GERMANY 3. LIGA
--.--.---- --:--
Donaustadion
Referee: J. Hasmann
SSV Ulm 1846
Match Timeline
Havelse
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
56'
J. Duker ↔ R. Muller
Havelse
🟨
57'
Mirnes Pepic
SSV Ulm 1846
63'
D. Chessa · Assist: N. Kolle
SSV Ulm 1846
🔄
67'
A. Rexhepi ↔ T. Friedrich
Havelse
🔄
67'
B. Kolgeci ↔ C. Schepp
Havelse
🔄
73'
L. Roser ↔ E. Loder
SSV Ulm 1846
🟨
74'
Niko Vukančić
SSV Ulm 1846
🔄
79'
E. Aytun ↔ Y. Jaeschke
Havelse
80'
C. Schepp · Assist: J. Berger
Havelse
🟨
89'
Nassim Boujellab
Havelse
🔄
90'
L. Dajaku ↔ L. Mazagg
SSV Ulm 1846
90'
L. Mazagg
SSV Ulm 1846

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Draw or Away
Probability 75.5%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 87.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 80.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Draw or Away
75.5%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
87.6%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
80.5%
-
Probability Distribution
SSV Ulm 1846 Win 24.5%
Draw 27.5%
Havelse Win 48%
Expected Goals (xG)
SSV Ulm 18461.65
Havelse1.71
Recent Form (Last 5)
SSV Ulm 1846 SSV Ulm 1846
WWDLW
42 GF / 68 GA
Havelse Havelse
WLDWL
49 GF / 73 GA
Key Stats
1.27
Average Goals Scored
1.48
2.06
Average Goals Conceded
2.21
24
BTTS Yes
25
22
Over 2.5
22
3.44
Shots on Goal
3.33

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

SSV Ulm 1846 SSV Ulm 1846 33 matches
Havelse Havelse 33 matches
SSV Ulm 1846 Statistic Havelse
8 Wins 7
5 Draws 8
20 Losses 18
42 Goals For 49
68 Goals Against 73
1.27 Avg Goals Scored 1.48
2.06 Avg Goals Conceded 2.21
24 BTTS Yes 25
27 Over 1.5 32
22 Over 2.5 22
15 Over 3.5 17
5 Clean Sheets 3
4 Failed To Score 6
3.44 Shots On Goal 3.33
10.41 Total Shots 9.78
5.11 Corners 3.7
43.7% Ball Possession 36.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Havelse. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with SSV Ulm 1846 expected to line up in 5-4-1 and Havelse in 3-4-1-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Havelse having the stronger overall control. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

SSV Ulm 1846 Analysis

SSV Ulm 1846 approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 18 with 29 points from 33 matches. Their record of 8 wins, 5 draws, and 20 losses, together with goals at 42:68, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through E. Loder (9 goals), Dennis Chessa (5 goals), Leon Dajaku (5 goals), with creative support from Leon Dajaku (7 assists), N. Kolle (3 assists), E. Loder (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. At home, the split record of 5 wins, 1 draws, and 10 losses points to a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Havelse Analysis

With 29 points from 33 games and a place of 17, Havelse still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 7 wins, 8 draws, and 18 losses, together with goals at 49:73, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through J. X. Posselt (8 goals), L. Paldino (5 goals), M. Ilic (5 goals), with creative support from J. Duker (7 assists), Nassim Boujellab (4 assists), Robin Muller (4 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 4 draws, and 10 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, SSV Ulm 1846 won 1 times, Havelse won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:3 from SSV Ulm 1846's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Draw or Away
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: X2 (75.5%)
Predicted formations: SSV Ulm 1846 5-4-1 / Havelse 3-4-1-2
H2H summary: SSV Ulm 1846 wins 1, draws 0, Havelse wins 1
Stats
SSV Ulm 1846 SSV Ulm 1846
Havelse Havelse
Shots on Goal
4
Shots on Goal
3
Shots off Goal
6
Shots off Goal
7
Blocked Shots
5
Blocked Shots
0
4 Corner Kicks 6
15 Fouls 10
2 Offsides 1
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Goal 3
6 Shots off Goal 7
5 Blocked Shots 0
11 Shots insidebox 6
4 Shots outsidebox 5
2 Goalkeeper Saves 2
420 Total passes 375
333 Passes accurate 289
2.03 expected_goals 0.97
🟨 2 Yellow Cards 1 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

