GERMANY 2. BUNDESLIGA
--.--.---- --:--
Sportpark Ronhof Thomas Sommer
Referee: H. Osmers
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Match Timeline
Fortuna Düsseldorf
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
2'
F. Klaus · Assist: G. Itter
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
🟨
12'
Paul Will
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
16'
E. Egouli
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
🟨
21'
Sotiris Alexandropoulos
Fortuna Düsseldorf
36'
N. Futkeu
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
🟨
45+1'
Shinta Appelkamp
Fortuna Düsseldorf
🔄
46'
S. Alexandropoulos ↔ S. Tanaka
Fortuna Düsseldorf
🔄
46'
V. Lunddal ↔ C. Rasmussen
Fortuna Düsseldorf
🔄
46'
S. Suso ↔ J. Paulina
Fortuna Düsseldorf
🔄
61'
D. Srbeny ↔ D. Arifi
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
VAR
64'
Branimir Hrgota
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
🔄
67'
S. Ltaief ↔ R. Munz
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
VAR
75'
Noel Futkeu
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
🔄
75'
S. Appelkamp ↔ T. Rossmann
Fortuna Düsseldorf
🟨
77'
Luca Itter
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
🟨
79'
Jordi Paulina
Fortuna Düsseldorf
🟨
82'
Jesper Daland
Fortuna Düsseldorf
🔄
82'
C. Lenz ↔ J. Daland
Fortuna Düsseldorf
🔄
89'
G. Itter ↔ B. Bjarnason
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
🟨
90+4'
Doni Arifi
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
🟨
90+3'
Reno Münz
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
🟨
90+4'
Florian Kastenmeier
Fortuna Düsseldorf

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 66.9%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 86.7%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 74.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
66.9%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
86.7%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
74.1%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
SpVgg Greuther Fürth Win 66.9%
Draw 10.5%
Fortuna Düsseldorf Win 22.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
SpVgg Greuther Fürth1.44
Fortuna Düsseldorf1.42
Recent Form (Last 5)
SpVgg Greuther Fürth SpVgg Greuther Fürth
WWDLW
46 GF / 68 GA
Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf
WLDWL
33 GF / 50 GA
Key Stats
1.39
Average Goals Scored
1
2.06
Average Goals Conceded
1.52
21
BTTS Yes
18
22
Over 2.5
18
4
Shots on Goal
3.97

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

SpVgg Greuther Fürth SpVgg Greuther Fürth 33 matches
Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf 33 matches
SpVgg Greuther Fürth Statistic Fortuna Düsseldorf
9 Wins 11
7 Draws 4
17 Losses 18
46 Goals For 33
68 Goals Against 50
1.39 Avg Goals Scored 1
2.06 Avg Goals Conceded 1.52
21 BTTS Yes 18
28 Over 1.5 23
22 Over 2.5 18
13 Over 3.5 5
4 Clean Sheets 5
10 Failed To Score 12
4 Shots On Goal 3.97
11.91 Total Shots 12.61
4.61 Corners 4.48
47.9% Ball Possession 48.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with SpVgg Greuther Fürth expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and Fortuna Düsseldorf in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Fortuna Düsseldorf having the stronger overall control. Fortuna Düsseldorf arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Fortuna Düsseldorf.

SpVgg Greuther Fürth Analysis

SpVgg Greuther Fürth approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 17 with 34 points from 33 matches. Across the season they have posted 9 wins, 7 draws, and 17 defeats, and the 46:68 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on N. Futkeu (18 goals), F. Klaus (7 goals), B. Hrgota (4 goals), with creative support from B. Hrgota (9 assists), N. Futkeu (6 assists), F. Klaus (6 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 5 wins, 5 draws, and 6 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Fortuna Düsseldorf Analysis

