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31.10.2026 15:00

Spennymoor Town vs Chorley Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 52.9%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
52.9%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
86%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 10.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Spennymoor Town Win 30%
Draw 17.1%
Chorley Win 52.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Spennymoor Town1.44
Chorley1.6
Recent Form (Last 5)
Spennymoor Town Spennymoor Town
L L L W D
8 GF / 11 GA
Chorley Chorley
L L D W W
9 GF / 7 GA
Key Stats
1.39
Average Goals Scored
1.33
2
Average Goals Conceded
1.52
15
BTTS Yes
13
15
Over 2.5
13
3
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Spennymoor Town Spennymoor Town 18 matches
Chorley Chorley 21 matches
Spennymoor Town Statistic Chorley
4 Wins 7
4 Draws 4
10 Losses 10
25 Goals For 28
36 Goals Against 32
1.39 Avg Goals Scored 1.33
2 Avg Goals Conceded 1.52
15 BTTS Yes 13
18 Over 1.5 17
15 Over 2.5 13
8 Over 3.5 5
1 Clean Sheets 3
2 Failed To Score 6
3 Shots On Goal 0
5.5 Total Shots 0
3 Corners 0
21.5% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Chorley. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Chorley carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 13 with 17 points while Spennymoor Town sit 24 on 7, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Chorley having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Spennymoor Town have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors.

Spennymoor Town Analysis

Spennymoor Town approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 24 with 7 points from 12 matches. Their record of 1 wins, 4 draws, and 7 losses, together with goals at 12:26, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. At home, the split record of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Chorley Analysis

So far, Chorley have built a campaign that leaves them 13 in the table on 17 points from 12 matches. Their overall return of 5 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses with goals at 20:21 reflects good form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (82.9%)

Standings

National League N/S: North
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 12 8 2 2 24:7 17 26
W L D W W
2 12 7 3 2 22:8 14 24
D W D W L
3 12 7 3 2 18:11 7 24
L W W D D
4 12 7 2 3 21:18 3 23
W L L W L
5 13 6 3 4 22:16 6 21
D D W W W
6 13 6 3 4 23:19 4 21
W W W W L
7 12 6 2 4 15:12 3 20
L W W L L
8 13 6 2 5 23:23 0 20
W D L L W
9 12 6 1 5 16:16 0 19
W L D L W
10 13 5 4 4 18:23 -5 19
D L L D W
11 12 5 2 5 18:12 6 17
W L D W L
12 12 5 2 5 14:11 3 17
L L L W W
13 12 5 2 5 20:21 -1 17
L W W L W
14 13 5 2 6 15:20 -5 17
D D W L W
15 12 5 1 6 14:13 1 16
D W W W L
16 12 4 4 4 12:13 -1 16
D W L D L
17 13 4 3 6 19:18 1 15
L W L D D
18 13 3 6 4 15:16 -1 15
L D D L D
19 13 5 0 8 16:21 -5 15
W W W L L
20 13 4 3 6 15:24 -9 15
L L W W D
21 13 3 4 6 13:20 -7 13
D W L L D
22 13 3 2 8 17:24 -7 11
W L D D L
23 13 2 4 7 13:23 -10 10
D L L D L
24 12 1 4 7 12:26 -14 7
L L D D L
Promotion - National League
Promotion - National League North (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - National League North (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Relegation