SSV Ulm 1846
Formation
Havelse
C. Ortag
C. Ortag
L. Bazzoli
L. Bazzoli
D. Dressel
D. Dressel
N. Vukancic
N. Vukancic
J. Meier
J. Meier
M. Pepic
M. Pepic
M. Brandt
M. Brandt
N. Kolle
🎯
N. Kolle
D. Chessa
D. Chessa
L. Dajaku
L. Dajaku
L. Roser
L. Roser
N. Quindt
N. Quindt
D. Duah
D. Duah
S. Belkahia
S. Belkahia
B. Kolgeci
B. Kolgeci
M. Ilic
M. Ilic
N. Boujellab
N. Boujellab
J. Berger
🎯
J. Berger
E. Aytun
E. Aytun
J. Duker
J. Duker
L. Paldino
L. Paldino
A. Rexhepi
A. Rexhepi
SSV Ulm 1846 3-4-2-1
Starting XI
39
C. Ortag
G
18
L. Bazzoli
D
14
D. Dressel
D
3
N. Vukancic
🟨 74'
D
19
J. Meier
M
20
M. Pepic
🟨 57'
M
23
M. Brandt
M
32
N. Kolle
🎯 63'
M
11
D. Chessa
⚽ 63'
M
43
L. Dajaku
↓ 90'
M
9
L. Roser
↓ 73'
F
Substitutes
1
M. Schmitt
G
12
M. Seybold
G
21
M. Seegert
D
25
E. Loder
↑ 73'
F
27
L. Mazagg
⚽ 90' ↑ 90'
M
30
F. Vater
D
31
B. Ehe
M
36
M. Mrden
M
Havelse 3-4-1-2
Starting XI
29
N. Quindt
15
D. Duah
D
6
S. Belkahia
D
4
B. Kolgeci
↓ 67'
D
14
M. Ilic
M
19
N. Boujellab
🟨 89'
M
8
J. Berger
🎯 80'
7
E. Aytun
↓ 79'
M
10
J. Duker
↓ 56'
9
L. Paldino
F
33
A. Rexhepi
↓ 67'
F
Substitutes
40
J. Busse
G
35
A. Dlugaiczyk
30
T. Friedrich
↑ 67'
D
3
M. Schleef
36
T. Awoyale
M
28
J. Rufidis
11
Y. Jaeschke
↑ 79'
23
R. Muller
↑ 56'
F
20
C. Schepp
⚽ 80' ↑ 67'
F
Last matches: SSV Ulm 1846
16.05.26
3.
SSV Ulm 1846
Rot-Weiß Essen
2
3
L
09.05.26
3.
SSV Ulm 1846
VfL Osnabrück
1
1
D
02.05.26
3.
SSV Ulm 1846
FC Viktoria Köln
0
2
L
25.04.26
3.
SSV Ulm 1846
TSV 1860 München
2
3
L
11.04.26
3.
SSV Ulm 1846
Hansa Rostock
1
5
L
08.04.26
3.
SSV Ulm 1846
Stuttgart II
1
1
D
05.04.26
3.
SSV Ulm 1846
Verl
1
0
W
25.03.26
Fri
SSV Ulm 1846
FC Ingolstadt 04
2
1
W
21.03.26
3.
SSV Ulm 1846
Energie Cottbus
1
1
D
15.03.26
3.
SSV Ulm 1846
FC Ingolstadt 04
1
3
L
07.03.26
3.
SSV Ulm 1846
FC Schweinfurt 05
2
3
L
03.03.26
3.
SSV Ulm 1846
Hoffenheim II
1
3
L
28.02.26
3.
SSV Ulm 1846
SSV Jahn Regensburg
1
1
D
21.02.26
3.
SSV Ulm 1846
FC Saarbrücken
1
1
D
15.02.26
3.
SSV Ulm 1846
Alemannia Aachen
1
3
L
06.02.26
3.
SSV Ulm 1846
Waldhof Mannheim
1
2
L
01.02.26
3.
SSV Ulm 1846
MSV Duisburg
1
0
W
24.01.26
3.
SSV Ulm 1846
Erzgebirge Aue
3
0
W
17.01.26
3.
SSV Ulm 1846
SV Wehen
0
1
L
09.01.26
Fri
SSV Ulm 1846
1. FC Magdeburg
2
4
L
Last matches: Havelse
16.05.26
3.
Havelse
Alemannia Aachen
1
6
L
10.05.26
3.
Havelse
FC Schweinfurt 05
3
2
W
02.05.26
3.
Havelse
Verl
0
4
L
26.04.26
3.
Havelse
Stuttgart II
3
2
W
11.04.26
3.
Havelse
FC Saarbrücken
2
0
W
08.04.26
3.
Havelse
SV Wehen
4
1
W
04.04.26
3.
Havelse
Energie Cottbus
0
3
L
21.03.26
3.
Havelse
SSV Jahn Regensburg
2
5
L
14.03.26
3.
Havelse
FC Viktoria Köln
3
2
W
08.03.26
3.
Havelse
Waldhof Mannheim
1
3
L
04.03.26
3.
Havelse
Hansa Rostock
1
3
L
01.03.26
3.
Havelse
MSV Duisburg
1
1
D
21.02.26
3.
Havelse
FC Ingolstadt 04
2
3
L
14.02.26
3.
Havelse
TSV 1860 München
0
5
L
07.02.26
3.
Havelse
VfL Osnabrück
0
2
L
30.01.26
3.
Havelse
Erzgebirge Aue
3
1
W
24.01.26
3.
Havelse
Rot-Weiß Essen
1
4
L
18.01.26
3.
Havelse
Hoffenheim II
4
0
W
21.12.25
3.
Havelse
Alemannia Aachen
1
1
D
14.12.25
3.
Havelse
FC Schweinfurt 05
3
2
W
H2H: SSV Ulm 1846 vs Havelse
18.04.26
H2H
SSV Ulm 1846
Havelse
2
1
W
22.11.25
H2H
Havelse
SSV Ulm 1846
2
1
L
Last matches: SSV Ulm 1846
16.05.26
3.
SSV Ulm 1846
Rot-Weiß Essen
2
3
L
02.05.26
3.
SSV Ulm 1846
FC Viktoria Köln
0
2
L
05.04.26
3.
SSV Ulm 1846
Verl
1
0
W
15.03.26
3.
SSV Ulm 1846
FC Ingolstadt 04
1
3
L
03.03.26
3.
SSV Ulm 1846
Hoffenheim II
1
3
L
21.02.26
3.
SSV Ulm 1846
FC Saarbrücken
1
1
D
15.02.26
3.
SSV Ulm 1846
Alemannia Aachen
1
3
L
01.02.26
3.
SSV Ulm 1846
MSV Duisburg
1
0
W
17.01.26
3.
SSV Ulm 1846
SV Wehen
0
1
L
05.01.26
Fri
SSV Ulm 1846
Bonner SC
2
1
W
12.12.25
3.
SSV Ulm 1846
VfL Osnabrück
3
5
L
29.11.25
3.
SSV Ulm 1846
TSV 1860 München
0
1
L
08.11.25
3.
SSV Ulm 1846
Hansa Rostock
0
5
L
01.11.25
3.
SSV Ulm 1846
Stuttgart II
1
3
L
19.10.25
3.
SSV Ulm 1846
Energie Cottbus
1
2
L
01.10.25
3.
SSV Ulm 1846
FC Schweinfurt 05
5
1
W
21.09.25
3.
SSV Ulm 1846
SSV Jahn Regensburg
2
1
W
31.08.25
3.
SSV Ulm 1846
Waldhof Mannheim
1
2
L
09.08.25
3.
SSV Ulm 1846
Erzgebirge Aue
1
0
W
18.05.25
2.
SSV Ulm 1846
Preußen Münster
2
2
D
H2H at home: SSV Ulm 1846
18.04.26
H2H
SSV Ulm 1846
Havelse
2
1
W
Last matches: Havelse
16.05.26
3.
Havelse
Alemannia Aachen
1
6
L
02.05.26
3.
Havelse
Verl
0
4
L
08.04.26
3.
Havelse
SV Wehen
4
1
W
21.03.26
3.
Havelse
SSV Jahn Regensburg
2
5
L
08.03.26
3.
Havelse
Waldhof Mannheim
1
3
L
01.03.26
3.
Havelse
MSV Duisburg
1
1
D
21.02.26
3.
Havelse
FC Ingolstadt 04
2
3
L
07.02.26
3.
Havelse
VfL Osnabrück
0
2
L
24.01.26
3.
Havelse
Rot-Weiß Essen
1
4
L
14.12.25
3.
Havelse
FC Schweinfurt 05
3
2
W
30.11.25
3.
Havelse
Stuttgart II
1
2
L
08.11.25
3.
Havelse
FC Saarbrücken
1
1
D
25.10.25
3.
Havelse
Energie Cottbus
3
4
L
04.10.25
3.
Havelse
FC Viktoria Köln
1
4
L
27.09.25
3.
Havelse
Hansa Rostock
1
1
D
14.09.25
3.
Havelse
TSV 1860 München
2
3
L
24.08.25
3.
Havelse
Erzgebirge Aue
1
2
L
02.08.25
3.
Havelse
Hoffenheim II
0
0
D
H2H away: Havelse
18.04.26
H2H
SSV Ulm 1846
Havelse
2
1
L

