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🇺🇸 USA › MAJOR LEAGUE SOCCER
30.08.2026 00:30
Children's Mercy Park
Referee: M. De Oliveira
Sporting Kansas City
Match Timeline
Vancouver Whitecaps
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
40'
T. Muller
Vancouver Whitecaps
🟨
45+4'
Bruno Quiñonez
Vancouver Whitecaps
🔄
46'
Capita ↔ S. Afrifa
Sporting Kansas City
⚽
48'
B. White · Assist: O. Larraz
Vancouver Whitecaps
🟨
51'
Tate Johnson
Vancouver Whitecaps
🔄
57'
J. Reynolds ↔ I. James
Sporting Kansas City
🔄
62'
O. Larraz ↔ J. Badwal
Vancouver Whitecaps
🔄
62'
B. Caicedo ↔ E. Sabbi
Vancouver Whitecaps
🔄
66'
J. Bartlett ↔ K. Agyabeng
Sporting Kansas City
🔄
66'
S. Suleymanov ↔ Andre Luiz
Sporting Kansas City
🔄
70'
T. Johnson ↔ S. Adekugbe
Vancouver Whitecaps
🟨
73'
Stephen Afrifa
Sporting Kansas City
🔄
87'
B. White ↔ R. Elloumi
Vancouver Whitecaps
🔄
87'
R. Gauld ↔ C. Sabaly
Vancouver Whitecaps
🟨
90+5'
Moises Mosquera
Sporting Kansas City
⚽
90'
R. Elloumi · Assist: T. Muller
Vancouver Whitecaps

Sporting Kansas City vs Vancouver Whitecaps Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 57.3%
Odds 1.40
BTTS
No
Probability 50.8%
Odds 2.10
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 52.4%
Odds 1.44
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
57.3%
1.40 ▥
BTTS No
50.8%
2.10 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
52.4%
1.44 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.28 ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
4.33 ▥
Correct Score 0-3
-
8.50 ▥
Probability Distribution
Sporting Kansas City Win 29.7%
Draw 13.1%
Vancouver Whitecaps Win 57.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Sporting Kansas City0.97
Vancouver Whitecaps1.92
Recent Form (Last 5)
Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City
WWDLW
25 GF / 57 GA
Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps
WLDWL
50 GF / 29 GA
Key Stats
0.93
Average Goals Scored
1.79
2.11
Average Goals Conceded
1.04
14
BTTS Yes
11
18
Over 2.5
13
3.71
Shots on Goal
6.17

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City 27 matches
Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps 28 matches
Sporting Kansas City Statistic Vancouver Whitecaps
7 Wins 14
3 Draws 5
17 Losses 9
25 Goals For 50
57 Goals Against 29
0.93 Avg Goals Scored 1.79
2.11 Avg Goals Conceded 1.04
14 BTTS Yes 11
23 Over 1.5 21
18 Over 2.5 13
9 Over 3.5 8
2 Clean Sheets 11
11 Failed To Score 8
3.71 Shots On Goal 6.17
9.48 Total Shots 17.17
3.81 Corners 6.25
44% Ball Possession 58.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Vancouver Whitecaps's more proactive style and Sporting Kansas City's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Vancouver Whitecaps. Vancouver Whitecaps carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 2 with 37 points while Sporting Kansas City sit 15 on 15, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Sporting Kansas City have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Sporting Kansas City expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Vancouver Whitecaps in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Vancouver Whitecaps having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.

Sporting Kansas City Analysis

With 15 points from 20 games and a place of 15, Sporting Kansas City still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 4 wins, 3 draws, and 13 defeats, and the 19:49 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Dejan Joveljić (4 goals), Manu García (2 goals), Calvin Harris (2 goals), with creative support from Manu García (3 assists), Calvin Harris (2 assists), Dejan Joveljić (1 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. At home, the split record of 2 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Vancouver Whitecaps Analysis

Vancouver Whitecaps arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 2 place with 37 points after 19 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 11 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses, while the 40:18 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Brian White (5 goals), Sebastian Berhalter (4 goals), Thomas Müller (3 goals), with creative support from Bruno Quiñonez (3 assists), Brian White (2 assists), Sebastian Berhalter (2 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, their split return of 4 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Sporting Kansas City won 4 times, Vancouver Whitecaps won 9 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:22 from Sporting Kansas City's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.53 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (86.9%)
Predicted formations: Sporting Kansas City 4-4-2 / Vancouver Whitecaps 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Sporting Kansas City 4, Vancouver Whitecaps 7
H2H summary: Sporting Kansas City wins 4, draws 2, Vancouver Whitecaps wins 9

Standings

Western Conference
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 27 15 5 7 60:29 31 50
L D W L W
2 27 13 8 6 48:36 12 47
W W W D W
3 27 13 8 6 50:42 8 47
W D W W W
4 27 13 6 8 49:39 10 45
W D W W D
5 27 13 5 9 34:32 2 44
L D L W D
6 28 11 8 9 43:30 13 41
L D L W D
7 27 10 8 9 35:35 0 38
W W W D D
8 27 11 3 13 38:38 0 36
L D W D L
9 28 9 9 10 37:44 -7 36
W W D L W
10 27 9 5 13 48:51 -3 32
L L L D W
11 27 9 5 13 40:44 -4 32
W L L L L
12 27 8 8 11 47:47 0 32
D D L L L
13 27 7 10 10 35:47 -12 31
D D W D D
14 27 7 8 12 40:49 -9 29
L L L L L
15 27 6 3 18 32:65 -33 21
L W L W L
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)