Login Register
🇺🇸 USA › MAJOR LEAGUE SOCCER
13.09.2026 00:30
Energizer Park
Referee: Ricardo Montero, Costa Rica
St. Louis City
Match Timeline
Minnesota United FC
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
5'
T. Chancalay · Assist: J. Pereyra
Minnesota United FC
⚽
18'
D. Edelman
St. Louis City
⚽
22'
C. Holse · Assist: C. Wallem
St. Louis City
⚽
38'
Rafael Navarro · Assist: C. Holse
St. Louis City
🟨
47'
Michael Boxall
Minnesota United FC
⚽
57'
Rafael Navarro
St. Louis City
🔄
59'
Rafael Santos ↔ T. Totland
St. Louis City
🔄
59'
D. Edelman ↔ C. Durkin
St. Louis City
🔄
59'
C. Holse ↔ A. Matan
St. Louis City
⚽
61'
K. Yeboah
Minnesota United FC
🟨
64'
Kyle Duncan
Minnesota United FC
🔄
75'
N. Romero ↔ J. Diaz
Minnesota United FC
🔄
75'
W. Trapp ↔ N. Triantis
Minnesota United FC
🔄
75'
K. Yeboah ↔ M. Malone
Minnesota United FC
🔄
76'
F. Fall ↔ L. MacNaughton
St. Louis City
🔄
76'
S. Becher ↔ D. Downs
St. Louis City
🟨
80'
Kyle Duncan
Minnesota United FC
🟥
80'
Kyle Duncan
Minnesota United FC
🔄
83'
T. Chancalay ↔ A. Jackson
Minnesota United FC

St. Louis City vs Minnesota United FC Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 55.6%
Odds 2.06
BTTS
Yes
Probability 88%
Odds 1.50
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds 1.55
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
55.6%
2.06 ▥
BTTS Yes
88%
1.50 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
1.55 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.83 ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
3.20 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
7.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
St. Louis City Win 55.6%
Draw 7.5%
Minnesota United FC Win 36.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
St. Louis City1.51
Minnesota United FC1.45
Recent Form (Last 5)
St. Louis City St. Louis City
WWDLW
42 GF / 41 GA
Minnesota United FC Minnesota United FC
WLDWL
39 GF / 41 GA
Key Stats
1.5
Average Goals Scored
1.44
1.46
Average Goals Conceded
1.52
19
BTTS Yes
17
15
Over 2.5
16
4.54
Shots on Goal
4.96

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

St. Louis City St. Louis City 28 matches
Minnesota United FC Minnesota United FC 27 matches
St. Louis City Statistic Minnesota United FC
11 Wins 8
9 Draws 9
8 Losses 10
42 Goals For 39
41 Goals Against 41
1.5 Avg Goals Scored 1.44
1.46 Avg Goals Conceded 1.52
19 BTTS Yes 17
24 Over 1.5 20
15 Over 2.5 16
11 Over 3.5 8
4 Clean Sheets 7
5 Failed To Score 6
4.54 Shots On Goal 4.96
13.58 Total Shots 13.5
5.5 Corners 5.42
51.1% Ball Possession 46.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with St. Louis City's more proactive style and Minnesota United FC's more cautious structure suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Minnesota United FC. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with St. Louis City expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and Minnesota United FC in 3-4-1-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Minnesota United FC having the stronger overall control.

St. Louis City Analysis

St. Louis City are currently 6 in the standings with 34 points from 22 matches. The record of 9 wins, 7 draws, and 6 defeats, together with a 33:30 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Marcel Hartel (3 goals), Simon Becher (2 goals), E. Löwen (2 goals), with creative support from Marcel Hartel (3 assists), Simon Becher (3 assists), Tomas Totland (2 assists), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. At home, their split return of 6 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses fits a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Minnesota United FC Analysis

So far, Minnesota United FC have built a campaign that leaves them 9 in the table on 29 points from 22 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 7 wins, 8 draws, and 7 losses, while the 30:32 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Kelvin Yeboah (7 goals), Anthony Markanich (5 goals), Joaquín Pereyra (1 goals), with creative support from Joaquín Pereyra (5 assists), Tomás Chancalay (3 assists), James Rodríguez (2 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 5 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, St. Louis City won 1 times, Minnesota United FC won 6 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 7:17 from St. Louis City's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 3.43 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (92.5%)
Predicted formations: St. Louis City 3-4-2-1 / Minnesota United FC 3-4-1-2
Missing players: St. Louis City 5, Minnesota United FC 2
H2H summary: St. Louis City wins 1, draws 0, Minnesota United FC wins 6

Standings

Western Conference
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 27 15 5 7 60:29 31 50
L D W L W
2 27 13 8 6 48:36 12 47
W W W D W
3 27 13 8 6 50:42 8 47
W D W W W
4 27 13 6 8 49:39 10 45
W D W W D
5 27 13 5 9 34:32 2 44
L D L W D
6 28 11 8 9 43:30 13 41
L D L W D
7 27 10 8 9 35:35 0 38
W W W D D
8 27 11 3 13 38:38 0 36
L D W D L
9 28 9 9 10 37:44 -7 36
W W D L W
10 27 9 5 13 48:51 -3 32
L L L D W
11 27 9 5 13 40:44 -4 32
W L L L L
12 27 8 8 11 47:47 0 32
D D L L L
13 27 7 10 10 35:47 -12 31
D D W D D
14 27 7 8 12 40:49 -9 29
L L L L L
15 27 6 3 18 32:65 -33 21
L W L W L
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)