Standings

3. Liga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 38 24 8 6 66:34 32 80
W D W W W
2 38 21 9 8 72:51 21 72
W W L W W
3 38 20 10 8 78:66 12 70
W W L L L
4 38 19 11 8 66:49 17 68
D D W L W
5 38 18 13 7 74:49 25 67
W W D L D
6 38 18 10 10 82:48 34 64
W L W L W
7 38 19 7 12 76:57 19 64
W W D W W
8 38 15 11 12 54:53 1 56
L L D W D
9 38 15 8 15 54:52 2 53
W L L D D
10 38 15 7 16 59:72 -13 52
L W L D D
11 38 15 6 17 51:53 -2 51
D L W L L
12 38 13 10 15 65:56 9 49
W W L W L
13 38 14 7 17 54:58 -4 49
L L W W L
14 38 13 7 18 57:69 -12 46
L L W L D
15 38 10 14 14 51:57 -6 44
L L W W D
16 38 12 7 19 65:71 -6 43
L W L L L
17 38 9 8 21 57:89 -32 35
L W L W L
18 38 7 13 18 51:70 -19 34
W D W D D
19 38 9 6 23 49:78 -29 33
L D L L W
20 38 5 6 27 38:87 -49 21
L L D D D
Promotion - 2. Bundesliga
Promotion - 2. Bundesliga (Promotion)
Relegation