Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | No Draw |
86.7%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
17.8%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
24.4%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 0-1 |
-
|
- |
St. Louis City
Los Angeles FC
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
St. Louis City
15 matches
Los Angeles FC
23 matches
| St. Louis City | Statistic | Los Angeles FC |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Wins | 12 |
| 4 | Draws | 7 |
| 8 | Losses | 4 |
| 14 | Goals For | 40 |
| 26 | Goals Against | 24 |
| 0.93 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.74 |
| 1.73 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.04 |
| 8 | BTTS Yes | 11 |
| 12 | Over 1.5 | 17 |
| 6 | Over 2.5 | 12 |
| 5 | Over 3.5 | 7 |
| 2 | Clean Sheets | 11 |
| 5 | Failed To Score | 3 |
| 4.45 | Shots On Goal | 4.65 |
| 13.73 | Total Shots | 12.6 |
| 6.45 | Corners | 5.15 |
| 49.8% | Ball Possession | 47.4% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Los Angeles FC's more proactive style and St. Louis City's more cautious structure. Both teams have notable availability concerns, so squad depth and in-game adjustments could matter more than usual. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Los Angeles FC. St. Louis City have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. Los Angeles FC carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 3 with 21 points while St. Louis City sit 14 on 9, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.
With 9 points from 11 games and a place of 14, St. Louis City still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 2 wins, 3 draws, and 6 losses, together with goals at 10:18, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through M. Hartel (3 goals), B. McSorley (1 goals), Christopher Durkin (1 goals), with creative support from S. Becher (3 assists), D. Edelman (2 assists), L. MacNaughton (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, they have managed 1 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach. They also have disciplinary concerns to manage, with T. Ostrak, Celio Pompeu, M. Mbacke, C. Durkin unavailable.
Placed 3 with 21 points from 12 outings, Los Angeles FC continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Across the campaign, they have posted 6 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, while the 20:12 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on D. Bouanga (5 goals), D. Martinez (3 goals), M. Choiniere (2 goals), with creative support from Son Heung-Min (7 assists), T. Tillman (2 assists), D. Bouanga (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, their split return of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football. They are not at full strength, with L. Dellavalle, Igor Jesus, S. Palencia unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.
Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, St. Louis City won 2 times, Los Angeles FC won 5 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 5:14 from St. Louis City's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2.11 goals per game.
St. Louis City
2
4
6
5
0
7
Lineups
St. Louis City
Austin
St. Louis City
DC United
St. Louis City
Colorado Rapids
St. Louis City
Austin
St. Louis City
San Jose Earthquakes
St. Louis City
Seattle Sounders
St. Louis City
FC Dallas
St. Louis City
New York City FC
St. Louis City
New England Revolution
St. Louis City
Los Angeles FC
St. Louis City
Seattle Sounders
St. Louis City
San Diego
St. Louis City
Charlotte
St. Louis City
Los Angeles Galaxy
St. Louis City
Austin
St. Louis City
Tampa Bay Rowdies
St. Louis City
New York Red Bulls
Los Angeles FC
Seattle Sounders
Los Angeles FC
Nashville SC
Los Angeles FC
Houston Dynamo
Los Angeles FC
Toluca
Los Angeles FC
San Diego
Los Angeles FC
Toluca
Los Angeles FC
Minnesota United FC
Los Angeles FC
Colorado Rapids
Los Angeles FC
San Jose Earthquakes
Los Angeles FC
Cruz Azul
Los Angeles FC
Portland Timbers
Los Angeles FC
Cruz Azul
Los Angeles FC
Orlando City SC
Los Angeles FC
Austin
Los Angeles FC
LD Alajuelense
Los Angeles FC
St. Louis City
Los Angeles FC
LD Alajuelense
Los Angeles FC
FC Dallas
Los Angeles FC
Houston Dynamo
Los Angeles FC
Real Espana
St. Louis City
Austin
St. Louis City
San Jose Earthquakes
St. Louis City
New England Revolution
St. Louis City
Seattle Sounders
St. Louis City
Charlotte
St. Louis City
Austin
St. Louis City
Tampa Bay Rowdies
Los Angeles FC
Nashville SC
Los Angeles FC
Toluca
Los Angeles FC
San Diego
Los Angeles FC
Minnesota United FC
Los Angeles FC
Cruz Azul
Los Angeles FC
Portland Timbers
Los Angeles FC
Austin
Los Angeles FC
LD Alajuelense
Los Angeles FC
Houston Dynamo
Los Angeles FC
Real Espana
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 34:12 | 22 | 32 |
W
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 2 | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 34:15 | 19 | 32 |
W
L
L
D
D
|
|
| 3 | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 26:19 | 7 | 26 |
D
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 4 | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 30:22 | 8 | 25 |
W
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 5 |
Los Angeles FC
Away
|
15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 24:17 | 7 | 24 |
W
L
L
L
D
|
| 6 | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 17:11 | 6 | 24 |
L
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 7 | 14 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 19:23 | -4 | 22 |
D
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 8 | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 18:22 | -4 | 22 |
D
L
L
D
W
|
|
| 9 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 22:22 | 0 | 20 |
D
W
L
W
D
|
|
| 10 | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 30:27 | 3 | 17 |
L
D
W
D
D
|
|
| 11 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 9 | 25:24 | 1 | 16 |
L
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 12 |
St. Louis City
Home
|
14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 16:20 | -4 | 16 |
W
D
W
W
L
|
| 13 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 22:28 | -6 | 14 |
L
L
D
W
L
|
|
| 14 | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 19:31 | -12 | 14 |
L
L
L
D
W
|
|
| 15 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 14:36 | -22 | 11 |
L
W
W
L
D
|