
Sligo Rovers
4
3
L
04.08.24
H2H
St Patrick's Athl.
Sligo Rovers
3
2
L
01.04.24
H2H
St Patrick's Athl.
Sligo Rovers
3
0
L
23.10.23
H2H
St Patrick's Athl.
Sligo Rovers
1
0
L
01.05.23
H2H
St Patrick's Athl.
Sligo Rovers
0
1
W
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 12.13
Draw 6.26
Home 1.25
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 10.57
Draw 2.84
Home 1.66
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.21
Over 2.25 1.50
Over 2.5 1.68
Over 2.75 1.87
Over 3.0 2.15
Over 3.25 2.45
Over 3.5 2.73
Over 4.5 5.18
Under 1.5 4.51
Under 2.25 2.68
Under 2.5 2.25
Under 2.75 2.01
Under 3.0 1.75
Under 3.25 1.58
Under 3.5 1.47
Under 4.5 1.17
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 11.00
Draw 5.25
Home 1.25
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 10.00
Draw 2.62
Home 1.67
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 8.00
Draw 2.88
Home 1.53
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.03
Over 1.5 1.20
Over 2.5 1.70
Over 3.5 2.62
Over 4.5 5.00
Over 5.5 11.00
Over 6.5 21.00
Over 7.5 41.00
Under 0.5 15.00
Under 1.5 4.33
Under 2.5 2.10
Under 3.5 1.44
Under 4.5 1.17
Under 5.5 1.05
Under 6.5 1.01
Under 7.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 11.50
Draw 5.75
Home 1.24
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 9.30
Draw 2.57
Home 1.67
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 9.35
Draw 3.20
Home 1.48
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.02
Over 1.0 1.02
Over 1.25 1.08
Over 1.5 1.17
Over 1.75 1.22
Over 2.0 1.27
Over 2.25 1.48
Over 2.5 1.65
Over 2.75 1.82
Over 3.0 2.01
Over 3.25 2.25
Over 3.5 2.48
Over 3.75 2.92
Over 4.0 3.72
Over 4.25 4.04
Over 4.5 4.33
Over 4.75 5.35
Over 5.0 7.30
Over 5.5 7.80
Over 6.5 21.00
Over 7.5 41.00
Under 0.5 12.30
Under 1.0 9.00
Under 1.25 5.51
Under 1.5 4.05
Under 1.75 3.72
Under 2.0 3.30
Under 2.25 2.58
Under 2.5 2.19
Under 2.75 1.95
Under 3.0 1.69
Under 3.25 1.52
Under 3.5 1.43
Under 3.75 1.31
Under 4.0 1.20
Under 4.25 1.16
Under 4.5 1.14
Under 4.75 1.09
Under 5.0 1.03
Under 5.5 1.02
Under 6.5 1.01
Under 7.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 9.50
Draw 5.40
Home 1.26
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 7.50
Draw 2.65
Home 1.65
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 7.00
Draw 3.20
Home 1.55
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.17
Over 2.0 1.24
Over 2.25 1.40
Over 2.5 1.56
Over 2.75 1.70
Over 3.0 1.91
Over 3.25 2.16
Over 3.5 2.40
Over 3.75 2.85
Over 4.0 3.60
Over 4.25 3.95
Over 4.5 4.25
Under 1.5 4.35
Under 2.0 3.60
Under 2.25 2.65
Under 2.5 2.23
Under 2.75 2.00
Under 3.0 1.77
Under 3.25 1.60
Under 3.5 1.49
Under 3.75 1.36
Under 4.0 1.23
Under 4.25 1.20
Under 4.5 1.17

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 23 13 5 5 35:20 15 44
D W L W W
2 21 11 5 5 35:17 18 38
W W L D L
3 23 10 7 6 36:27 9 37
W L L W L
4 21 9 8 4 34:29 5 35
W W W D W
5 22 7 9 6 31:32 -1 30
L D W D D
6 23 5 11 7 28:27 1 26
D L W L D
7 20 6 6 8 28:31 -3 24
W L D L W
8 21 5 7 9 27:36 -9 22
D L D D L
9 21 5 4 12 15:33 -18 19
L L L W L
10 21 2 8 11 25:42 -17 14
L W D L W
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Premier Division (Relegation)
Relegation - Division 1