Fortuna Düsseldorf sit 15 with 37 points after 33 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 11 wins, 4 draws, and 18 losses, together with goals at 33:50, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through C. Itten (15 goals), F. Muslija (4 goals), Christian Rasmussen (2 goals), with creative support from F. Muslija (4 assists), Christian Rasmussen (4 assists), S. Appelkamp (4 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, the split record of 4 wins, 1 draws, and 11 losses points to a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, SpVgg Greuther Fürth won 8 times, Fortuna Düsseldorf won 3 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 27:18 from SpVgg Greuther Fürth's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (89.6%)
Predicted formations: SpVgg Greuther Fürth 3-4-2-1 / Fortuna Düsseldorf 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: SpVgg Greuther Fürth wins 8, draws 4, Fortuna Düsseldorf wins 3
Stats
SpVgg Greuther Fürth SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf
Shots on Goal
7
Shots on Goal
1
Shots off Goal
3
Shots off Goal
5
Blocked Shots
3
Blocked Shots
6
2 Corner Kicks 3
8 Fouls 14
4 Offsides 2
34% Ball Possession 66%
13 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Goal 1
3 Shots off Goal 5
3 Blocked Shots 6
10 Shots insidebox 7
3 Shots outsidebox 5
1 Goalkeeper Saves 4
276 Total passes 530
203 Passes accurate 457
1.99 expected_goals 0.71
🟨 4 Yellow Cards 5 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Formation
Fortuna Düsseldorf
S. Prufrock
S. Prufrock
J. Dehm
J. Dehm
J. Elvedi
J. Elvedi
P. Ziereis
P. Ziereis
G. Itter
🎯
G. Itter
P. Will
P. Will
F. Klaus
F. Klaus
B. Hrgota
B. Hrgota
D. Srbeny
D. Srbeny
S. Ltaief
S. Ltaief
N. Futkeu
N. Futkeu
F. Kastenmeier
F. Kastenmeier
V. Lunddal
V. Lunddal
T. Oberdorf
T. Oberdorf
E. Egouli
E. Egouli
C. Lenz
C. Lenz
S. Alexandropoulos
S. Alexandropoulos
T. Breithaupt
T. Breithaupt
E. Iyoha
E. Iyoha
S. Appelkamp
S. Appelkamp
S. Suso
S. Suso
M. Ljubicic
M. Ljubicic
SpVgg Greuther Fürth 4-1-4-1
Starting XI
43
S. Prufrock
G
23
J. Dehm
D
15
J. Elvedi
D
4
P. Ziereis
D
27
G. Itter
🎯 2' ↓ 89' 🟨 77'
D
13
P. Will
🟨 12'
M
30
F. Klaus
⚽ 2'
M
10
B. Hrgota
M
7
D. Srbeny
↓ 61'
M
47
S. Ltaief
↓ 67'
M
9
N. Futkeu
⚽ 36'
F
Substitutes
26
P. Boevink
G
28
D. Arifi
↑ 61' 🟨 90+4'
M
25
B. Bjarnason
↑ 89'
D
37
J. Green
M
18
F. Higl
F
33
M. Dietz
D
6
S. Banse
M
16
A. Keller
F
5
R. Munz
↑ 67' 🟨 90+3'
D
Fortuna Düsseldorf 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
33
F. Kastenmeier
🟨 90+4'
G
12
V. Lunddal
↓ 46'
D
15
T. Oberdorf
D
44
E. Egouli
⚽ 16'
D
3
C. Lenz
↓ 82'
D
14
S. Alexandropoulos
↓ 46' 🟨 21'
M
6
T. Breithaupt
M
19
E. Iyoha
M
23
S. Appelkamp
↓ 75' 🟨 45+1'
M
46
S. Suso
↓ 46'
M
20
M. Ljubicic
F
Substitutes
1
M. Lotka
G
16
S. Tanaka
↑ 46'
M
10
C. Rasmussen
↑ 46'
F
11
J. Hettwer
F
21
T. Rossmann
↑ 75'
F
27
J. Paulina
↑ 46' 🟨 79'
F
5
M. Heyer
D
2
J. Daland
↑ 82' 🟨 82'
D
7
L. Raimund
F
Last matches: SpVgg Greuther Fürth
26.05.26
2.
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Rot-Weiß Essen
2
0
W
22.05.26
2.
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Rot-Weiß Essen
0
1
L
10.05.26
2.
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Hertha BSC
1
2
L
03.05.26
2.
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
1. FC Nürnberg
1
1
D
26.04.26
2.
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
VfL Bochum
1
2
L
19.04.26
2.
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
SV Darmstadt 98
3
2
W
11.04.26
2.
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Preußen Münster
0
0
D
05.04.26
2.
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
SC Paderborn 07
0
2
L
26.03.26
Fri
