NORWAY 1. DIVISION
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Fosshaugane Campus
Referee: A. Medic

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 56.1%
Odds 2.29
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75.1%
Odds 1.40
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds 1.41
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
56.1%
2.29
BTTS Yes
75.1%
1.40
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
1.41
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
1.16
HT / FT Home / Home
-
3.50
Correct Score 2-1
-
10.00
Probability Distribution
Sogndal Win 56.1%
Draw 14.5%
Egersund Win 29.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Sogndal1.86
Egersund1.89
Recent Form (Last 5)
Sogndal Sogndal
WWDLW
42 GF / 45 GA
Egersund Egersund
WLDWL
32 GF / 32 GA
Key Stats
1.91
Average Goals Scored
1.78
2.05
Average Goals Conceded
1.78
15
BTTS Yes
11
15
Over 2.5
12
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Sogndal Sogndal 22 matches
Egersund Egersund 18 matches
Sogndal Statistic Egersund
6 Wins 7
7 Draws 4
9 Losses 7
42 Goals For 32
45 Goals Against 32
1.91 Avg Goals Scored 1.78
2.05 Avg Goals Conceded 1.78
15 BTTS Yes 11
21 Over 1.5 15
15 Over 2.5 12
12 Over 3.5 8
2 Clean Sheets 4
5 Failed To Score 4
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Egersund having the stronger overall control. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Egersund. Egersund arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Sogndal Analysis

Sogndal sit 12 with 12 points after 11 league matches. Their overall return of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses with goals at 19:26 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by S. Pedersen (5 goals), O. Hintsa (4 goals), T. Pippola (4 goals), with creative support from K. Skaanes (5 assists), O. Hintsa (4 assists), O. Helen (3 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. At home, the record of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Egersund Analysis

