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RUSSIA › PREMIER LEAGUE
25.07.2026 17:45
Lukoil Arena
Referee: Rafael Shafeev, Russia
Spartak Moscow
Match Timeline
Rodina Moskva
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
24'
Marquinhos · Assist: E. Barco
Spartak Moscow
VAR
28'
Artem Maksimenko
Rodina Moskva
🟨
32'
Andrey Egorychev
Rodina Moskva
🟨
39'
Ilya Dyatlov
Rodina Moskva
🔄
54'
A. Egorychev ↔ I. Pozo
Rodina Moskva
🔄
63'
M. Ugalde ↔ C. Martins
Spartak Moscow
🔄
63'
V. Parada ↔ A. Djiku
Spartak Moscow
🔄
63'
G. Fernandes ↔ D. Denisov
Spartak Moscow
🟨
74'
Ivan Timoshenko
Rodina Moskva
🔄
75'
M. Krizan ↔ L. Musaev
Rodina Moskva
🔄
75'
I. Dyatlov ↔ L. Goglichidze
Rodina Moskva
🔄
75'
S. Bakaev ↔ M. Abdusalamov
Rodina Moskva
⚽
79'
C. Martins · Assist: A. Djiku
Spartak Moscow
🔄
81'
Marquinhos ↔ I. Dmitriev
Spartak Moscow
🔄
83'
A. Sokol ↔ S. Bessmertniy
Rodina Moskva
🔄
84'
S. Babic ↔ D. Prutsev
Spartak Moscow
⚽
86'
D. Prutsev · Assist: R. Zobnin
Spartak Moscow

Spartak Moscow vs Rodina Moskva Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 72.7%
Odds -
BTTS
No
Probability 65.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 65.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
72.7%
- ▥
BTTS No
65.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
65.5%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
77.6%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-0
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Spartak Moscow Win 72.7%
Draw 7%
Rodina Moskva Win 20.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Spartak Moscow1.69
Rodina Moskva0.79
Recent Form (Last 5)
Spartak Moscow Spartak Moscow
WWDLW
15 GF / 8 GA
Rodina Moskva Rodina Moskva
WLDWL
8 GF / 19 GA
Key Stats
1.67
Average Goals Scored
0.73
0.89
Average Goals Conceded
1.73
4
BTTS Yes
5
3
Over 2.5
5
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Spartak Moscow Spartak Moscow 9 matches
Rodina Moskva Rodina Moskva 11 matches
Spartak Moscow Statistic Rodina Moskva
6 Wins 1
2 Draws 4
1 Losses 6
15 Goals For 8
8 Goals Against 19
1.67 Avg Goals Scored 0.73
0.89 Avg Goals Conceded 1.73
4 BTTS Yes 5
6 Over 1.5 7
3 Over 2.5 5
2 Over 3.5 4
4 Clean Sheets 3
2 Failed To Score 5
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Spartak Moscow won 2 times, Rodina Moskva won 0 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 8:1 from Spartak Moscow's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 4.5 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (93%)
Predicted formations: Spartak Moscow 4-2-3-1 / Rodina Moskva 4-4-2
Missing players: Spartak Moscow 2, Rodina Moskva 1
H2H summary: Spartak Moscow wins 2, draws 0, Rodina Moskva wins 0

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 11 8 1 2 18:9 9 25
W W W W W
2 11 8 0 3 25:13 12 24
W W W W L
3 11 7 2 2 21:8 13 23
W D W W L
4 11 6 4 1 19:12 7 22
L W W D W
5 11 6 4 1 19:13 6 22
D L D D D
6 11 2 7 2 13:12 1 13
D W D L D
7 11 3 4 4 14:12 2 13
D D L D L
8 11 4 1 6 16:21 -5 13
D L L L W
9 11 3 3 5 11:17 -6 12
D W L L W
10 11 2 6 3 12:16 -4 12
L L D D D
11 11 2 6 3 15:17 -2 12
L D D W D
12 11 2 5 4 16:14 2 11
D W D L W
13 11 2 5 4 15:16 -1 11
L D L W D
14 11 1 6 4 12:20 -8 9
D L W D D
15 11 1 3 7 8:19 -11 6
W L L D L
16 11 1 3 7 12:27 -15 6
D L D L L
Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation - FNL