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23.08.2026 17:00
El Molinón
Referee: G. Freixas
Sporting Gijon
Match Timeline
Burgos
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
6'
Juan Otero · Assist: Andrés Cuenca
Sporting Gijon
🟨
32'
Grego Sierra
Burgos
🟨
53'
José Gragera
Burgos
🔄
61'
Manuel Rodríguez ↔ Nacho Martín
Sporting Gijon
🔄
61'
Konrad de la Fuente ↔ Pablo García
Sporting Gijon
🔄
61'
Javi Llabrés ↔ Pablo Galdames
Burgos
🔄
62'
Ignasi Vilarrasa ↔ Víctor Mollejo
Burgos
🔄
68'
Curro Sánchez ↔ Santiago Lencina
Burgos
🔄
68'
José Gragera ↔ Marcelo Expósito
Burgos
🔄
73'
César Gelabert ↔ Gaspar Campos
Sporting Gijon
🔄
77'
Saúl del Cerro ↔ Brais Martínez
Burgos
🔄
82'
Nikita Iosifov ↔ Alejo Sarco
Sporting Gijon
🔄
82'
Juan Otero ↔ Christian Ferreres
Sporting Gijon

Sporting Gijon vs Burgos Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 49.5%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 54.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
49.5%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
54.1%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Sporting Gijon Win 49.5%
Draw 12.7%
Burgos Win 37.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Sporting Gijon1.4
Burgos1.37
Recent Form (Last 5)
Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon
WWDLW
10 GF / 10 GA
Burgos Burgos
WLDWL
7 GF / 6 GA
Key Stats
1.67
Average Goals Scored
1.17
1.67
Average Goals Conceded
1
3
BTTS Yes
2
4
Over 2.5
2
5
Shots on Goal
5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon 6 matches
Burgos Burgos 6 matches
Sporting Gijon Statistic Burgos
2 Wins 3
1 Draws 2
3 Losses 1
10 Goals For 7
10 Goals Against 6
1.67 Avg Goals Scored 1.17
1.67 Avg Goals Conceded 1
3 BTTS Yes 2
4 Over 1.5 4
4 Over 2.5 2
3 Over 3.5 1
2 Clean Sheets 3
2 Failed To Score 2
5 Shots On Goal 5
8 Total Shots 13
1 Corners 1
56% Ball Possession 41%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 12 head-to-head meetings, Sporting Gijon won 5 times, Burgos won 3 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:7 from Sporting Gijon's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 1.5 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (87.3%)
Predicted formations: Sporting Gijon 4-4-2 / Burgos 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: Sporting Gijon wins 5, draws 4, Burgos wins 3

Standings

Segunda
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 8 7 0 1 18:7 11 21
W W W W W
2 8 6 2 0 15:3 12 20
D W W W W
3 8 6 0 2 13:5 8 18
W W W W W
4 9 4 4 1 10:7 3 16
W D D W L
5 8 4 2 2 14:8 6 14
D W W L W
6 8 4 2 2 8:3 5 14
D L W W D
7 8 4 2 2 12:9 3 14
L W W W D
8 8 4 1 3 8:8 0 13
W L W L L
9 8 3 2 3 13:13 0 11
W L L D L
10 8 3 2 3 8:8 0 11
L W L W D
11 9 3 2 4 14:15 -1 11
W L D L L
12 8 3 2 3 12:13 -1 11
D L L W D
13 9 3 2 4 10:11 -1 11
W W L L W
14 8 3 2 3 10:12 -2 11
L D L W D
15 8 3 2 3 6:11 -5 11
L L W L D
16 8 2 3 3 8:11 -3 9
D W D L W
17 9 3 0 6 14:20 -6 9
L W L W L
18 9 2 2 5 12:17 -5 8
L L L L W
19 8 1 4 3 11:10 1 7
W D L L L
20 8 2 1 5 12:15 -3 7
D W L L L
21 9 1 2 6 8:20 -12 5
L D W D L
22 8 0 1 7 5:15 -10 1
L L L D L
Promotion - LaLiga
Promotion - LaLiga2 (Promotion - Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Relegation