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31.10.2026 15:00

Southport vs AFC Telford United Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 51.8%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
51.8%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
67.1%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Southport Win 51.8%
Draw 14.2%
AFC Telford United Win 34%
Expected Goals (xG)
Southport1.33
AFC Telford United1.26
Recent Form (Last 5)
Southport Southport
D L L D L
2 GF / 7 GA
AFC Telford United AFC Telford United
D W L L L
7 GF / 15 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
1.06
1.56
Average Goals Conceded
1.83
8
BTTS Yes
11
7
Over 2.5
12
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Southport Southport 18 matches
AFC Telford United AFC Telford United 18 matches
Southport Statistic AFC Telford United
4 Wins 4
5 Draws 5
9 Losses 9
18 Goals For 19
28 Goals Against 33
1 Avg Goals Scored 1.06
1.56 Avg Goals Conceded 1.83
8 BTTS Yes 11
13 Over 1.5 13
7 Over 2.5 12
6 Over 3.5 6
3 Clean Sheets 4
9 Failed To Score 4
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward AFC Telford United. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward AFC Telford United having the stronger overall control. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Southport have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors.

Southport Analysis

Southport approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 23 with 10 points from 13 matches. Across the season they have posted 2 wins, 4 draws, and 7 defeats, and the 13:23 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been very solid. At home, they have managed 2 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

AFC Telford United Analysis

With 13 points from 13 games and a place of 21, AFC Telford United still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 3 wins, 4 draws, and 6 defeats, and the 13:20 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (85.8%)

Standings

National League N/S: North
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 12 8 2 2 24:7 17 26
W L D W W
2 12 7 3 2 22:8 14 24
D W D W L
3 12 7 3 2 18:11 7 24
L W W D D
4 12 7 2 3 21:18 3 23
W L L W L
5 13 6 3 4 22:16 6 21
D D W W W
6 13 6 3 4 23:19 4 21
W W W W L
7 12 6 2 4 15:12 3 20
L W W L L
8 13 6 2 5 23:23 0 20
W D L L W
9 12 6 1 5 16:16 0 19
W L D L W
10 13 5 4 4 18:23 -5 19
D L L D W
11 12 5 2 5 18:12 6 17
W L D W L
12 12 5 2 5 14:11 3 17
L L L W W
13 12 5 2 5 20:21 -1 17
L W W L W
14 13 5 2 6 15:20 -5 17
D D W L W
15 12 5 1 6 14:13 1 16
D W W W L
16 12 4 4 4 12:13 -1 16
D W L D L
17 13 4 3 6 19:18 1 15
L W L D D
18 13 3 6 4 15:16 -1 15
L D D L D
19 13 5 0 8 16:21 -5 15
W W W L L
20 13 4 3 6 15:24 -9 15
L L W W D
21 13 3 4 6 13:20 -7 13
D W L L D
22 13 3 2 8 17:24 -7 11
W L D D L
23 13 2 4 7 13:23 -10 10
D L L D L
24 12 1 4 7 12:26 -14 7
L L D D L
Promotion - National League
Promotion - National League North (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - National League North (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Relegation