Egersund sit 11 with 13 points after 11 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 4 wins, 1 draws, and 6 losses, together with goals at 14:19, reflects poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Much of their threat comes through N. Tornvig (3 goals), S. Vatne (3 goals), A. Svindland (2 goals), with creative support from N. Tornvig (3 assists), I. Jonsson (2 assists), J. Ekeland (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Sogndal won 2 times, Egersund won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:3 from Sogndal's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 2.25 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (85.5%)
H2H summary: Sogndal wins 2, draws 1, Egersund wins 1
Last matches: Sogndal
21.06.26
1.
Sogndal
Raufoss
1
3
L
14.06.26
1.
Sogndal
Moss
2
4
L
31.05.26
1.
Sogndal
Strommen
3
2
W
25.05.26
1.
Sogndal
Sandnes ULF
0
2
L
20.05.26
1.
Sogndal
Stabaek
2
2
D
16.05.26
1.
Sogndal
hodd
2
2
D
10.05.26
1.
Sogndal
Haugesund
5
1
W
01.05.26
1.
Sogndal
Bryne
3
3
D
25.04.26
1.
Sogndal
Asane
2
0
W
18.04.26
1.
Sogndal
Stromsgodset
0
3
L
11.04.26
1.
Sogndal
Lyn
0
3
L
06.04.26
1.
Sogndal
ODD Ballklubb
0
4
L
29.03.26
Fri
Sogndal
Asane
1
1
D
21.03.26
Fri
Sogndal
Raufoss
1
1
D
13.03.26
Fri
Sogndal
Bryne
2
3
L
06.03.26
Fri
Sogndal
Stabaek
0
1
L
28.02.26
Fri
Sogndal
hodd
5
1
W
21.02.26
Fri
Sogndal
Bjarg
1
1
D
12.02.26
Fri
Sogndal
Kryvbas KR
1
2
L
05.02.26
Fri
Sogndal
Daejeon Citizen
1
1
D
Last matches: Egersund
21.06.26
1.
Egersund
Haugesund
5
2
W
14.06.26
1.
Egersund
Stabaek
1
3
L
31.05.26
1.
Egersund
Stromsgodset
0
5
L
25.05.26
1.
Egersund
hodd
1
3
L
20.05.26
1.
Egersund
Lyn
0
0
D
15.05.26
1.
Egersund
Sandnes ULF
2
4
L
11.05.26
1.
Egersund
ODD Ballklubb
0
1
L
06.05.26
1.
Egersund
Raufoss
2
1
W
01.05.26
1.
Egersund
Kongsvinger
1
2
L
27.04.26
1.
Egersund
Ranheim
3
0
W
19.04.26
1.
Egersund
Bryne
1
0
W
11.04.26
1.
Egersund
Strommen
3
0
W
28.03.26
Fri
Egersund
Bryne
4
3
W
21.03.26
Fri
Egersund
Haugesund
0
2
L
13.03.26
Fri
Egersund
Stabaek
1
1
D
27.02.26
Fri
Egersund
Sandnes ULF
3
3
D
15.02.26
Fri
Egersund
Kristiansund BK
1
1
D
31.01.26
Fri
Egersund
Vidar
4
1
W
H2H: Sogndal vs Egersund
25.10.25
H2H
Sogndal
Egersund
0
1
L
25.05.25
H2H
Egersund
Sogndal
0
2
W
03.08.24
H2H
Egersund
Sogndal
0
2
W
09.06.24
H2H
Sogndal
Egersund
2
2
D
Last matches: Sogndal
14.06.26
1.
Sogndal
Moss
2
4
L
20.05.26
1.
Sogndal
Stabaek
2
2
D
10.05.26
1.
Sogndal
Haugesund
5
1
W
25.04.26
1.
Sogndal
Asane
2
0
W
11.04.26
1.
Sogndal
Lyn
0
3
L
29.03.26
Fri
Sogndal
Asane
1
1
D
21.03.26
Fri
Sogndal
Raufoss
1
1
D
13.03.26
Fri
Sogndal
Bryne
2
3
L
21.02.26
Fri
Sogndal
Bjarg
1
1
D
12.02.26
Fri
Sogndal
Kryvbas KR
1
2
L
05.02.26
Fri
Sogndal
Daejeon Citizen
1
1
D
24.01.26
Fri
Sogndal
Sandviken
6
5
W
17.01.26
Fri
Sogndal
Førde
4
0
W
H2H at home: Sogndal
25.10.25
H2H
Sogndal
Egersund
0
1
L
09.06.24
H2H
Sogndal
Egersund
2
2
D
Last matches: Egersund
14.06.26
1.
Egersund
Stabaek
1
3
L
25.05.26
1.
Egersund
hodd
1
3
L
15.05.26
1.
Egersund
Sandnes ULF
2
4
L
01.05.26
1.
Egersund
Kongsvinger
1
2
L
11.04.26
1.
Egersund
Strommen
3
0
W
21.03.26
Fri
Egersund
Haugesund
0
2
L
13.03.26
Fri
Egersund
Stabaek
1
1
D
15.02.26
Fri
Egersund
Kristiansund BK
1
1
D
H2H away: Egersund
25.10.25
H2H
Sogndal
Egersund
0
1
W
09.06.24
H2H
Sogndal
Egersund
2
2
D
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.68
Draw 3.96
