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Southport vs Macclesfield Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 62%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
62%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
67.1%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Southport Win 31%
Draw 6.9%
Macclesfield Win 62%
Expected Goals (xG)
Southport0.98
Macclesfield1.72
Recent Form (Last 5)
Southport Southport
D L L D L
2 GF / 7 GA
Macclesfield Macclesfield
L W D W W
11 GF / 7 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
1.83
1.56
Average Goals Conceded
0.96
8
BTTS Yes
16
7
Over 2.5
15
0
Shots on Goal
2.4

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Southport Southport 18 matches
Macclesfield Macclesfield 24 matches
Southport Statistic Macclesfield
4 Wins 14
5 Draws 8
9 Losses 2
18 Goals For 44
28 Goals Against 23
1 Avg Goals Scored 1.83
1.56 Avg Goals Conceded 0.96
8 BTTS Yes 16
13 Over 1.5 20
7 Over 2.5 15
6 Over 3.5 4
3 Clean Sheets 8
9 Failed To Score 2
0 Shots On Goal 2.4
0 Total Shots 4.6
0 Corners 2
0% Ball Possession 21.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Macclesfield's more proactive style and Southport's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Macclesfield. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Macclesfield having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Macclesfield carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 3 with 24 points while Southport sit 23 on 10, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Southport have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors.

Southport Analysis

With 10 points from 13 games and a place of 23, Southport still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 2 wins, 4 draws, and 7 defeats with a 13:23 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, the split record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Macclesfield Analysis

Placed 3 with 24 points from 12 outings, Macclesfield continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Across the campaign, they have posted 7 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, while the 18:11 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, their split return of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (93.1%)

Standings

National League N/S: North
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 12 8 2 2 24:7 17 26
W L D W W
2 12 7 3 2 22:8 14 24
D W D W L
3 12 7 3 2 18:11 7 24
L W W D D
4 12 7 2 3 21:18 3 23
W L L W L
5 13 6 3 4 22:16 6 21
D D W W W
6 13 6 3 4 23:19 4 21
W W W W L
7 12 6 2 4 15:12 3 20
L W W L L
8 13 6 2 5 23:23 0 20
W D L L W
9 12 6 1 5 16:16 0 19
W L D L W
10 13 5 4 4 18:23 -5 19
D L L D W
11 12 5 2 5 18:12 6 17
W L D W L
12 12 5 2 5 14:11 3 17
L L L W W
13 12 5 2 5 20:21 -1 17
L W W L W
14 13 5 2 6 15:20 -5 17
D D W L W
15 12 5 1 6 14:13 1 16
D W W W L
16 12 4 4 4 12:13 -1 16
D W L D L
17 13 4 3 6 19:18 1 15
L W L D D
18 13 3 6 4 15:16 -1 15
L D D L D
19 13 5 0 8 16:21 -5 15
W W W L L
20 13 4 3 6 15:24 -9 15
L L W W D
21 13 3 4 6 13:20 -7 13
D W L L D
22 13 3 2 8 17:24 -7 11
W L D D L
23 13 2 4 7 13:23 -10 10
D L L D L
24 12 1 4 7 12:26 -14 7
L L D D L
Promotion - National League
Promotion - National League North (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - National League North (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Relegation