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Red Bull Salzburg
0
1
L
20.03.26
2.
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Karlsruher SC
1
3
L
13.03.26
2.
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
SV Elversberg
2
0
W
08.03.26
2.
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Hannover 96
2
1
W
28.02.26
2.
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
FC Schalke 04
1
1
D
20.02.26
2.
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Arminia Bielefeld
2
1
W
14.02.26
2.
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
1. FC Kaiserslautern
0
1
L
06.02.26
2.
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
1. FC Magdeburg
4
5
L
31.01.26
2.
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Holstein Kiel
2
1
W
24.01.26
2.
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Eintracht Braunschweig
0
0
D
17.01.26
2.
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Dynamo Dresden
0
2
L
10.01.26
Fri
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
SSV Jahn Regensburg
0
2
L
Last matches: Fortuna Düsseldorf
10.05.26
2.
Fortuna Düsseldorf
SV Elversberg
3
1
W
02.05.26
2.
Fortuna Düsseldorf
FC Schalke 04
0
1
L
24.04.26
2.
Fortuna Düsseldorf
Dynamo Dresden
3
1
W
18.04.26
2.
Fortuna Düsseldorf
1. FC Magdeburg
0
2
L
10.04.26
2.
Fortuna Düsseldorf
Holstein Kiel
1
2
L
04.04.26
2.
Fortuna Düsseldorf
1. FC Kaiserslautern
0
3
L
22.03.26
2.
Fortuna Düsseldorf
Hertha BSC
2
5
L
14.03.26
2.
Fortuna Düsseldorf
Eintracht Braunschweig
0
1
L
07.03.26
2.
Fortuna Düsseldorf
1. FC Nürnberg
1
0
W
27.02.26
2.
Fortuna Düsseldorf
VfL Bochum
2
1
W
21.02.26
2.
Fortuna Düsseldorf
SV Darmstadt 98
1
2
L
13.02.26
2.
Fortuna Düsseldorf
Preußen Münster
0
0
D
08.02.26
2.
Fortuna Düsseldorf
Karlsruher SC
1
1
D
01.02.26
2.
Fortuna Düsseldorf
SC Paderborn 07
2
1
W
24.01.26
2.
Fortuna Düsseldorf
Hannover 96
1
2
L
16.01.26
2.
Fortuna Düsseldorf
Arminia Bielefeld
1
0
W
10.01.26
Fri
Fortuna Düsseldorf
Slovan Liberec
3
1
W
20.12.25
2.
Fortuna Düsseldorf
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
2
1
W
14.12.25
2.
Fortuna Düsseldorf
SV Elversberg
0
1
L
05.12.25
2.
Fortuna Düsseldorf
FC Schalke 04
0
2
L
H2H: SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Fortuna Düsseldorf
17.05.26
H2H
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Fortuna Düsseldorf
3
0
W
20.12.25
H2H
Fortuna Düsseldorf
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
2
1
L
28.02.25
H2H
Fortuna Düsseldorf
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
1
2
W
27.09.24
H2H
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Fortuna Düsseldorf
1
2
L
20.04.24
H2H
Fortuna Dusseldorf
SpVgg Greuther Furth
1
0
L
12.11.23
H2H
SpVgg Greuther Furth
Fortuna Dusseldorf
1
0
L
18.02.23
H2H
SpVgg Greuther Furth
Fortuna Dusseldorf
2
1
L
14.08.22
H2H
Fortuna Dusseldorf
SpVgg Greuther Furth
2
2
D
23.05.21
H2H
SpVgg Greuther Furth
Fortuna Dusseldorf
3
2
L
22.01.21
H2H
Fortuna Dusseldorf
SpVgg Greuther Furth
3
3
D
17.02.18
H2H
Fortuna Dusseldorf
SpVgg Greuther Furth
1
1
D
17.09.17
H2H
SpVgg Greuther Furth
Fortuna Dusseldorf
3
1
L
18.02.17
H2H
SpVgg Greuther Furth
Fortuna Dusseldorf
1
0
L
11.09.16
H2H
Fortuna Dusseldorf
SpVgg Greuther Furth
1
1
D
17.04.16
H2H
SpVgg Greuther Furth
Fortuna Dusseldorf
3
1
L
Last matches: SpVgg Greuther Fürth
26.05.26
2.
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Rot-Weiß Essen
2
0
W
03.05.26
2.
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
1. FC Nürnberg
1
1
D
19.04.26
2.
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
SV Darmstadt 98
3
2
W
05.04.26
2.
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
SC Paderborn 07
0
2
L
13.03.26
2.
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
