NIGERIA › NPFL
11.10.2026 15:00
Mobolaji Johnson Arena

Sporting Lagos vs Bendel Insurance Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Draw
Probability 43.9%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Draw
43.9%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
78.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Draw
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Sporting Lagos Win 25.3%
Draw 43.9%
Bendel Insurance Win 30.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Sporting Lagos1.31
Bendel Insurance1.57
Recent Form (Last 5)
Sporting Lagos Sporting Lagos
WWDLW
8 GF / 8 GA
Bendel Insurance Bendel Insurance
WLDWL
13 GF / 11 GA
Key Stats
1.14
Average Goals Scored
1.86
1.14
Average Goals Conceded
1.57
3
BTTS Yes
5
2
Over 2.5
6
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Sporting Lagos Sporting Lagos 7 matches
Bendel Insurance Bendel Insurance 7 matches
Sporting Lagos Statistic Bendel Insurance
2 Wins 4
3 Draws 0
2 Losses 3
8 Goals For 13
8 Goals Against 11
1.14 Avg Goals Scored 1.86
1.14 Avg Goals Conceded 1.57
3 BTTS Yes 5
6 Over 1.5 6
2 Over 2.5 6
1 Over 3.5 2
2 Clean Sheets 0
3 Failed To Score 2
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Bendel Insurance having the stronger overall control. Bendel Insurance arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Bendel Insurance. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Sporting Lagos Analysis

Sporting Lagos are currently 8 in the standings with 9 points from 7 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 2 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, while the 8:8 goal ratio supports the view of poor form and have been stuck in a sequence of draws. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. At home, their split return of 0 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

Bendel Insurance Analysis

With 9 points from 6 games and a place of 9, Bendel Insurance still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 3 wins, 0 draws, and 3 defeats, and the 9:10 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, the split record of 0 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Sporting Lagos won 1 times, Bendel Insurance won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:3 from Sporting Lagos's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 2.5 goals per game.

1X2: Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: X2 (74.8%)
H2H summary: Sporting Lagos wins 1, draws 0, Bendel Insurance wins 1

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 7 5 1 1 12:7 5 16
W W L W W
2 7 4 3 0 13:2 11 15
W D D W D
3 7 4 1 2 10:8 2 13
W L D L W
4 7 3 3 1 10:7 3 12
L D W D W
5 7 4 0 3 13:11 2 12
W L W L W
6 7 3 2 2 9:8 1 11
L W D W D
7 6 2 4 0 11:7 4 10
D D D W W
8 7 3 1 3 9:7 2 10
W L W L W
9 7 2 3 2 8:7 1 9
L D W L D
10 7 2 3 2 8:8 0 9
D D D W L
11 7 2 3 2 6:9 -3 9
D D W L W
12 7 2 2 3 6:7 -1 8
W L D L D
13 7 2 2 3 6:8 -2 8
D W L D L
14 7 2 2 3 8:11 -3 8
L W L W D
15 7 2 1 4 9:10 -1 7
W W D L L
16 7 2 1 4 9:10 -1 7
L D L W L
17 6 2 1 3 7:9 -2 7
D L L W L
18 7 2 1 4 3:6 -3 7
L L W D W
19 7 1 2 4 4:10 -6 5
D L D W L
20 7 1 2 4 5:14 -9 5
L W L L L
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
Relegation