Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
82.8%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
82.6%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
87.6%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
75.6%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Sportivo Luqueno
Libertad Asuncion
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Sportivo Luqueno
19 matches
Libertad Asuncion
23 matches
| Sportivo Luqueno | Statistic | Libertad Asuncion |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Wins | 8 |
| 4 | Draws | 3 |
| 10 | Losses | 12 |
| 21 | Goals For | 33 |
| 28 | Goals Against | 30 |
| 1.11 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.43 |
| 1.47 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.3 |
| 12 | BTTS Yes | 9 |
| 14 | Over 1.5 | 14 |
| 10 | Over 2.5 | 10 |
| 4 | Over 3.5 | 7 |
| 1 | Clean Sheets | 6 |
| 7 | Failed To Score | 8 |
| 4.05 | Shots On Goal | 4.39 |
| 11 | Total Shots | 12.52 |
| 3.47 | Corners | 4.22 |
| 46.8% | Ball Possession | 50.9% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights Libertad Asuncion's more proactive style and Sportivo Luqueno's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Sportivo Luqueno expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Libertad Asuncion in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Libertad Asuncion having the stronger overall control. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Libertad Asuncion.
From their first 19 matches, Sportivo Luqueno have collected 19 points and now occupy 10 place in the table. The record of 5 wins, 4 draws, and 10 defeats, together with a 21:28 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Iván Maggi (10 goals), Sebastián Quintana (3 goals), L. Comas (2 goals), with creative support from L. Comas (3 assists), G. Bogado (2 assists), O. Ruiz (2 assists), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. At home, the record of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 5 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Placed 5 with 27 points from 19 outings, Libertad Asuncion continue to operate from a strong competitive position. The record of 8 wins, 3 draws, and 8 defeats, together with a 30:22 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Lorenzo Melgarejo (11 goals), D. Fernandez (5 goals), F. Carrizo (4 goals), with creative support from D. Fernandez (3 assists), F. Carrizo (3 assists), N. Gimenez (3 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, the record of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 6 losses points toward a weak split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Sportivo Luqueno won 2 times, Libertad Asuncion won 10 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 8:25 from Sportivo Luqueno's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.2 goals per game.
Sportivo Luqueno
5
5
5
5
3
3
Lineups
Sportivo Luqueno
Olimpia
Sportivo Luqueno
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
Sportivo Luqueno
Rubio NU
Sportivo Luqueno
Sportivo Trinidense
Sportivo Luqueno
Club Guarani
Sportivo Luqueno
Deportivo Recoleta
Sportivo Luqueno
Sportivo Ameliano
Sportivo Luqueno
Cerro Porteno
Sportivo Luqueno
Nacional Asuncion
Sportivo Luqueno
2 de Mayo
Sportivo Luqueno
Olimpia
Sportivo Luqueno
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
Sportivo Luqueno
Libertad Asuncion
Sportivo Luqueno
Rubio NU
Sportivo Luqueno
Sportivo Trinidense
Sportivo Luqueno
Club Guarani
Sportivo Luqueno
Deportivo Recoleta
Sportivo Luqueno
Sportivo Ameliano
Sportivo Luqueno
Cerro Porteno
Sportivo Luqueno
Nacional Asuncion
Libertad Asuncion
UCV
Libertad Asuncion
Nacional Asuncion
Libertad Asuncion
Independiente del Valle
Libertad Asuncion
2 de Mayo
Libertad Asuncion
Rosario Central
Libertad Asuncion
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
Libertad Asuncion
Independiente del Valle
Libertad Asuncion
Olimpia
Libertad Asuncion
Rubio NU
Libertad Asuncion
Rosario Central
Libertad Asuncion
Sportivo Trinidense
Libertad Asuncion
UCV
Libertad Asuncion
Club Guarani
Libertad Asuncion
Deportivo Recoleta
Libertad Asuncion
Sportivo Ameliano
Libertad Asuncion
Cerro Porteno
Libertad Asuncion
Nacional Asuncion
Libertad Asuncion
2 de Mayo
Libertad Asuncion
Sportivo Luqueno
Libertad Asuncion
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
Sportivo Luqueno
Olimpia
Sportivo Luqueno
Sportivo Trinidense
Sportivo Luqueno
Deportivo Recoleta
Sportivo Luqueno
Cerro Porteno
Sportivo Luqueno
2 de Mayo
Sportivo Luqueno
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
Sportivo Luqueno
Rubio NU
Sportivo Luqueno
Club Guarani
Sportivo Luqueno
Sportivo Ameliano
Sportivo Luqueno
Nacional Asuncion
Libertad Asuncion
Nacional Asuncion
Libertad Asuncion
Independiente del Valle
Libertad Asuncion
Rosario Central
Libertad Asuncion
Rubio NU
Libertad Asuncion
UCV
Libertad Asuncion
Club Guarani
Libertad Asuncion
Sportivo Ameliano
Libertad Asuncion
2 de Mayo
Libertad Asuncion
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
Libertad Asuncion
Olimpia
Libertad Asuncion
Sportivo Trinidense
Libertad Asuncion
Deportivo Recoleta
Libertad Asuncion
Cerro Porteno
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 22 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 37:17 | 20 | 49 |
W
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 2 | 22 | 10 | 9 | 3 | 31:22 | 9 | 39 |
W
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 30:22 | 8 | 38 |
W
L
D
L
D
|
|
| 4 | 22 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 27:21 | 6 | 33 |
L
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 5 | 22 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 30:24 | 6 | 32 |
W
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 6 |
Libertad Asuncion
Away
|
22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 34:26 | 8 | 31 |
L
D
W
W
W
|
| 7 | 22 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 27:23 | 4 | 29 |
L
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 8 | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 35:32 | 3 | 28 |
W
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 9 | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 15:26 | -11 | 23 |
L
D
L
D
W
|
|
| 10 | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 18:35 | -17 | 22 |
L
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 11 |
Sportivo Luqueno
Home
|
22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 24:33 | -9 | 20 |
L
D
L
D
W
|
| 12 | 22 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 14:41 | -27 | 15 |
W
D
W
L
L
|