Home 2.29
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.14
Draw 2.61
Home 2.75
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.12
Over 2.5 1.41
Over 2.75 1.50
Over 3.0 1.62
Over 3.25 1.83
Over 3.5 2.04
Over 3.75 2.28
Over 4.5 3.24
Over 5.5 5.79
Under 1.5 6.06
Under 2.5 2.81
Under 2.75 2.55
Under 3.0 2.26
Under 3.25 1.95
Under 3.5 1.76
Under 3.75 1.61
Under 4.5 1.32
Under 5.5 1.13
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.80
Draw 3.80
Home 2.20
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.10
Draw 2.60
Home 2.75
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 2.75
Draw 2.88
Home 2.50
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.01
Over 1.5 1.11
Over 2.5 1.40
Over 3.5 2.00
Over 4.5 3.40
Over 5.5 6.00
Over 6.5 13.00
Over 7.5 23.00
Over 8.5 51.00
Under 0.5 23.00
Under 1.5 6.50
Under 2.5 2.88
Under 3.5 1.73
Under 4.5 1.30
Under 5.5 1.12
Under 6.5 1.04
Under 7.5 1.01
Under 8.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.64
Draw 3.88
Home 2.26
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.04
Draw 2.46
Home 2.66
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 2.81
Draw 2.82
Home 2.49
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.02
Over 1.0 1.03
Over 1.5 1.07
Over 1.75 1.10
Over 2.0 1.11
Over 2.25 1.25
Over 2.5 1.36
Over 2.75 1.46
Over 3.0 1.57
Over 3.25 1.82
Over 3.5 2.02
Over 3.75 2.24
Over 4.0 2.62
Over 4.25 2.93
Over 4.5 3.14
Over 4.75 3.84
Over 5.0 5.00
Over 5.25 5.30
Over 5.5 5.60
Over 6.5 13.00
Over 7.5 23.00
Over 8.5 50.00
Under 0.5 16.50
Under 1.0 12.00
Under 1.5 5.75
Under 1.75 5.32
Under 2.0 4.85
Under 2.25 3.38
Under 2.5 2.70
Under 2.75 2.50
Under 3.0 2.18
Under 3.25 1.94
Under 3.5 1.75
Under 3.75 1.57
Under 4.0 1.40
Under 4.25 1.33
Under 4.5 1.27
Under 4.75 1.19
Under 5.0 1.10
Under 5.25 1.09
Under 5.5 1.08
Under 6.5 1.04
Under 7.5 1.01
Under 8.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.45
Draw 3.65
Home 2.45
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 2.90
Draw 2.55
Home 2.85
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 2.63
Draw 2.88
Home 2.70
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.11
Over 2.0 1.15
Over 2.5 1.41
Over 3.0 1.62
Over 3.5 2.02
Over 4.0 2.75
Over 4.25 3.05
Over 4.5 3.30
Over 5.0 5.20
Over 5.25 5.40
Over 5.5 5.75
Under 1.5 5.40
Under 2.0 4.60
Under 2.5 2.65
Under 3.0 2.14
Under 3.5 1.68
Under 4.0 1.38
Under 4.25 1.32
Under 4.5 1.27
Under 5.0 1.12
Under 5.25 1.11
Under 5.5 1.10

Standings

OBOS-ligaen
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 12 8 3 1 36:16 20 27
D W W W D
2 12 8 3 1 29:16 13 27
D W W L W
3 12 8 1 3 36:23 13 25
L W W W W
4 12 7 2 3 24:14 10 23
D L W W L
5 12 6 3 3 25:14 11 21
L W D W D
6 12 6 2 4 32:26 6 20
W L D W L
7 12 5 2 5 21:26 -5 17
L W D L D
8 12 5 1 6 18:19 -1 16
W W L W L
9 12 5 1 6 19:21 -2 16
W L L L D
10 12 5 1 6 18:20 -2 16
W W W L L
11 12 4 3 5 14:15 -1 15
D L L W L
12 12 3 3 6 20:29 -9 12
L L W L D
13 12 3 1 8 16:28 -12 10
W L L L W
14 12 3 1 8 10:24 -14 10
L L L W D
15 12 3 1 8 15:24 -9 9
L W L W W
16 12 2 2 8 15:33 -18 8
W L D L L
Promotion - Eliteserien
Promotion - OBOS-ligaen (Promotion - Play Offs: Final)
Promotion - OBOS-ligaen (Promotion - Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - OBOS-ligaen (Promotion - Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
OBOS-ligaen (Relegation)
Relegation