SV Elversberg
2
0
W
28.02.26
2.
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
FC Schalke 04
1
1
D
20.02.26
2.
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Arminia Bielefeld
2
1
W
06.02.26
2.
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
1. FC Magdeburg
4
5
L
24.01.26
2.
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Eintracht Braunschweig
0
0
D
10.01.26
Fri
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
SSV Jahn Regensburg
0
2
L
07.01.26
Fri
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
FC Schweinfurt 05
5
0
W
12.12.25
2.
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Hertha BSC
3
3
D
29.11.25
2.
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
VfL Bochum
0
3
L
07.11.25
2.
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Preußen Münster
1
0
W
24.10.25
2.
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Karlsruher SC
1
4
L
05.10.25
2.
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Hannover 96
2
2
D
14.09.25
2.
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
1. FC Kaiserslautern
0
3
L
24.08.25
2.
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Holstein Kiel
0
2
L
03.08.25
2.
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Dynamo Dresden
3
2
W
18.05.25
2.
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Hamburger SV
3
2
W
H2H at home: SpVgg Greuther Fürth
17.05.26
H2H
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Fortuna Düsseldorf
3
0
W
27.09.24
H2H
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Fortuna Düsseldorf
1
2
L
Last matches: Fortuna Düsseldorf
02.05.26
2.
Fortuna Düsseldorf
FC Schalke 04
0
1
L
18.04.26
2.
Fortuna Düsseldorf
1. FC Magdeburg
0
2
L
04.04.26
2.
Fortuna Düsseldorf
1. FC Kaiserslautern
0
3
L
14.03.26
2.
Fortuna Düsseldorf
Eintracht Braunschweig
0
1
L
07.03.26
2.
Fortuna Düsseldorf
1. FC Nürnberg
1
0
W
21.02.26
2.
Fortuna Düsseldorf
SV Darmstadt 98
1
2
L
08.02.26
2.
Fortuna Düsseldorf
Karlsruher SC
1
1
D
24.01.26
2.
Fortuna Düsseldorf
Hannover 96
1
2
L
10.01.26
Fri
Fortuna Düsseldorf
Slovan Liberec
3
1
W
14.12.25
2.
Fortuna Düsseldorf
SV Elversberg
0
1
L
30.11.25
2.
Fortuna Düsseldorf
Dynamo Dresden
1
2
L
09.11.25
2.
Fortuna Düsseldorf
Holstein Kiel
0
1
L
25.10.25
2.
Fortuna Düsseldorf
Hertha BSC
0
1
L
27.09.25
2.
Fortuna Düsseldorf
VfL Bochum
1
0
W
14.09.25
2.
Fortuna Düsseldorf
Preußen Münster
2
1
W
23.08.25
2.
Fortuna Düsseldorf
SC Paderborn 07
2
1
W
02.08.25
2.
Fortuna Düsseldorf
Arminia Bielefeld
1
5
L
18.05.25
2.
Fortuna Düsseldorf
1. FC Magdeburg
2
4
L
03.05.25
2.
Fortuna Düsseldorf
Eintracht Braunschweig
2
2
D
19.04.25
2.
Fortuna Düsseldorf
SV Elversberg
1
1
D
H2H away: Fortuna Düsseldorf
17.05.26
H2H
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Fortuna Düsseldorf
3
0
L
27.09.24
H2H
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Fortuna Düsseldorf
1
2
W

Standings

2. Bundesliga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 21 7 6 50:31 19 70
W L W W W
2 34 18 8 8 64:39 25 62
W L W D W
3 34 18 8 8 59:45 14 62
W D L L D
4 34 16 12 6 60:44 16 60
D D D W D
5 34 13 13 8 57:45 12 52
L D L D L
6 34 16 4 14 52:47 5 52
W W L L L
7 34 14 9 11 47:44 3 51
L W L L D
8 34 12 10 12 47:45 2 46
D W D W D
9 34 11 11 12 49:47 2 44
W D D W L
10 34 12 8 14 53:64 -11 44
L D W L L
11 34 11 8 15 54:53 1 41
W L W L W
12 34 11 8 15 44:48 -4 41
L L W W W
13 34 10 9 15 53:51 2 39
W L D W D
14 34 12 3 19 52:58 -6 39
L W W L W
15 34 10 7 17 36:54 -18 37
L W L W D
16 34 10 7 17 49:68 -19 37
W L D L W
17 34 11 4 19 33:53 -20 37
L W L W L
18 34 6 12 16 38:61 -23 30
L D D L L
Promotion - Bundesliga
Promotion - Bundesliga (Promotion)
2. Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation - 3. Liga