Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
59.5%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
40%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
25.9%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Under 9.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 0-1 |
-
|
- |
Spartak Varna
Slavia Sofia
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Spartak Varna
33 matches
Slavia Sofia
33 matches
| Spartak Varna | Statistic | Slavia Sofia |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Wins | 11 |
| 13 | Draws | 10 |
| 15 | Losses | 12 |
| 28 | Goals For | 39 |
| 55 | Goals Against | 38 |
| 0.85 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.18 |
| 1.67 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.15 |
| 19 | BTTS Yes | 16 |
| 25 | Over 1.5 | 26 |
| 16 | Over 2.5 | 15 |
| 9 | Over 3.5 | 6 |
| 8 | Clean Sheets | 10 |
| 11 | Failed To Score | 10 |
| 1.87 | Shots On Goal | 2.6 |
| 6.29 | Total Shots | 7.4 |
| 2.39 | Corners | 3.07 |
| 29.5% | Ball Possession | 31% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Slavia Sofia. Spartak Varna have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself.
Spartak Varna sit 14 with 27 points after 32 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 5 wins, 12 draws, and 15 losses, together with goals at 27:54, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Berna (6 goals), G. Stojanovski (4 goals), Xande (4 goals), with creative support from G. Stojanovski (3 assists), Xande (2 assists), Angel Granchov (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have managed 4 wins, 4 draws, and 8 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Slavia Sofia are currently 11 in the standings with 40 points from 32 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 10 wins, 10 draws, and 12 losses, while the 37:37 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Y. Guermouche (6 goals), Emil Stoev (4 goals), K. Balov (4 goals), with creative support from Ivan Minchev (8 assists), K. Balov (5 assists), Emil Stoev (4 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 4 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, Spartak Varna won 2 times, Slavia Sofia won 4 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:16 from Spartak Varna's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 3.13 goals per game.
Lineups
Spartak Varna
Dunav Ruse
Spartak Varna
Lokomotiv Sofia
Spartak Varna
Montana
Spartak Varna
Septemvri Sofia
Spartak Varna
Dobrudzha
Spartak Varna
Botev Vratsa
Spartak Varna
Beroe
Spartak Varna
Septemvri Sofia
Spartak Varna
Dobrudzha
Spartak Varna
Botev Plovdiv
Spartak Varna
Ludogorets
Spartak Varna
CSKA 1948
Spartak Varna
Slavia Sofia
Spartak Varna
Montana
Spartak Varna
Arda Kardzhali
Spartak Varna
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Spartak Varna
Lokomotiv Sofia
Spartak Varna
Cherno More Varna
Spartak Varna
FK Minyor Pernik
Spartak Varna
Botev Plovdiv
Slavia Sofia
Montana
Slavia Sofia
Lokomotiv Sofia
Slavia Sofia
Dobrudzha
Slavia Sofia
Septemvri Sofia
Slavia Sofia
Beroe
Slavia Sofia
Botev Vratsa
Slavia Sofia
Montana
Slavia Sofia
Septemvri Sofia
Slavia Sofia
Cherno More Varna
Slavia Sofia
Botev Plovdiv
Slavia Sofia
Lokomotiv Sofia
Slavia Sofia
Spartak Varna
Slavia Sofia
Beroe
Slavia Sofia
CSKA 1948
Slavia Sofia
CSKA Sofia
Slavia Sofia
Arda Kardzhali
Slavia Sofia
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Slavia Sofia
Marek
Slavia Sofia
FK Tobol Kostanay
Slavia Sofia
Tikveš
Spartak Varna
Dunav Ruse
Spartak Varna
Lokomotiv Sofia
Spartak Varna
Dobrudzha
Spartak Varna
Beroe
Spartak Varna
Dobrudzha
Spartak Varna
Ludogorets
Spartak Varna
CSKA 1948
Spartak Varna
Montana
Spartak Varna
Lokomotiv Sofia
Spartak Varna
FK Minyor Pernik
Spartak Varna
Levski Sofia
Spartak Varna
CSKA Sofia
Spartak Varna
Septemvri Sofia
Spartak Varna
Botev Plovdiv
Spartak Varna
Slavia Sofia
Spartak Varna
Arda Kardzhali
Spartak Varna
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Spartak Varna
Cherno More Varna
Spartak Varna
Botev Vratsa
Spartak Varna
Beroe
Slavia Sofia
Lokomotiv Sofia
Slavia Sofia
Beroe
Slavia Sofia
Montana
Slavia Sofia
Cherno More Varna
Slavia Sofia
Lokomotiv Sofia
Slavia Sofia
Beroe
Slavia Sofia
CSKA Sofia
Slavia Sofia
Arda Kardzhali
Slavia Sofia
Ludogorets
Slavia Sofia
Botev Vratsa
Slavia Sofia
Septemvri Sofia
Slavia Sofia
Botev Plovdiv
Slavia Sofia
Spartak Varna
Slavia Sofia
CSKA 1948
Slavia Sofia
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Slavia Sofia
Levski Sofia
Slavia Sofia
Dobrudzha
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 30 | 22 | 4 | 4 | 64:22 | 42 | 70 |
D
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 30 | 17 | 9 | 4 | 57:20 | 37 | 60 |
L
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 30 | 18 | 5 | 7 | 50:31 | 19 | 59 |
W
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 30 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 43:23 | 20 | 56 |
D
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 5 | 30 | 11 | 13 | 6 | 30:33 | -3 | 46 |
D
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 6 | 30 | 11 | 11 | 8 | 33:26 | 7 | 44 |
L
D
L
L
W
|
|
| 7 | 30 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 33:27 | 6 | 44 |
W
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 8 | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 40:37 | 3 | 40 |
W
D
W
W
L
|
|
| 9 |
Slavia Sofia
Away
|
30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 36:33 | 3 | 39 |
D
L
W
L
D
|
| 10 | 30 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 24:26 | -2 | 38 |
W
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 11 | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 40:39 | 1 | 37 |
L
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 12 |
Spartak Varna
Home
|
30 | 5 | 12 | 13 | 25:50 | -25 | 27 |
D
W
L
L
L
|
| 13 | 30 | 7 | 5 | 18 | 23:43 | -20 | 26 |
L
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 30 | 7 | 5 | 18 | 25:58 | -33 | 26 |
D
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 15 | 30 | 4 | 11 | 15 | 19:44 | -25 | 23 |
D
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 16 | 30 | 3 | 8 | 19 | 15:45 | -30 | 17 |
D
L
L
L
L
|