Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | No Draw |
82.9%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
84.7%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
88.1%
|
- |
Sporting Cristal
UTC Cajamarca
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Sporting Cristal
16 matches
UTC Cajamarca
12 matches
| Sporting Cristal | Statistic | UTC Cajamarca |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Wins | 5 |
| 4 | Draws | 4 |
| 6 | Losses | 3 |
| 25 | Goals For | 16 |
| 20 | Goals Against | 14 |
| 1.56 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.33 |
| 1.25 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.17 |
| 11 | BTTS Yes | 7 |
| 13 | Over 1.5 | 9 |
| 11 | Over 2.5 | 5 |
| 5 | Over 3.5 | 3 |
| 5 | Clean Sheets | 3 |
| 1 | Failed To Score | 2 |
| 4.73 | Shots On Goal | 5.1 |
| 14.67 | Total Shots | 12.8 |
| 5.4 | Corners | 4.4 |
| 59.3% | Ball Possession | 51.4% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors UTC Cajamarca. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Sporting Cristal expected to line up in 4-3-3 and UTC Cajamarca in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward UTC Cajamarca having the stronger overall control. Sporting Cristal have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.
Sporting Cristal approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 11 with 11 points from 9 matches. Their record of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, together with goals at 16:13, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through L. Iberico (3 goals), Felipe Vizeu (2 goals), I. Avila (2 goals), with creative support from I. Avila (3 assists), Y. Yotun (2 assists), I. Wisdom (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, they have managed 2 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show balanced attacking football.
UTC Cajamarca come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 5 with 15 points from 10 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 4 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, while the 12:11 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Marlon de Jesús (4 goals), B. Duarte (2 goals), D. Camacho (2 goals), with creative support from M. Lliuya (2 assists), Dylan Caro (2 assists), G. Paredes (2 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, their split return of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.
Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Sporting Cristal won 7 times, UTC Cajamarca won 2 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 31:19 from Sporting Cristal's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 12 matches, with an average of 3.57 goals per game.
Sporting Cristal
4
5
5
4
1
7
Lineups
Sporting Cristal
Cienciano
Sporting Cristal
Cerro Porteno
Sporting Cristal
ADT
Sporting Cristal
Junior
Sporting Cristal
FC Cajamarca
Sporting Cristal
Alianza Lima
Sporting Cristal
Palmeiras
Sporting Cristal
Cusco
Sporting Cristal
Junior
Sporting Cristal
Comerciantes Unidos
Sporting Cristal
Atletico Grau
Sporting Cristal
Palmeiras
Sporting Cristal
Cerro Porteno
Sporting Cristal
UCV Moquegua
Sporting Cristal
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
Sporting Cristal
Sport Boys
Sporting Cristal
Carabobo FC
Sporting Cristal
Alianza Atletico
Sporting Cristal
Carabobo FC
Sporting Cristal
Sport Huancayo
UTC Cajamarca
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
UTC Cajamarca
Sport Boys
UTC Cajamarca
Deportivo Garcilaso
UTC Cajamarca
FC Cajamarca
UTC Cajamarca
FBC Melgar
UTC Cajamarca
Cienciano
UTC Cajamarca
Sport Huancayo
UTC Cajamarca
Juan Pablo II College
UTC Cajamarca
Alianza Atletico
UTC Cajamarca
Universitario
UTC Cajamarca
Comerciantes Unidos
UTC Cajamarca
Alianza Lima
UTC Cajamarca
ADT
UTC Cajamarca
Cusco
UTC Cajamarca
UCV Moquegua
UTC Cajamarca
Atletico Grau
UTC Cajamarca
Comerciantes Unidos
UTC Cajamarca
Comerciantes Unidos
Sporting Cristal
ADT
Sporting Cristal
Palmeiras
Sporting Cristal
Cusco
Sporting Cristal
Junior
Sporting Cristal
Cerro Porteno
Sporting Cristal
UCV Moquegua
Sporting Cristal
Sport Boys
Sporting Cristal
Carabobo FC
Sporting Cristal
Alianza Atletico
Sporting Cristal
2 de Mayo
Sporting Cristal
Universitario
Sporting Cristal
FBC Melgar
Sporting Cristal
Universidad Catolica
UTC Cajamarca
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
UTC Cajamarca
Deportivo Garcilaso
UTC Cajamarca
FBC Melgar
UTC Cajamarca
Juan Pablo II College
UTC Cajamarca
Universitario
UTC Cajamarca
Comerciantes Unidos
UTC Cajamarca
ADT
UTC Cajamarca
UCV Moquegua
UTC Cajamarca
Comerciantes Unidos
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 30:8 | 22 | 40 |
?
|
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| 2 | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 25:21 | 4 | 34 |
?
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| 3 | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 34:22 | 12 | 33 |
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|
|
| 4 | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 24:15 | 9 | 29 |
?
|
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| 5 | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 29:20 | 9 | 28 |
?
|
|
| 6 | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 21:24 | -3 | 27 |
?
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| 7 | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 21:18 | 3 | 26 |
?
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| 8 | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 20:18 | 2 | 21 |
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| 9 | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 18:20 | -2 | 21 |
?
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| 10 | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 22:21 | 1 | 20 |
?
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|
| 11 | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 15:19 | -4 | 20 |
?
|
|
| 12 |
Sporting Cristal
Home
|
17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 28:30 | -2 | 19 |
?
|
| 13 |
UTC Cajamarca
Away
|
17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 21:26 | -5 | 18 |
?
|
| 14 | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 17:24 | -7 | 18 |
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|
|
| 15 | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 23:28 | -5 | 17 |
?
|
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| 16 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 12:18 | -6 | 16 |
?
|
|
| 17 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 21:31 | -10 | 16 |
?
|
|
| 18 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 22:40 | -18 | 16 |
?
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