St. Louis City vs Minnesota United FC Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
55.6%
|
2.06 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
88%
|
1.50 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
72%
|
1.55 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
1.83 | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
3.20 | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
7.00 |
St. Louis City
Minnesota United FC
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
St. Louis City
28 matches
Minnesota United FC
27 matches
| St. Louis City | Statistic | Minnesota United FC |
|---|---|---|
| 11 | Wins | 8 |
| 9 | Draws | 9 |
| 8 | Losses | 10 |
| 42 | Goals For | 39 |
| 41 | Goals Against | 41 |
| 1.5 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.44 |
| 1.46 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.52 |
| 19 | BTTS Yes | 17 |
| 24 | Over 1.5 | 20 |
| 15 | Over 2.5 | 16 |
| 11 | Over 3.5 | 8 |
| 4 | Clean Sheets | 7 |
| 5 | Failed To Score | 6 |
| 4.54 | Shots On Goal | 4.96 |
| 13.58 | Total Shots | 13.5 |
| 5.5 | Corners | 5.42 |
| 51.1% | Ball Possession | 46.6% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This contest looks finely balanced, with St. Louis City's more proactive style and Minnesota United FC's more cautious structure suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Minnesota United FC. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with St. Louis City expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and Minnesota United FC in 3-4-1-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Minnesota United FC having the stronger overall control.
St. Louis City are currently 6 in the standings with 34 points from 22 matches. The record of 9 wins, 7 draws, and 6 defeats, together with a 33:30 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Marcel Hartel (3 goals), Simon Becher (2 goals), E. Löwen (2 goals), with creative support from Marcel Hartel (3 assists), Simon Becher (3 assists), Tomas Totland (2 assists), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. At home, their split return of 6 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses fits a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.
So far, Minnesota United FC have built a campaign that leaves them 9 in the table on 29 points from 22 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 7 wins, 8 draws, and 7 losses, while the 30:32 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Kelvin Yeboah (7 goals), Anthony Markanich (5 goals), Joaquín Pereyra (1 goals), with creative support from Joaquín Pereyra (5 assists), Tomás Chancalay (3 assists), James Rodríguez (2 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 5 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, St. Louis City won 1 times, Minnesota United FC won 6 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 7:17 from St. Louis City's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 3.43 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 27 | 15 | 5 | 7 | 60:29 | 31 | 50 |
L
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 2 |
St. Louis City
Home
|
27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 48:36 | 12 | 47 |
W
W
W
D
W
|
| 3 | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 50:42 | 8 | 47 |
W
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 27 | 13 | 6 | 8 | 49:39 | 10 | 45 |
W
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 5 | 27 | 13 | 5 | 9 | 34:32 | 2 | 44 |
L
D
L
W
D
|
|
| 6 | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 43:30 | 13 | 41 |
L
D
L
W
D
|
|
| 7 | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 35:35 | 0 | 38 |
W
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 8 | 27 | 11 | 3 | 13 | 38:38 | 0 | 36 |
L
D
W
D
L
|
|
| 9 | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 37:44 | -7 | 36 |
W
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 10 | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 48:51 | -3 | 32 |
L
L
L
D
W
|
|
| 11 | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 40:44 | -4 | 32 |
W
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 12 | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 47:47 | 0 | 32 |
D
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 13 | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 35:47 | -12 | 31 |
D
D
W
D
D
|
|
| 14 |
Minnesota United FC
Away
|
27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 40:49 | -9 | 29 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
| 15 | 27 | 6 | 3 | 18 | 32:65 | -33 | 21 |
L
W
L
W
L
|