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11.10.2026 20:30
Estadio Miguel Grau

Sport Boys vs Alianza Atletico Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 64.6%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.9%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
64.6%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
78.9%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Sport Boys Win 64.6%
Draw 10%
Alianza Atletico Win 25.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Sport Boys1.2
Alianza Atletico1.26
Recent Form (Last 5)
Sport Boys Sport Boys
WWDLW
32 GF / 29 GA
Alianza Atletico Alianza Atletico
WLDWL
40 GF / 38 GA
Key Stats
1.1
Average Goals Scored
1.43
1
Average Goals Conceded
1.36
12
BTTS Yes
18
9
Over 2.5
16
4.04
Shots on Goal
4.85

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Sport Boys Sport Boys 29 matches
Alianza Atletico Alianza Atletico 28 matches
Sport Boys Statistic Alianza Atletico
11 Wins 11
8 Draws 7
10 Losses 10
32 Goals For 40
29 Goals Against 38
1.1 Avg Goals Scored 1.43
1 Avg Goals Conceded 1.36
12 BTTS Yes 18
15 Over 1.5 21
9 Over 2.5 16
6 Over 3.5 11
13 Clean Sheets 6
7 Failed To Score 6
4.04 Shots On Goal 4.85
12.89 Total Shots 14.26
4.89 Corners 3.63
50.3% Ball Possession 46.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Alianza Atletico look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Alianza Atletico. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.

Sport Boys Analysis

From their first 27 matches, Sport Boys have collected 38 points and now occupy 10 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 10 wins, 8 draws, and 9 losses, while the 29:26 goal ratio supports the view of good form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Luciano Nequecaur (3 goals), Y. Celi (3 goals), H. Riojas (2 goals), with creative support from M. Llontop (3 assists), J. Alarcón (3 assists), L. Urruti (2 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. At home, they have returned - wins, - draws, and - losses, a split that suggests an unclear split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Alianza Atletico Analysis

From their first 27 matches, Alianza Atletico have collected 40 points and now occupy 8 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 11 wins, 7 draws, and 9 losses, while the 40:35 goal ratio supports the view of very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Going forward they rely heavily on C. Penilla (8 goals), J. Molina (4 goals), A. Muñoz (3 goals), with creative support from C. Penilla (3 assists), G. Larios (3 assists), H. Lupú (2 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. Away from home, the record of - wins, - draws, and - losses points toward an unclear split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, Sport Boys won 5 times, Alianza Atletico won 4 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:8 from Sport Boys's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 1.8 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (90.1%)
Predicted formations: Sport Boys 4-2-3-1 / Alianza Atletico 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Sport Boys wins 5, draws 1, Alianza Atletico wins 4

Standings

Primera Division: Tabla Anual
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 27 16 8 3 44:18 26 56
W L D L D
2 27 14 7 6 43:31 12 49
L W D W W
3 27 14 6 7 39:24 15 48
W L W W W
4 27 13 7 7 45:29 16 46
D W W L D
5 27 14 3 10 40:38 2 45
W L W W L
6 27 12 6 9 36:45 -9 42
D L L L L
7 27 12 5 10 46:40 6 41
D L W L L
8 27 11 7 9 40:35 5 40
W L W W W
9 27 11 5 11 48:40 8 38
W W W L L
10 27 10 8 9 29:26 3 38
D W L W W
11 27 10 5 12 37:44 -7 35
W W W W L
12 27 9 7 11 42:52 -10 34
W W D W W
13 27 9 5 13 26:31 -5 32
L W L W W
14 27 7 9 11 35:38 -3 30
L L D L W
15 27 7 6 14 41:52 -11 27
L W L W L
16 27 6 7 14 29:42 -13 25
W L L L L
17 27 6 7 14 24:41 -17 25
L L L L W
18 27 4 8 15 32:50 -18 15
L L L L L
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Qualification)
Relegation - Liga 2