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GEORGIA › EROVNULI LIGA
10.10.2026 16:00
Spaeri Stadium

Spaeri vs Torpedo Kutaisi Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 83.7%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
83.7%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
75.1%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
75.1%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Spaeri Win 16.3%
Draw 38%
Torpedo Kutaisi Win 45.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Spaeri1.33
Torpedo Kutaisi1.52
Recent Form (Last 5)
Spaeri Spaeri
WWDLW
46 GF / 54 GA
Torpedo Kutaisi Torpedo Kutaisi
WLDWL
50 GF / 44 GA
Key Stats
1.35
Average Goals Scored
1.47
1.59
Average Goals Conceded
1.29
23
BTTS Yes
20
20
Over 2.5
18
4.22
Shots on Goal
4.07

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Spaeri Spaeri 34 matches
Torpedo Kutaisi Torpedo Kutaisi 34 matches
Spaeri Statistic Torpedo Kutaisi
7 Wins 12
13 Draws 10
14 Losses 12
46 Goals For 50
54 Goals Against 44
1.35 Avg Goals Scored 1.47
1.59 Avg Goals Conceded 1.29
23 BTTS Yes 20
27 Over 1.5 25
20 Over 2.5 18
11 Over 3.5 9
6 Clean Sheets 7
9 Failed To Score 9
4.22 Shots On Goal 4.07
3.85 Total Shots 4.26
5 Corners 4.59
48.4% Ball Possession 53.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between Torpedo Kutaisi's more proactive style and Spaeri's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Spaeri expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Torpedo Kutaisi in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Torpedo Kutaisi having the stronger overall control. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Torpedo Kutaisi. Spaeri have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors.

Spaeri Analysis

Spaeri approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 9 with 25 points from 27 matches. The overall return of 5 wins, 10 draws, and 12 defeats with a 34:43 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, the split record of 3 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Torpedo Kutaisi Analysis

Torpedo Kutaisi sit 6 with 36 points after 27 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 9 wins, 9 draws, and 9 losses, while the 43:34 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been fairly stable. Away from home, the record of 3 wins, 5 draws, and 5 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, Spaeri won 1 times, Torpedo Kutaisi won 2 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:5 from Spaeri's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 1.33 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: X2 (83.7%)
Predicted formations: Spaeri 4-2-3-1 / Torpedo Kutaisi 4-4-2
H2H summary: Spaeri wins 1, draws 3, Torpedo Kutaisi wins 2

Standings

Umaglesi Liga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 27 13 9 5 45:30 15 48
W W W D D
2 27 13 8 6 46:36 10 47
W D W W W
3 27 13 7 7 32:23 9 46
L W D L D
4 27 14 4 9 38:30 8 46
L W W W L
5 27 12 4 11 38:30 8 40
W L D W W
6 27 9 9 9 43:34 9 36
L W D D L
7 27 9 5 13 38:52 -14 32
L L L L D
8 27 6 11 10 25:37 -12 29
D L D L W
9 27 5 10 12 34:43 -9 25
L L D D L
10 27 2 11 14 20:44 -24 17
D L D D W
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga (Relegation)
Relegation - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2