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06.09.2026 13:00
Estadio Defensores del Chaco
Referee: Derlis Lopez, Paraguay
Sportivo Trinidense
Match Timeline
Olimpia
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
18'
Rodney Redes
Olimpia
VAR
19'
Rodney Redes
Olimpia
🟨
27'
Gustavo Viera
Sportivo Trinidense
🟨
43'
Sergio Mendoza
Sportivo Trinidense
🔄
56'
Oscar Gimenez ↔ Tomas Rayer
Sportivo Trinidense
🔄
61'
Rodney Redes ↔ Franco Alfonso
Olimpia
⚽
64'
Tomas Rayer · Assist: Axel Cañete
Sportivo Trinidense
VAR
69'
Nicolás Maná
Sportivo Trinidense
🟥
70'
Nicolás Maná
Sportivo Trinidense
🔄
73'
Fernando Cardozo ↔ Hugo Sandoval
Olimpia
🔄
73'
Tim Payne ↔ Raúl Cáceres
Olimpia
🟨
77'
Richard Ortiz
Olimpia
🔄
78'
Clementino González ↔ Faustino Barone
Sportivo Trinidense
🔄
78'
Sergio Mendoza ↔ Armando Ruiz Diaz
Sportivo Trinidense
⚽
80'
Hugo Sandoval
Olimpia
🟨
83'
Faustino Barone
Sportivo Trinidense
🔄
84'
Gabriel Ávalos ↔ Alex Franco
Olimpia
🔄
84'
Romeo Benítez ↔ Rubén Lezcano
Olimpia
🔄
85'
David Villalba ↔ Néstor Camacho
Sportivo Trinidense
🔄
86'
Gustavo Viera ↔ Lucas González
Sportivo Trinidense
🟨
90+5'
Mateo Gamarra
Olimpia
🟨
90+2'
Franco Alfonso
Olimpia

Sportivo Trinidense vs Olimpia Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 68.2%
Odds 1.62
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.8%
Odds 1.73
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 70.3%
Odds 1.83
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
68.2%
1.62 ▥
BTTS Yes
58.8%
1.73 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
70.3%
1.83 ▥
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
89.3%
1.20 ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
5.00 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
11.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Sportivo Trinidense Win 44.9%
Draw 23.3%
Olimpia Win 31.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Sportivo Trinidense1.28
Olimpia1.35
Recent Form (Last 5)
Sportivo Trinidense Sportivo Trinidense
WWDLW
44 GF / 30 GA
Olimpia Olimpia
WLDWL
49 GF / 31 GA
Key Stats
1.47
Average Goals Scored
1.58
1
Average Goals Conceded
1
20
BTTS Yes
17
16
Over 2.5
15
4.17
Shots on Goal
4.93

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Sportivo Trinidense Sportivo Trinidense 30 matches
Olimpia Olimpia 31 matches
Sportivo Trinidense Statistic Olimpia
12 Wins 18
10 Draws 5
8 Losses 8
44 Goals For 49
30 Goals Against 31
1.47 Avg Goals Scored 1.58
1 Avg Goals Conceded 1
20 BTTS Yes 17
23 Over 1.5 22
16 Over 2.5 15
5 Over 3.5 6
8 Clean Sheets 10
5 Failed To Score 5
4.17 Shots On Goal 4.93
11.97 Total Shots 14.69
4.07 Corners 5.07
39.9% Ball Possession 53.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Olimpia. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Sportivo Trinidense Analysis

Sportivo Trinidense come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 4 with 11 points from 7 matches. The record of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 2 defeats, together with a 11:6 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Luis Abreu (2 goals), Nicolás Maná (1 goals), Tomas Rayer (1 goals), with creative support from Luis Abreu (1 assists), Nicolás Maná (1 assists), Nelson Gauto (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 1 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Olimpia Analysis

Olimpia come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 5 place with 9 points after 6 matches. The return of 3 wins, 0 draws, and 3 defeats, together with goals at 9:6, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through Alan Rodríguez (1 goals), Romeo Benítez (1 goals), Eduardo Delmas (1 goals), with creative support from Alan Rodríguez (1 assists), Romeo Benítez (1 assists), Eduardo Delmas (1 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. Away from home, their record of 0 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Sportivo Trinidense won 4 times, Olimpia won 5 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 23:25 from Sportivo Trinidense's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 13 matches, with an average of 3.2 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (76.7%)
Predicted formations: Sportivo Trinidense 4-1-4-1 / Olimpia 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: Sportivo Trinidense wins 4, draws 6, Olimpia wins 5

Standings

Primera Division: Clausura
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 13 8 2 3 22:10 12 26
D W W W W
2 13 8 2 3 21:14 7 26
W L D W W
3 13 7 4 2 16:13 3 25
W D L L W
4 13 6 5 2 20:8 12 23
D D W W L
5 13 7 2 4 23:13 10 23
W W L W L
6 13 5 6 2 14:10 4 21
D W W D W
7 13 4 6 3 15:15 0 18
L D D W W
8 13 5 2 6 15:14 1 17
L L W D W
9 13 4 1 8 14:24 -10 13
L L W L L
10 13 3 3 7 15:24 -9 12
W D L L L
11 13 2 2 9 14:26 -12 8
L D L L L
12 13 0 3 10 4:22 -18 3
D D L L L
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)